Gale Warning 669, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 281125
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 993 MB LOW 315 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANNETTE WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 988 MB AND MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. IT WILL MOVE ONSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT A
997 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 100 NM EAST OF CHIGNIK.  IT WILL MOVE TO 100
NM SOUTHEAST OF AKHIOK ON THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

PKZ120-290200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-290200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT THIS MORNING.  SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-290200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES THIS
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT ENDING THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-290200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS
MORNING.  
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NORTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE THIS
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-290200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND THIS
MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 76 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-290200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING ADEQUATE OVERALL. THERE IS GOOD
CONSENSUS IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN AND WHERE THE SYSTEMS WILL BE
HEADING THROUGH THE NEXT THREE OR FOUR DAYS. THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE
IN DETAILS WITH THE SYSTEMS WHICH WILL IMPACT SOME LOCAL AREAS BUT
OVERALL THEY ARE NOT TOO BAD.

.ANALYSIS UPPER LEVELS AND SHORT TERM FORECAST...A BLOCKING RIDGE
OVER THE MAIN PART OF THE STATE IS BRINGING CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY
COLD CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS TO THIS ARE
A LITTLE FOG AND STRATUS IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA AND A
SHORT WAVE IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN WHICH IS
CONTINUING TO BRING IN SOME LIGHT SNOW.
IN THE WEST A STRONG FRONT WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE BERING
SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. THE JET STREAM EXTENDS OVER THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS AND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND THEN WEAKEN
AS IT HEADS TOWARD BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW ONTO THE WEST
COAST THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT PATTERN CHANGE IN THE LONGTERM FOR MOST
OF THE STATE. MID WEEK LOOKS TO BE WET AND WINDY FOR THE MAINLAND.
EXPECT A LOT OF MIXED PRECIPITATION AND RAIN AS THIS LOW HAS QUITE A
BIT OF WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH IT. BY FRIDAY A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL
MOVE OVERHEAD AND THIS SHOULD CLEAR SKIES AND COOL TEMPS ALL OVER
AGAIN FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

OCT 08