Storm Warning 129, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 272347 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

CORRECTED ALL ZONES

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-281400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 980 MB LOW NEAR 58N 175E WILL STRENGTHEN TO 975 MB AT 61N 175W TUE
AFTERNOON. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 995 MB AND MOVE TO 59N 162W WED
AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
22 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
23 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-281400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 27 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING ADEQUATE OVERALL. THERE IS GOOD
CONSENSUS IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN AND WHERE THE SYSTEMS WILL BE
HEADING THROUGH THE NEXT THREE OR FOUR DAYS. THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE
IN DETAILS WITH THE SYSTEMS WHICH WILL IMPACT SOME LOCAL AREAS BUT
OVERALL THEY ARE NOT TOO BAD.

.ANALYSIS UPPER LEVELS AND SHORT TERM FORECAST...A BLOCKING RIDGE
OVER THE MAIN PART OF THE STATE IS BRINGING CLEAR AND UNSEASONABLY
COLD CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS TO THIS ARE
A LITTLE FOG AND STRATUS IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA AND A
SHORT WAVE IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN WHICH IS
CONTINUING TO BRING IN SOME LIGHT SNOW.
IN THE WEST A STRONG FRONT WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE BERING
SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. THE JET STREAM EXTENDS OVER THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS AND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND THEN WEAKEN
AS IT HEADS TOWARD BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW ONTO THE WEST
COAST THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT PATTERN CHANGE IN THE LONGTERM FOR MOST
OF THE STATE. MID WEEK LOOKS TO BE WET AND WINDY FOR THE MAINLAND.
EXPECT A LOT OF MIXED PRECIPITATION AND RAIN AS THIS LOW HAS QUITE A
BIT OF WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH IT. BY FRIDAY A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL
MOVE OVERHEAD AND THIS SHOULD CLEAR SKIES AND COOL TEMPS ALL OVER
AGAIN FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

OCT 08