Gale Warning 64, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 140833 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

UPDATED 155 160 165 170 172 175 179 185

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 951 MB LOW 250 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 400 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA MONDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY WEAKENING TO 975 MB 175 NM SOUTH
OF SHEMYA TUESDAY EVENING. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EAST TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT. A 982
MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK SUNDAY NIGHT AND
STRENGTHEN TO 957 MB NEAR SAINT PAUL ISLAND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
BEFORE WEAKENING TO 971 MB NEAR CAPE ROMANZOF TUESDAY EVENING.
$$

PKZ150-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT THIS EVENING. GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH BAYS
AND PASSES. WINDS DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MONDAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT THIS EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT
THIS EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MONDAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT THIS EVENING.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO SW 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT.  
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT.   

$$

PKZ170-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING WEST 20 KT LATE. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 33 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141500-
UNALASKA BAY
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 30 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-141500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 60 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 28 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 23 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-141500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
1100 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141242
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 957 MB LOW 350 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 985 MB NEAR
AMCHITKA TUESDAY NIGHT. A 978 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 963 MB 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL MONDAY EVENING.
THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 976 MB AND MOVE INLAND NEAR THE YUKON
DELTA TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22
FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN 
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. 
.THU AND FRI...E WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 65 KT. SEAS 32 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 40 KT BY LATE MORNING THEN
BECOMING S 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 65 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 34 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 150058
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 967 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 990 MB NEAR
ADAK WEDNESDAY EVENING. A 968 MB LOW 50 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL
WEAKEN TO 978 MB NEAR SAINT PAUL ISLAND TUESDAY EVENING. THIS LOW
WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 990 MB AND MOVE INLAND NEAR THE YUKON DELTA
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ150-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT THIS EVENING.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SW 35 KT THIS EVENING. 
SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-151500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO S 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-151500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT.   

$$

PKZ170-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 55 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 19 FT
BUILDING TO 27 FT THIS EVENING. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 27 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-151500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT GUSTING TO 30 KT INCREASING TO S 40 KT THIS
EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 60 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT THIS EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
28 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISHING
TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT THIS EVENING. 
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NE 35 KT THIS EVENING. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-151500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST MON JAN 14 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
605 AM AST SUN JAN 13 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT...STILL PREFER THE GFS SOLUTION. THE 00Z NAM
A LITTLE BEHIND ON THE NEXT NPAC LOW TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS LATE TONIGHT. BEYOND 72 HOURS...MODELS DIVERGE SO KEPT
CHANGES MINIMAL BEYOND WEDNESDAY.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
MAIN FEATURE TODAY IS A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE ASSOCIATED FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.
WINDS HAVE INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE NEAR ADAK. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN
TODAY BUT NOT BEFORE SENDING STORM FORCE WINDS TOWARD THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND THE PRIBILOFS. UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL
RAPIDLY SHIFT EAST IN RESPONSE TO THE STRONG SYSTEM OUT WEST. THIS
WILL EVENTUALLY LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT PATTERN CHANGE FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
UPPER TROF FINALLY SWINGING THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL EARLY THIS MORNING
GIVING ONE FINAL REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR ACROSS THE REGION.
COLDEST TEMPERATURES OVER THE STATE REMAIN IN ALONG THE YUKON VALLEY
AND THE NORTH SLOPE. IN OUR DOMAIN...TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO
EVERYWHERE EXCEPT COASTAL AREAS AND WHERE CLOUD COVER IS LIMITING
RADIATIVE COOLING. ONE MORE NIGHT OF SUB ZERO TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TONIGHT BEFORE THE PATTERN CHANGE. A PERSISTENT FEATURE NEAR KACHEMAK
BAY CONTINUES TO BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO HOMER AND SELDOVIA.

COLD AIR ADVECTION FURTHER ENHANCING THE THERMAL GRADIENT RESULTING
IN GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS. WHITTIER AND SEWARD WINDS WILL
INCREASE TODAY AS WELL AS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS THE TROF AXIS
SHIFTS EASTWARD. WIND CHILL ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS
AND BROAD PASS WHERE COLD TEMPERATURES AND WINDS GUSTING TO 30 MPH
WILL DROP WIND CHILLS TO 30 TO 45 BELOW ZERO.

MUCH ADVERTISED PATTERN SHIFT COMING MONDAY NIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF
THE NPAC FRONT MOVE INTO THE GULF. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL FORM NEAR
KODIAK ISLAND WHILE TEMPERATURES CLIMB RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. KODIAK CITY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO NEAR 40 DEGREES
WHILE SOUTH CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS STAY CLOSER TO THE FREEZING MARK.
THINKING ANCHORAGE BOWL AND THE MATSU VALLEY WILL SEE SOME OVER
RUNNING MOISTURE MONDAY NIGHT. THAT WILL BRING SOME SNOW INITIALLY
BEFORE SOUTHEAST WINDS DOWNSLOPE THE AREA...CUTTING OFF ANY
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ON TUESDAY. AFTER TUESDAY...MODELS DIFFER WILDLY SO
HAVE KEPT THE CHANCE OF SNOW FOR A FEW PERIODS BEFORE CLEARING IT OUT
LATER IN THE WEEK.

SOUTHWEST...
THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY SEEING THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING WHILE BRISTOL BAY ZONE REMAINS BELOW ZERO FOR THE 11TH
STRAIGHT DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE A DRASTIC RECOVERY TO NEAR
FREEZING ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. COLD
AIR WILL LIKELY BE DIFFICULT TO ERODE AT THE SURFACE INITIALLY SO
WILL HAVE TO CONSIDER THE THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN...STILL TOO FAR OUT
TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST BUT SOMETHING WE WILL BE WATCHING FOR.

IN ADDITION...THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL LIKELY SEE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
AS A SECOND LOW ENTERS THE EASTERN BERING AND INCREASES THE WINDS
FROM THE EAST MONDAY NIGHT. AT SOME POINT...A BLIZZARD WATCH MAY BE
NECESSARY IF THE MODELS CONTINUE TO LEAN TOWARD THAT SOLUTION.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
THE WIND IS THE BIG STORY OUT WEST WITH A VIGOROUS SYSTEM DEVELOPING
TODAY. HIGH WIND WARNINGS PANNING OUT WITH ADAK PEAKING AT 74 KTS
EARLIER THIS MORNING. A BLIZZARD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
PRIBILOFS. HELD OFF ON UPGRADING TO A WARNING AS UNSURE IF
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH. WILL HAVE TO MAKE A DECISION IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS CONDITIONS WOULD BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINDS WILL WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST BUT A SECOND LOW WILL
DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE CHAIN TONIGHT A BIT FURTHER EAST THAN THE FIRST
LOW...PUTTING IT NEAR THE PRIBILOFS MONDAY EVENING. WILL HAVE TO
CONSIDER HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...187 191
         BLIZZARD WATCH...195
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...120 121 125 129 130 132 138
             140 141 150 155 160 179 185
         HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS...172 411 412 413
         STORMS...170 175 176 179 185
         GALES...121 129 130 132 138 150 155 160 165 171 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB JAN 08