Gale Warning 466, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 031200
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 125 NM EAST OF
KODIAK BY LATE TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 998 MB THEN DISSIPATE BY WED
AFTERNOON. A 996 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WED
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 500 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY LATE WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS EAST OF
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM...GUSTS TO 35 KT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM...GUSTS
TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE JUN 3 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
145 PM ADT MON JUN 2 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AGAIN
TODAY...WITH THE NAM AGAIN BEING USED FOR SHORT TERM SPECIFICS. THE
UPPER TROUGH IS MOVING INTO THE GULF WITH THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW
CURRENTLY 100 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND. STRONGER WINDS AND
HEAVIER PRECIP ARE MOVING ONTO THE NORTH GULF COAST AHEAD OF A FRONT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE FRONT IN THE CENTRAL GULF LIFTS NORTH AND
DISSIPATES ONCE IT CRASHES ON-SHORE EARLY TUESDAY. E-W GAP WINDS WILL
CONTINUE WITH WINDS HIGHER THROUGH EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM. A FEW MORE
SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ON TUE AS THE
DOWNSLOPE GRADIENT RELAXES. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN
COVERAGE ON WED AS THE GULF LOW DISSIPATES. FURTHER WEST...WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE BERING WITH PLENTY OF STRATUS AND FOG.

A WELL ADVERTISED LOW DROPS OUT OF SIBERIA INTO THE NORTHERN BERING
ON WED. MODELS HAVE NOW COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT TRACKING A
SFC LOW TOWARD NORTON SOUND WHILE SWINGING A POWERFUL COLD FRONT ONTO
THE SW ALASKA COAST WED NIGHT. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE STEADY
PROGRESS ACROSS THE STATE USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR. SNOW MAY EVEN
HAVE TO BE INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST FOR THE SW PART OF THE STATE. IT
LOOKS LIKE A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE THU NIGHT WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW INITIALLY...THEN W/NW
UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE STATE NEXT
WEEKEND BEHIND THE FRONT. OFF-SHORE FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE A QUICK
REBOUND OF TEMPS BACK TOWARD NORMAL.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 130.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JCA