Brisk Wind Advisory 48, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 161213 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
415 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

CORRECTED ZONE 180

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST INTO WESTERN
ALASKA TONIGHT. A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL CROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS TODAY AND WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
FRIDAY.
$$

PKZ150-170200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-170200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-170200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-170200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-170200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
415 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-170200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 15 KT THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-170200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.TONIGHT AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-170200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-170200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE 25 KT INCREASING TO S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ176-170200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO S 50 KT THIS MORNING. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-170200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...S WIND 30 KT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 

$$

PKZ179-170200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT WED APR 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT TUE APR 15 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LONG WAVE PATTERN IS STILL PROPAGATING TO THE EAST. BOTH
UPPER TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA AND THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING ARE
MOVING EAST AT A FAIR GOOD CLIP.

THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH THE
CENTER OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND EASTERN BRISTOL BAY CONTINUES TO
MOVE SOUTHEAST. COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT HAS MOVED ALREADY MOVED
INTO THE THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND WESTERN BRISTOL BAY WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS.

SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA IS MOVE
NORTH THROUGH THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND WILL SPREAD TO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS AFTERNOON.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA WILL MOVE TO LIE ALONG THE ALCAN
BORDER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO WESTERN CANADA THURSDAY. THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE THURSDAY.
STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND THE RIDGE WILL COME TO
DOMINATE THE STATE BY THURSDAY. AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SEA OF OHKOTSK
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA THURSDAY. THERE IS STRONG COLD
AIR ADVECTION ALONG THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE AND MORE WARM WILL
MOVE BACK INTO THE BERING SEA ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE.

THE COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
GULF OF ALASKA AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TONIGHT AND INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA WEDNESDAY. SNOW OVER THE KENAI
PENINSULA, ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY WILL END THIS EVENING.
RAIN AND SNOW OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL CHANGE TO ALL SNOW THIS
EVENING AND END FROM THE WEST TONIGHT. SNOW OVER THE COPPER RIVER
WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND JUST BEHIND THE FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN
THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND COOK INLET AND ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND LATER
TONIGHT AND WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL MOVE INTO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND COPPER RIVER BASIN LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN BERING THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THURSDAY.
RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE THE THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER LEVEL FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST BUT WILL
ALSO SLOW DOWN. THE RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE STATE WILL LIE
OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER SUNDAY. THE UPPER
LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL MOVE INTO SIBERIA FRIDAY.

THE WARMER AIR MOVING INTO THE BERING THURSDAY WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN
ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA OVER THE
WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 121, 129, 132, 138, 141, 150, 155, 175, 180
         STORM 130, 176
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM APR 08