Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
THE STORMS DID FLARE UP ON APPROACH TO TULSA AS THEY
MOVED THROUGH THE BEST COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND
AND WIND FIELDS IN THE AREA.  THE STORMS ATTAINED
A MARGINALLY SEVERE LEVEL DURING THIS TIME.  WITH
OVERALL SLIGHTLY LESS POTENTIAL REMAINING IN THE
REST OF THE REGION IT WOULD SEEM THE SEVERE POTENTIAL
IS BECOMING VERY LIMITED.

STORMS BRIEFLY APPROACHING SEVERE LEVELS ARE LIKELY THE REST
OF THE EARLY MORNING ALONG THE LINE...BUT A WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT EVENT APPEARS UNLIKELY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
519 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
519 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS OCCURRING EARLY THIS
MORNING ALONG A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL POSE A MARGINAL
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT UNTIL THEY MOVE EAST OF THE AREA AROUND MID
MORNING.

THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER LATER TODAY
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...THEY
WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
MONITOR THE CURRENT LINE OF STORMS FOR MARGINAL SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL EARLY THIS MONRING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH WILL LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH OVER
THE WEEKEND ACCOMPANIED BY SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. A WARM
HUMID AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH
CONTINUED SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
145 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

OKZ054>062-064-066-067-080800-
CRAIG OK-CREEK OK-MAYES OK-NOWATA OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA
OK-PAWNEE OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-WASHINGTON OK-
145 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 300 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN OKMULGEE...NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...ROGERS...CRAIG...
     NORTHWESTERN OTTAWA...SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA...SOUTHERN
     WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTHERN CREEK...TULSA...
     NORTHWESTERN MAYES AND SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE

AT 145 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOLLOW TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF WATOVA TO 7 MILES WEST OF SPERRY TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF
DRUMRIGHT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN OKMULGEE...NORTHWESTERN WAGONER...
ROGERS...CRAIG...NORTHWESTERN OTTAWA...SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA...SOUTHERN
WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTHERN CREEK...TULSA...
NORTHWESTERN MAYES AND SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS THROUGH 300 AM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3707 9532 3663 9591 3634 9627 3594 9666
      3577 9612 3603 9564 3632 9531 3696 9463

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
235 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

OKZ057-058-061>063-080830-
CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-OTTAWA OK-ROGERS OK-
235 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     ROGERS...NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...OTTAWA AND
     MAYES

AT 235 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF PEORIA TO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF VINITA TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VERDIGRIS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

A LARGE PORTION OF ROGERS...NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN
CRAIG...OTTAWA AND MAYES COUNTIES WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
THROUGH 330 AM CDT.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3700 9500 3661 9541 3623 9582 3607 9543
      3666 9463 3698 9462

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

ARZ001-OKZ057-058-060>063-065>071-080915-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CHEROKEE OK-CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH
OK-MUSKOGEE OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OTTAWA OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA
OK-WAGONER OK-
304 AM CDT FRI JUN 8 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     BENTON

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE...WAGONER...SOUTHEASTERN ROGERS...DELAWARE...
     SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG...SOUTHEASTERN OTTAWA...NORTHERN ADAIR...
     SOUTHEASTERN TULSA AND MAYES

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE...CHEROKEE AND OKFUSKEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MCINTOSH

AT 304 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES EAST OF WYANDOTTE TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
INOLA TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF BEARDEN...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3694 9462 3618 9554 3534 9664 3530 9554
      3614 9443 3648 9386 3650 9459

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