Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 83

March 28, 200731 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2007, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2007, 11:54 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

52 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Thomas62 min
Mar 28, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley55 min
Mar 28, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDWallace50 min
Mar 28, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton34 min
Mar 28, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne48 min
Mar 28, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDLogan, Sherman, Wallace63 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMeade48 min
Mar 28, 6:49 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDWallace26 min
Mar 28, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton34 min
Mar 28, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley30 min
Mar 28, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFord, Gray39 min
Mar 28, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman60 min
Mar 28, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDSherman, Wallace58 min
Mar 28, 7:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMeade23 min
Mar 28, 7:23 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDDecatur37 min
Mar 28, 7:26 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCMeade34 min
Mar 28, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley65 min
Mar 28, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFord45 min
Mar 28, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDRawlins30 min
Mar 28, 7:47 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCGray28 min
Mar 28, 7:47 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDGreeley43 min
Mar 28, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stevens33 min
Mar 28, 8:05 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCFord25 min
Mar 28, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCLane23 min
Mar 28, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman65 min
Mar 28, 8:11 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDDundy34 min
Mar 28, 8:12 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCGray33 min
Mar 28, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman54 min
Mar 28, 8:25 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCFord35 min
Mar 28, 8:26 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCMeade34 min
Mar 28, 8:27 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDGreeley, Wallace63 min
Mar 28, 8:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman4 hr
Mar 28, 8:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne, Greeley, Sherman, Wallace4 hr
Mar 28, 8:35 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCFord, Gray, Hodgeman25 min
Mar 28, 8:44 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCHodgeman31 min
Mar 28, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCMeade34 min
Mar 28, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne48 min
Mar 28, 8:59 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDDundy61 min
Mar 28, 9:01 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDWallace44 min
Mar 28, 9:10 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne22 min
Mar 28, 9:11 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCHodgeman, Ness49 min
Mar 28, 9:11 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDSherman49 min
Mar 28, 9:14 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDGreeley61 min
Mar 28, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCNess30 min
Mar 28, 9:56 PM CDTTornado WarningDDCNess, Trego49 min
Mar 28, 9:56 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDWallace34 min
Mar 28, 9:56 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDSherman26 min
Mar 28, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCStanton41 min
Mar 28, 10:13 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne47 min
Mar 28, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDWallace35 min
Mar 28, 10:46 PM CDTTornado WarningGLDDundy19 min
Mar 28, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDWichita19 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 172 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2007-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2007-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 334 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1168 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
334 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 282102
SEL3  
SPC WW 282102
KSZ000-NEZ000-290500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN KANSAS
       EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 400 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF MCCOOK
NEBRASKA TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LIBERAL KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...WW 82...

DISCUSSION...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 56-62
F/ CONTINUES TO SURGE NWD/NNWWD INTO WRN KS FROM OK...TO THE E OF A
CONFLUENCE BOUNDARY FROM W OF LBL TO NEAR GLD.  THE DEEPER MIXED
LAYER AND MUCH DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER IS LOCATED TO THE W ACROSS ERN
CO.  THE SURFACE MOISTURE GRADIENT MAY TEND TO CONSOLIDATE THROUGH
THE EVENING ACROSS EXTREME WRN KS...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR STORM
INITIATION.  THE MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW-MID 70S WILL SUPPORT STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS
OF 2000 J/KG/.  AT THE SAME TIME...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS INTO THIS EVENING.  GIVEN THAT
THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ACROSS WRN
KS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND A COUPLE OF STRONG
TORNADOES.  LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...STORMS MAY GRADUALLY
MERGE INTO A LARGER N-S CONVECTIVE BAND WITH MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND
AND LARGE HAIL THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 3:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Clark, Decatur, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 31 more91 min
Mar 28, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Clark, Decatur, Finney, Ford, Gove and 25 more2 hr
Mar 28, 2:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Deuel, Garden and 6 more116 min
Mar 28, 2:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBox Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Morrill7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.