Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 82

March 28, 2007Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 44 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 3:14 PM CDT for Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 44 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2007, 3:14 PM CDT (20:14 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2007, 11:29 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Moore County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

66 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBFloyd, Hale48 min
Mar 28, 4:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Floyd51 min
Mar 28, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Swisher54 min
Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBBriscoe, Floyd, Swisher60 min
Mar 28, 5:42 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBFloyd33 min
Mar 28, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong61 min
Mar 28, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson66 min
Mar 28, 6:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBBriscoe27 min
Mar 28, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Potter61 min
Mar 28, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBBriscoe34 min
Mar 28, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOchiltree, Roberts40 min
Mar 28, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb67 min
Mar 28, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADonley66 min
Mar 28, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBBriscoe, Hall60 min
Mar 28, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson66 min
Mar 28, 6:41 PM CDTTornado WarningAMADonley49 min
Mar 28, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong60 min
Mar 28, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver58 min
Mar 28, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson61 min
Mar 28, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHansford, Hutchinson39 min
Mar 28, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAGray62 min
Mar 28, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningAMABeaver39 min
Mar 28, 7:24 PM CDTTornado WarningAMADonley51 min
Mar 28, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAMoore, Sherman61 min
Mar 28, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMATexas58 min
Mar 28, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong62 min
Mar 28, 7:44 PM CDTTornado WarningAMATexas46 min
Mar 28, 7:50 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyAMAGray40 min
Mar 28, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson62 min
Mar 28, 8:16 PM CDTTornado WarningAMADonley29 min
Mar 28, 8:22 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAWheeler38 min
Mar 28, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey67 min
Mar 28, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter, Randall65 min
Mar 28, 8:27 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAGray48 min
Mar 28, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Roberts58 min
Mar 28, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLamb54 min
Mar 28, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran, Yoakum64 min
Mar 28, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson61 min
Mar 28, 8:59 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAWheeler46 min
Mar 28, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCastro, Parmer60 min
Mar 28, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson56 min
Mar 28, 9:10 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAGray29 min
Mar 28, 9:17 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill43 min
Mar 28, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith63 min
Mar 28, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARoberts63 min
Mar 28, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford62 min
Mar 28, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb61 min
Mar 28, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Lamb60 min
Mar 28, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter, Randall58 min
Mar 28, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAGray65 min
Mar 28, 9:46 PM CDTTornado WarningAMARoberts44 min
Mar 28, 9:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum56 min
Mar 28, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson67 min
Mar 28, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCastro30 min
Mar 28, 10:04 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill41 min
Mar 28, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver54 min
Mar 28, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson62 min
Mar 28, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHale, Swisher54 min
Mar 28, 10:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARoberts53 min
Mar 28, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb64 min
Mar 28, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLamb45 min
Mar 28, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter, Randall56 min
Mar 28, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry65 min
Mar 28, 11:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBriscoe, Floyd, Hale, Swisher60 min
Mar 28, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong57 min
Mar 28, 11:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 19 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 693 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
693 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-221 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1508 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 282022
SEL2  
SPC WW 282022
OKZ000-TXZ000-290500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
       THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTH PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 315 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF GUYMON
OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...

DISCUSSION...THE LOW LEVELS CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AS BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS OF 60-64 F SPREAD NWD/NWWD ON STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL
FLOW.  ALSO...SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 70S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...RESULTING IN WEAKENING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. 
THE DRYLINE IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED NEAR THE TX/NM BORDER...AND
SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS.  ALSO...A SUBTLE MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ROTATING
NEWD TOWARD W/NW TX...AND AT LEAST ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INVOF THE E CENTRAL AND SE TX PANHANDLE. 
GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS IN AREA PROFILERS AND VWP/S...AS WELL AS SHORT TERM MODEL
FORECASTS...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.  THE INITIAL ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.  BY EARLY TONIGHT...CONVECTION MAY
GROW UPSCALE INTO ONE OR MORE LINE SEGMENTS WITH MORE OF A LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 4:54 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more6 hr
Mar 28, 1:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth and 29 more83 min
Mar 28, 6:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 19 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.