Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 82
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2007, 3:14 PM CDT for Beaver County, Cimarron County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 44 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2007, 3:14 PM CDT (20:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 28, 2007, 11:29 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Particularly dangerous situation
- Yes
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 47 counties
Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Moore County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 60%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 95%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 80%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
66 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Floyd, Hale | 48 min |
| Mar 28, 4:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Floyd | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 5:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Swisher | 54 min |
| Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Floyd, Swisher | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 5:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Floyd | 33 min |
| Mar 28, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 66 min |
| Mar 28, 6:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Briscoe | 27 min |
| Mar 28, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Potter | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 6:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Briscoe | 34 min |
| Mar 28, 6:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Ochiltree, Roberts | 40 min |
| Mar 28, 6:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Lipscomb | 67 min |
| Mar 28, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Donley | 66 min |
| Mar 28, 6:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Hall | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hutchinson | 66 min |
| Mar 28, 6:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Donley | 49 min |
| Mar 28, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 6:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 58 min |
| Mar 28, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 7:06 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hansford, Hutchinson | 39 min |
| Mar 28, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Gray | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Beaver | 39 min |
| Mar 28, 7:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Donley | 51 min |
| Mar 28, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Moore, Sherman | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Texas | 58 min |
| Mar 28, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 7:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Texas | 46 min |
| Mar 28, 7:50 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Gray | 40 min |
| Mar 28, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 8:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Donley | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 8:22 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Wheeler | 38 min |
| Mar 28, 8:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey | 67 min |
| Mar 28, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Potter, Randall | 65 min |
| Mar 28, 8:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Gray | 48 min |
| Mar 28, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Roberts | 58 min |
| Mar 28, 8:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lamb | 54 min |
| Mar 28, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Yoakum | 64 min |
| Mar 28, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hutchinson | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 8:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Wheeler | 46 min |
| Mar 28, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro, Parmer | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 9:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 56 min |
| Mar 28, 9:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Gray | 29 min |
| Mar 28, 9:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill | 43 min |
| Mar 28, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith | 63 min |
| Mar 28, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Roberts | 63 min |
| Mar 28, 9:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hansford | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 9:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Lipscomb | 61 min |
| Mar 28, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Lamb | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 9:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Potter, Randall | 58 min |
| Mar 28, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Gray | 65 min |
| Mar 28, 9:46 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Roberts | 44 min |
| Mar 28, 9:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum | 56 min |
| Mar 28, 9:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hutchinson | 67 min |
| Mar 28, 10:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro | 30 min |
| Mar 28, 10:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill | 41 min |
| Mar 28, 10:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 54 min |
| Mar 28, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson | 62 min |
| Mar 28, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Swisher | 54 min |
| Mar 28, 10:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Roberts | 53 min |
| Mar 28, 10:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Lipscomb | 64 min |
| Mar 28, 10:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lamb | 45 min |
| Mar 28, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Potter, Randall | 56 min |
| Mar 28, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry | 65 min |
| Mar 28, 11:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Floyd, Hale, Swisher | 60 min |
| Mar 28, 11:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 57 min |
| Mar 28, 11:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 64 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 19 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 693 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -221 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1508 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -1.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 282022
SEL2
SPC WW 282022
OKZ000-TXZ000-290500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM CDT WED MAR 28 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND THE SOUTH PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 315 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF GUYMON
OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 80...WW 81...
DISCUSSION...THE LOW LEVELS CONTINUE TO MOISTEN AS BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS OF 60-64 F SPREAD NWD/NWWD ON STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL
FLOW. ALSO...SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 70S ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...RESULTING IN WEAKENING CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.
THE DRYLINE IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED NEAR THE TX/NM BORDER...AND
SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. ALSO...A SUBTLE MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ROTATING
NEWD TOWARD W/NW TX...AND AT LEAST ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INVOF THE E CENTRAL AND SE TX PANHANDLE.
GIVEN THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS IN AREA PROFILERS AND VWP/S...AS WELL AS SHORT TERM MODEL
FORECASTS...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE INITIAL ACTIVITY
SHOULD BE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. BY EARLY TONIGHT...CONVECTION MAY
GROW UPSCALE INTO ONE OR MORE LINE SEGMENTS WITH MORE OF A LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 4:54 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 28, 1:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth and 29 more | 83 min |
| Mar 28, 6:29 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 19 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.