Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 78
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas; 14 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 27, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 27, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 41 counties
Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Panola County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 12:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo | 55 min |
| Mar 27, 12:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison | 61 min |
| Mar 27, 1:00 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SHV | Harrison | 4 hr |
| Mar 27, 1:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Caddo | 53 min |
| Mar 27, 1:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | De Soto | 59 min |
| Mar 27, 1:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bossier | 64 min |
| Mar 27, 2:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Webster | 55 min |
| Mar 27, 2:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Columbia | 54 min |
| Mar 27, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo | 62 min |
| Mar 27, 3:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville | 60 min |
| Mar 27, 3:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Claiborne | 27 min |
| Mar 27, 3:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 64 min |
| Mar 27, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Panola | 60 min |
| Mar 27, 3:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 56 min |
| Mar 27, 3:35 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo | 55 min |
| Mar 27, 3:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Union | 64 min |
| Mar 27, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun | 50 min |
| Mar 27, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Webster | 64 min |
| Mar 27, 4:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Dallas | 47 min |
| Mar 27, 4:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville | 32 min |
| Mar 27, 4:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Bradley | 54 min |
| Mar 27, 4:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo | 35 min |
| Mar 27, 4:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Lincoln | 60 min |
| Mar 27, 4:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier | 63 min |
| Mar 27, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Claiborne | 53 min |
| Mar 27, 5:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 65 min |
| Mar 27, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Drew | 47 min |
| Mar 27, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Webster | 53 min |
| Mar 27, 5:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark | 51 min |
| Mar 27, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Caddo | 56 min |
| Mar 27, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Webster | 35 min |
| Mar 27, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier | 60 min |
| Mar 27, 8:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Webster | 60 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 738 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 271735
SEL8
SPC WW 271735
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-280100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 78
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS SHOWN EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES ACROSS EXTREME NE TX DURING THE PAST HOUR...WHILE OTHER
STORMS ARE FORMING IN A SEPARATE CLUSTER IN SW AR. THE SHV VWP
REVEALS A NARROW CORRIDOR WITH FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS...AND IT APPEARS THERE IS SOME ORGANIZATION TO THE STORM
CLUSTERS ON THE MESOSCALE. WITH GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION CONTINUING
ACROSS AR/NRN LA IN ADVANCE OF THE STORMS...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE ISOLATED TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND/HAIL THREAT TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NW LA INTO SW AR. ADDITIONALLY...MORE
ISOLATED TSTMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS E TX AND SPREAD NEWD INTO WRN LA
ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 11:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 2:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Union | 87 min |
| Mar 27, 4:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Jefferson and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot, Desha | 2 hr |
| Mar 27, 6:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more | 64 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.