Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 78

March 27, 200721 counties in Arkansas; 14 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 27, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT for 21 counties in Arkansas; 14 parishes in Louisiana; 6 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2007, 12:35 PM CDT (17:35 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Panola County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 12:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo55 min
Mar 27, 12:44 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHarrison61 min
Mar 27, 1:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVHarrison4 hr
Mar 27, 1:07 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCaddo53 min
Mar 27, 1:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto59 min
Mar 27, 1:41 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier64 min
Mar 27, 2:20 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVWebster55 min
Mar 27, 2:51 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia54 min
Mar 27, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo62 min
Mar 27, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville60 min
Mar 27, 3:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVClaiborne27 min
Mar 27, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion64 min
Mar 27, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVPanola60 min
Mar 27, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion56 min
Mar 27, 3:35 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Caddo55 min
Mar 27, 3:41 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVUnion64 min
Mar 27, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun50 min
Mar 27, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWebster64 min
Mar 27, 4:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDallas47 min
Mar 27, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville32 min
Mar 27, 4:21 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley54 min
Mar 27, 4:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo35 min
Mar 27, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLincoln60 min
Mar 27, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier63 min
Mar 27, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVClaiborne53 min
Mar 27, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion65 min
Mar 27, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDrew47 min
Mar 27, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWebster53 min
Mar 27, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark51 min
Mar 27, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCaddo56 min
Mar 27, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWebster35 min
Mar 27, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier60 min
Mar 27, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWebster60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 271735
SEL8  
SPC WW 271735
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-280100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 78
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
       NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
       EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS SHOWN EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES ACROSS EXTREME NE TX DURING THE PAST HOUR...WHILE OTHER
STORMS ARE FORMING IN A SEPARATE CLUSTER IN SW AR.  THE SHV VWP
REVEALS A NARROW CORRIDOR WITH FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS...AND IT APPEARS THERE IS SOME ORGANIZATION TO THE STORM
CLUSTERS ON THE MESOSCALE.  WITH GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION CONTINUING
ACROSS AR/NRN LA IN ADVANCE OF THE STORMS...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE ISOLATED TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND/HAIL THREAT TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NW LA INTO SW AR.  ADDITIONALLY...MORE
ISOLATED TSTMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS E TX AND SPREAD NEWD INTO WRN LA
ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS.  THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 11:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 9 more2 hr
Mar 27, 2:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Union87 min
Mar 27, 4:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Jefferson and 2 more2 hr
Mar 27, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Desha2 hr
Mar 27, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more64 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.