Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 79

March 27, 2007Ashley County, Chicot County, Desha County, Arkansas; East Carroll Parish, Morehouse Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana; 5 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2007, 5:58 PM CDT for Ashley County, Chicot County, Desha County, Arkansas; East Carroll Parish, Morehouse Parish, West Carroll Parish, Louisiana; 5 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2007, 5:58 PM CDT (22:58 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2007, 8:19 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Ashley County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Desha County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Bolivar County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Washington County, MS

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 168 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2007-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2007-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
755 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 11:58 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia and 9 more2 hr
Mar 27, 12:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 15 more9 hr
Mar 27, 2:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Union87 min
Mar 27, 4:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Jefferson and 2 more2 hr
Mar 27, 6:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 28 more64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.