Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 720
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 18, 2007, 2:27 AM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Indiana; 22 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 18, 2007, 2:27 AM CDT (07:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2007, 6:38 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY
The radar
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union | 37 min |
| Oct 18, 3:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Johnson, Williamson | 45 min |
| Oct 18, 3:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pulaski | 44 min |
| Oct 18, 3:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hamilton, Saline | 31 min |
| Oct 18, 3:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 47 min |
| Oct 18, 3:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Wabash, White | 56 min |
| Oct 18, 4:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wabash | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1606 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 127 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 193 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 180727
SEL0
SPC WW 180727
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-181400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 720
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 716...WW 717...WW
718...WW 719...
DISCUSSION...SE MO MCS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENE INTO NARROW AXIS OF
MODEST SFC-BASED INSTABILITY ALONG THE MID MS AND LWR OH RVR VLYS.
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IS LIKELY BEING INFLUENCED BY ASCENT ON SERN END
OF NEGATIVE TILT ERN KS UPR TROUGH. WHILE SQLN SHOULD WEAKEN UPON
MOVING BEYOND INSTABILITY AXIS LATER THIS MORNING...CURRENT
CONDITIONS SUGGEST THAT EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/SMALL SCALE BOWS SHOULD
REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES INTO PARTS OF IL/WRN KY AND PERHAPS SW IND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 7:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and 3 more | 63 min |
| Oct 17, 10:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 34 more | 64 min |
| Oct 17, 11:40 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 13 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 18, 2:01 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 29 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 18, 2:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Christian, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 14 more | 58 min |
| Oct 18, 4:08 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 34 more | 67 min |
| Oct 18, 4:37 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ford, Iroquois, Kankakee | 3 hr |
| Oct 18, 11:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Stephenson and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more | 9 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 23 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 18, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 28 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 18, 5:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac and 6 more | 66 min |
| Oct 18, 6:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford and 16 more | 116 min |
| Oct 18, 10:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Spencer | 2 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington and 13 more | 61 min |
| Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ballard, Calloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman and 3 more | 93 min |
| Oct 18, 6:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 17 more | 90 min |
| Oct 17, 7:09 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 7 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:31 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.