Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 720

October 18, 200715 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Indiana; 22 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 18, 2007, 2:27 AM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 6 counties in Indiana; 22 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 18, 2007, 2:27 AM CDT (07:27 UTC)
Expired
Oct 18, 2007, 6:38 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 2:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union37 min
Oct 18, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFranklin, Johnson, Williamson45 min
Oct 18, 3:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pulaski44 min
Oct 18, 3:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHamilton, Saline31 min
Oct 18, 3:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWayne47 min
Oct 18, 3:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHEdwards, Wabash, White56 min
Oct 18, 4:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHWabash36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2007-10-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2007-10-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1606 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 180727
SEL0  
SPC WW 180727
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 720
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
       SOUTHWEST INDIANA
       WESTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 225 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 716...WW 717...WW
718...WW 719...

DISCUSSION...SE MO MCS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENE INTO NARROW AXIS OF
MODEST SFC-BASED INSTABILITY ALONG THE MID MS AND LWR OH RVR VLYS. 
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IS LIKELY BEING INFLUENCED BY ASCENT ON SERN END
OF NEGATIVE TILT ERN KS UPR TROUGH.  WHILE SQLN SHOULD WEAKEN UPON
MOVING BEYOND INSTABILITY AXIS LATER THIS MORNING...CURRENT
CONDITIONS SUGGEST THAT EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/SMALL SCALE BOWS SHOULD
REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO POSE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES INTO PARTS OF IL/WRN KY AND PERHAPS SW IND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and 3 more63 min
Oct 17, 10:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 34 more64 min
Oct 17, 11:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 13 more4 hr
Oct 18, 2:01 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 29 more5 hr
Oct 18, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 14 more58 min
Oct 18, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 34 more67 min
Oct 18, 4:37 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCFord, Iroquois, Kankakee3 hr
Oct 18, 11:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Stephenson and 1 more2 hr
Oct 18, 1:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more9 hr
Oct 18, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 23 more2 hr
Oct 18, 3:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 28 more8 hr
Oct 18, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac and 6 more66 min
Oct 18, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford and 16 more116 min
Oct 18, 10:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Floyd, Harrison, Perry, Spencer2 hr
Oct 18, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Huntington and 13 more61 min
Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Calloway, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman and 3 more93 min
Oct 18, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBath, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Campbell, Clark and 17 more90 min
Oct 17, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot7 hr
Oct 18, 1:31 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.