Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 717

October 17, 200719 counties in Illinois; 49 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 11:40 PM CDT for 19 counties in Illinois; 49 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 17, 2007, 11:40 PM CDT (04:40 UTC)
Expired
Oct 18, 2007, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Boone County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFPulaski, Texas55 min
Oct 17, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent76 min
Oct 17, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Iron, Reynolds, Washington65 min
Oct 18, 12:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Marion, Monroe, Montgomery, Ralls43 min
Oct 18, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Maries, Phelps52 min
Oct 18, 12:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark57 min
Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXJefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois63 min
Oct 18, 12:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAdams, Calhoun, Pike45 min
Oct 18, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford32 min
Oct 18, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Saint Charles, Warren44 min
Oct 18, 12:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell51 min
Oct 18, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike63 min
Oct 18, 1:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon59 min
Oct 18, 1:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Monroe, Saint Clair61 min
Oct 18, 1:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Ripley42 min
Oct 18, 1:32 AM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Oregon42 min
Oct 18, 1:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon27 min
Oct 18, 1:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Stoddard, Wayne41 min
Oct 18, 2:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery40 min
Oct 18, 2:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott33 min
Oct 18, 2:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid51 min
Oct 18, 2:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 287 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2007-10-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1262 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2007-10-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 266 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1262 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
618 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.4
Supercell composite
8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 180438
SEL7  
SPC WW 180438
ILZ000-MOZ000-181100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN ILLINOIS
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1140 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ALTON ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 714. WATCH NUMBER 714 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1140 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 713...WW 715...WW 716...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS MO AND INTO WESTERN IL DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. 
VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES COMBINED WITH SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY MAY MAINTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...AS WELL AS
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 17, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and 3 more63 min
Oct 17, 10:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 34 more64 min
Oct 18, 2:01 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 29 more5 hr
Oct 18, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 14 more58 min
Oct 18, 2:27 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCEdwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jefferson and 9 more4 hr
Oct 18, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 34 more67 min
Oct 18, 4:37 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCFord, Iroquois, Kankakee3 hr
Oct 18, 11:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Stephenson and 1 more2 hr
Oct 18, 1:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more9 hr
Oct 18, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 23 more2 hr
Oct 18, 3:23 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 28 more8 hr
Oct 18, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac and 6 more66 min
Oct 18, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford and 16 more116 min
Oct 17, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot7 hr
Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot93 min
Oct 18, 1:31 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.