Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 717
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 17, 2007, 11:40 PM CDT for 19 counties in Illinois; 49 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 17, 2007, 11:40 PM CDT (04:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2007, 4:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 68 counties
Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Union County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Boone County, MO, Butler County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Perry County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Wright County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 40%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 11:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Pulaski, Texas | 55 min |
| Oct 17, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent | 76 min |
| Oct 17, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Iron, Reynolds, Washington | 65 min |
| Oct 18, 12:02 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Marion, Monroe, Montgomery, Ralls | 43 min |
| Oct 18, 12:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent, Maries, Phelps | 52 min |
| Oct 18, 12:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark | 57 min |
| Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Jefferson, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois | 63 min |
| Oct 18, 12:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Adams, Calhoun, Pike | 45 min |
| Oct 18, 12:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 32 min |
| Oct 18, 12:46 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Saint Charles, Warren | 44 min |
| Oct 18, 12:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 51 min |
| Oct 18, 1:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Pike | 63 min |
| Oct 18, 1:13 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 59 min |
| Oct 18, 1:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair | 61 min |
| Oct 18, 1:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Butler, Ripley | 42 min |
| Oct 18, 1:32 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon | 42 min |
| Oct 18, 1:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 27 min |
| Oct 18, 1:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Stoddard, Wayne | 41 min |
| Oct 18, 2:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Macoupin, Montgomery | 40 min |
| Oct 18, 2:12 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Scott | 33 min |
| Oct 18, 2:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Mississippi, New Madrid | 51 min |
| Oct 18, 2:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 4.7 hours before the alert went out and 287 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1262 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 618 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 266 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 287 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.4
- Supercell composite
- 8.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 180438
SEL7
SPC WW 180438
ILZ000-MOZ000-181100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1140 PM
UNTIL 600 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ALTON ILLINOIS TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 714. WATCH NUMBER 714 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1140 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 713...WW 715...WW 716...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS MO AND INTO WESTERN IL DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES COMBINED WITH SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY MAY MAINTAIN A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...AS WELL AS
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 7:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and 3 more | 63 min |
| Oct 17, 10:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Alexander, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Cass and 34 more | 64 min |
| Oct 18, 2:01 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles and 29 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 18, 2:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bond, Calhoun, Christian, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 14 more | 58 min |
| Oct 18, 2:27 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jefferson and 9 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 18, 4:08 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 34 more | 67 min |
| Oct 18, 4:37 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ford, Iroquois, Kankakee | 3 hr |
| Oct 18, 11:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Boone, Carroll, Kane, McHenry, Ogle, Stephenson and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more | 9 hr |
| Oct 18, 1:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 23 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 18, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 28 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 18, 5:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alexander, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac and 6 more | 66 min |
| Oct 18, 6:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Champaign, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Crawford and 16 more | 116 min |
| Oct 17, 7:09 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 7 hr |
| Oct 18, 12:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dunklin, Mississippi, New Madrid, Pemiscot | 93 min |
| Oct 18, 1:31 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dunklin, Pemiscot | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.