Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 677
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT for 34 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT (05:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 21, 2007, 6:04 AM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND, Day County, SD, Grant County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 95%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 12:01 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Traverse | 14 min |
| Sep 21, 12:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin | 66 min |
| Sep 21, 12:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Otter Tail | 62 min |
| Sep 21, 1:06 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Douglas | 38 min |
| Sep 21, 1:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Todd | 54 min |
| Sep 21, 1:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Wadena | 62 min |
| Sep 21, 1:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker, Clay | 64 min |
| Sep 21, 1:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Otter Tail | 61 min |
| Sep 21, 2:19 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Cass | 56 min |
| Sep 21, 2:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Hubbard | 55 min |
| Sep 21, 2:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Clay | 63 min |
| Sep 21, 3:23 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Becker | 47 min |
| Sep 21, 5:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Wright | 44 min |
| Sep 21, 5:36 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chisago, Isanti | 25 min |
| Sep 21, 5:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton | 18 min |
| Sep 21, 5:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Sherburne | 17 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1300 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -105 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1981 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 121 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 6.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 210459
SEL7
SPC WW 210459
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-211200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 700 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BEMIDJI
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 674...WW 675...WW 676...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN STRENGTHENING
WAA ZONE ACROSS ERN ND/NE SD AND WRN/CNTRL MN OVERNIGHT AS WIND
FIELDS INTENSIFY DOWNSTREAM FROM STRONG NRN STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW
OVER MT. QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...DEVELOPING SFC LOW AND
EXISTING WEAK WSW-ENE-ORIENTED BOUNDARY PARALLEL TO STRONG WSWLY
DEEP SHEAR SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES BEFORE ACTIVITY MERGES
INTO A LARGE CLUSTER TOWARD DAWN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Murray, Nobles, Pipestone, Rock | 95 min |
| Sep 20, 11:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Aitkin, Carlton, Cass, Cook, Crow Wing, Itasca and 4 more | 7 hr |
| Sep 21, 3:08 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aitkin, Carlton, Cook, Itasca, Koochiching, Lake and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 21, 3:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay and 27 more | 2 hr |
| Sep 21, 6:04 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Aitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Carver, Cass and 24 more | 5 hr |
| Sep 21, 1:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chisago, Cook, Dakota, Dodge, Fillmore, Freeborn and 10 more | 116 min |
| Sep 21, 3:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Houston | 88 min |
| Sep 21, 3:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Houston | 4 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.