Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 677

September 21, 200734 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT for 34 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in North Dakota; 4 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT (05:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 21, 2007, 6:04 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Pope County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Traill County, ND, Day County, SD, Grant County, SD, Marshall County, SD, Roberts County, SD

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 12:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRTraverse14 min
Sep 21, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant, Otter Tail, Wilkin66 min
Sep 21, 12:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail62 min
Sep 21, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas38 min
Sep 21, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd54 min
Sep 21, 1:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFWadena62 min
Sep 21, 1:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay64 min
Sep 21, 1:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFOtter Tail61 min
Sep 21, 2:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFCass56 min
Sep 21, 2:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard55 min
Sep 21, 2:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay63 min
Sep 21, 3:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker47 min
Sep 21, 5:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright44 min
Sep 21, 5:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Isanti25 min
Sep 21, 5:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton18 min
Sep 21, 5:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne17 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2007-09-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1300 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 00:00Z on 2007-09-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 94 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1300 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 210459
SEL7  
SPC WW 210459
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-211200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
       EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
       NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
ORTONVILLE MINNESOTA TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BEMIDJI
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 674...WW 675...WW 676...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN STRENGTHENING
WAA ZONE ACROSS ERN ND/NE SD AND WRN/CNTRL MN OVERNIGHT AS WIND
FIELDS INTENSIFY DOWNSTREAM FROM STRONG NRN STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW
OVER MT.  QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...DEVELOPING SFC LOW AND
EXISTING WEAK WSW-ENE-ORIENTED BOUNDARY PARALLEL TO STRONG WSWLY
DEEP SHEAR SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES BEFORE ACTIVITY MERGES
INTO A LARGE CLUSTER TOWARD DAWN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 8:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMurray, Nobles, Pipestone, Rock95 min
Sep 20, 11:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Cook, Crow Wing, Itasca and 4 more7 hr
Sep 21, 3:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cook, Itasca, Koochiching, Lake and 2 more2 hr
Sep 21, 3:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Benton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Clay and 27 more2 hr
Sep 21, 6:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Carver, Cass and 24 more5 hr
Sep 21, 1:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChisago, Cook, Dakota, Dodge, Fillmore, Freeborn and 10 more116 min
Sep 21, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHouston88 min
Sep 21, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCHouston4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2007Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.