Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 257
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 8, 2007, 12:01 PM CDT for 33 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 8, 2007, 12:01 PM CDT (17:01 UTC)
- Expired
- May 8, 2007, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 33 counties
Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 12:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reeves | 27 min |
| May 8, 12:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Winkler | 4 hr |
| May 8, 12:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Winkler | 4 hr |
| May 8, 12:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Martin | 43 min |
| May 8, 12:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ward | 3 hr |
| May 8, 1:06 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Dawson | 3 hr |
| May 8, 1:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 25 min |
| May 8, 1:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane | 62 min |
| May 8, 1:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ector, Martin, Midland | 42 min |
| May 8, 1:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Dawson, Howard, Martin | 53 min |
| May 8, 2:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 60 min |
| May 8, 2:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland, Mitchell | 58 min |
| May 8, 2:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Dawson | 3 hr |
| May 8, 2:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Scurry | 60 min |
| May 8, 2:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Martin | 5 hr |
| May 8, 2:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Upton | 4 hr |
| May 8, 2:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Presidio | 55 min |
| May 8, 2:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reagan | 67 min |
| May 8, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis | 65 min |
| May 8, 3:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Upton | 44 min |
| May 8, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 67 min |
| May 8, 3:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Reagan | 4 hr |
| May 8, 3:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Mitchell, Scurry | 55 min |
| May 8, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Reagan | 46 min |
| May 8, 4:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 62 min |
| May 8, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 45 min |
| May 8, 4:22 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Fisher, Nolan | 4 hr |
| May 8, 4:34 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Brewster | 4 hr |
| May 8, 4:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Coke, Sterling | 4 hr |
| May 8, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 67 min |
| May 8, 5:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 3 hr |
| May 8, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 62 min |
| May 8, 5:27 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Dawson | 4 hr |
| May 8, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Irion, Tom Green | 63 min |
| May 8, 5:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Irion, Tom Green | 4 hr |
| May 8, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Jeff Davis | 41 min |
| May 8, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett | 53 min |
| May 8, 6:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Presidio | 26 min |
| May 8, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coke, Runnels | 56 min |
| May 8, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Brewster | 20 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 13 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 453 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -194 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 843 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 138 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 221 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 081701
SEL7
SPC WW 081701
TXZ000-090000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 257
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM CDT TUE MAY 8 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
BIG SPRING TEXAS TO 65 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FORT STOCKTON
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD
ACROSS WATCH. WITH STRONG VEERING LOW LEVEL SHEAR...VICINITY OF E/W
BOUNDARY AND MLCAPES TO 1500 J/KG...EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS IN THE LINE
ARE LIKELY. ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT CAN DEVELOP.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 7:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Delta, Fannin, Franklin, Grayson and 6 more | 60 min |
| May 7, 7:32 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Camp, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton and 15 more | 7 hr |
| May 7, 8:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle and 38 more | 7 hr |
| May 7, 9:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr, Kinney and 8 more | 67 min |
| May 7, 9:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Camp, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton and 15 more | 60 min |
| May 7, 11:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Cochran, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 12 more | 60 min |
| May 7, 11:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Cochran, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 17 more | 62 min |
| May 8, 11:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Callahan, Coke, Crane, Ector, Fisher and 20 more | 116 min |
| May 8, 2:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Crockett, Fisher, Glasscock, Irion, Mitchell and 6 more | 91 min |
| May 8, 2:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 33 more | 2 hr |
| May 8, 3:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more | 6 hr |
| May 8, 5:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Hardeman, Jack, Jones and 8 more | 96 min |
| May 8, 5:29 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Montague and 8 more | 5 hr |
| May 8, 6:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Medina, Real and 2 more | 62 min |
| May 8, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 8 more | 4 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.