Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 752

May 8, 200726 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 8, 2007, 11:19 AM CDT for 26 counties in Texas. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 8, 2007, 11:19 AM CDT (16:19 UTC)
Expired
May 8, 2007, 1:15 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 26 counties

Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crane County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 4.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 453 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
453 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-194 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 081620
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081619 
TXZ000-081815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT TUE MAY 08 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH W CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

VALID 081619Z - 081815Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT FOR PRIMARILY ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND AS THEY DEVELOP EWD THROUGH SWRN AND WRN TX
INTO THE AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE WW.

LATE THIS MORNING A SURFACE FRONT PARTIALLY ENHANCED BY CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES EXTENDS FROM ERN OK SWWD THROUGH N CNTRL TX...
THEN FARTHER SW INTO SWRN TX. THE MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS S OF
THE FRONT WHERE STRONGER SURFACE HEATING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPE
FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG. MUCAPE IS LESS N OF THE FRONT WHERE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS COOLER. HOWEVER...RECENT SURFACE DATA SHOW BREAKS
DEVELOPING IN LOW CLOUDS AND SUGGESTS THE BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE N OF THE FRONT. SEVERE THREAT WITH LINE OF
STORMS ACROSS WRN INTO SWRN TX IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AS THE
DOWNSTREAM ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. EFFECTIVE SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT
FOR ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WITHIN THE LINE. THOUGH THE PRIMARY
MODE SHOULD REMAIN LINEAR...SOME EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL
BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ON SRN END OF LINE OR POSSIBLY DEVELOPING
JUST EAST OF THE LINE.

..DIAL.. 05/08/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

31190335 32190241 33340136 33349941 32329918 31130123
30110195 30130292

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Delta, Fannin, Franklin, Grayson and 6 more60 min
May 7, 7:32 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCamp, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton and 15 more7 hr
May 7, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Coke, Cottle and 38 more7 hr
May 7, 9:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr, Kinney and 8 more67 min
May 7, 9:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamp, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton and 15 more60 min
May 7, 11:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 12 more60 min
May 7, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Cochran, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 17 more62 min
May 8, 12:01 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Borden, Brewster, Coke, Crane, Crockett and 27 more7 hr
May 8, 2:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Crockett, Fisher, Glasscock, Irion, Mitchell and 6 more91 min
May 8, 2:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 33 more2 hr
May 8, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more6 hr
May 8, 5:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Hardeman, Jack, Jones and 8 more96 min
May 8, 5:29 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Haskell, Jack, Montague and 8 more5 hr
May 8, 6:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Medina, Real and 2 more62 min
May 8, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 8 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.