Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 219

May 3, 200712 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 3, 2007, 3:08 PM CDT for 12 parishes in Louisiana; 32 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2007, 3:08 PM CDT (20:08 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2007, 9:57 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Allen Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 151 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty25 min
May 3, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris41 min
May 3, 4:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXMontgomery44 min
May 3, 4:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin42 min
May 3, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk51 min
May 3, 4:42 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXPolk48 min
May 3, 4:49 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXMontgomery41 min
May 3, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk42 min
May 3, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJasper, Tyler32 min
May 3, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk, San Jacinto, Trinity23 min
May 3, 5:26 PM CDTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery49 min
May 3, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXPolk14 min
May 3, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris49 min
May 3, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty, Montgomery46 min
May 3, 6:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningHGXHarris, Liberty69 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 190 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -122 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1590 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 032008
SEL9  
SPC WW 032008
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-040400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 219
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN LOUISIANA
       SOUTHEAST TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
COLLEGE STATION TEXAS TO 40 MILES EAST OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 217...WW 218...

DISCUSSION...VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS BEEN IN PLACE THRU
MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON.  MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS NOW MOVING INTO
THIS REGION WITH MORE PROMINENT CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
ACT - LFK - IER.  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY
AND INTENSIFY WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 50 KT AND MLCAPE REACHING
INTO THE 1500-2000 J/KG RANGE.  THIS IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...MCCARTHY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 7:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Lincoln and 3 more96 min
May 2, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Grant and 7 more7 hr
May 2, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Natchitoches and 4 more96 min
May 3, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Grant and 8 more84 min
May 3, 11:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 14 more4 hr
May 3, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Carroll, Madison, Morehouse, Richland, West Carroll59 min
May 3, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCEast Carroll3 hr
May 3, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAvoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, LaSalle and 3 more4 hr
May 3, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto, Grant and 4 more116 min
May 2, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Terrell, Ward65 min
May 2, 9:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 33 more60 min
May 2, 9:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend and 21 more63 min
May 2, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 16 more6 hr
May 2, 10:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Bee, Brooks, Calhoun, Cameron, DeWitt and 17 more5 hr
May 2, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 13 more87 min
May 3, 12:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 13 more89 min
May 3, 1:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron, Kenedy, Willacy83 min
May 3, 12:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Burnet, Coryell, Hamilton, Hood, Johnson and 7 more97 min
May 3, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris and 10 more86 min
May 3, 6:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Dallas, Hamilton, Johnson56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.