Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 214

May 2, 20078 counties in Arkansas; 13 parishes in Louisiana; 31 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 2, 2007, 7:59 PM CDT for 8 counties in Arkansas; 13 parishes in Louisiana; 31 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2007, 7:59 PM CDT (00:59 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2007, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 52 counties

Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Leon County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWood52 min
May 2, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith45 min
May 2, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam53 min
May 2, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus, Upshur49 min
May 2, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg42 min
May 2, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith36 min
May 2, 9:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson42 min
May 2, 10:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDRobertson3 hr
May 2, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXMadison39 min
May 2, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Grimes44 min
May 2, 10:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDLeon3 hr
May 2, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston47 min
May 2, 11:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Trinity38 min
May 2, 11:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Cherokee, Nacogdoches59 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2007-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1137 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2007-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1137 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1161 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 030105
SEL4  
SPC WW 030105
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-030800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA
       EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 800 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
CORSICANA TEXAS TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF EL DORADO
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 210...WW 211...WW
212...WW 213...

DISCUSSION...N TX MCS APPEARS TO BE INFLUENCING LARGER SCALE
ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE ARKLATEX...WHERE AREA VWP AND
PROFILER DATA SHOW ENHANCED SLY LOW LEVEL AND WSWLY MID LEVEL FLOW
RELATIVE TO FORECASTS.  FWD VWP SHOWS 50 KT WSWLY REAR INFLOW JET
BETWEEN 1 AND 4 KM...SUGGESTING THAT STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORM ON
LEADING EDGE OF COLD POOL AS IT CONTINUES ENE TOWARD TYR/GGG/SHV. 
COUPLED WITH RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
STORMS TO FORM ALONG STALLED WSW/ENE BOUNDARY NEAR THE
ARKLATEX...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES...IN ADDITION
TO FURTHER BOWING SEGMENTS WITH HIGH WIND.  TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO
BE GREATER ALONG TRACK OF STORM CLUSTER NOW N OF AUS...AS THAT
FEATURE INTERACTS WITH SRN SIDE OF STALLING COLD POOL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY N OF CLL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 7:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller96 min
May 2, 11:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 1 more96 min
May 3, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Chicot59 min
May 3, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lee, Lincoln and 2 more3 hr
May 3, 1:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Grant and 8 more84 min
May 3, 11:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 14 more4 hr
May 3, 3:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto, Grant and 6 more7 hr
May 3, 6:27 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAvoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, Franklin, LaSalle and 3 more4 hr
May 3, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, De Soto, Grant and 4 more116 min
May 2, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Terrell, Ward65 min
May 2, 9:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 33 more60 min
May 2, 9:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Fort Bend and 21 more63 min
May 2, 10:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 16 more6 hr
May 2, 10:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Bee, Brooks, Calhoun, Cameron, DeWitt and 17 more5 hr
May 2, 11:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 13 more87 min
May 3, 12:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin and 13 more89 min
May 3, 1:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCameron, Kenedy, Willacy83 min
May 3, 12:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Burnet, Coryell, Hamilton, Hood, Johnson and 7 more97 min
May 3, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris and 10 more86 min
May 3, 6:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Dallas, Hamilton, Johnson56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.