Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 17

February 12, 200716 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 12, 2007, 2:13 PM CST for 16 parishes in Louisiana; 12 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 12, 2007, 2:13 PM CST (20:13 UTC)
Expired
Feb 12, 2007, 10:39 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Lake Charles radar (KLCH), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 2:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty35 min
Feb 12, 5:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson23 min
Feb 12, 5:24 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHHardin, Jefferson3 hr
Feb 12, 8:04 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHOrange3 hr
Feb 12, 8:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHOrange28 min
Feb 12, 8:35 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu25 min
Feb 12, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHOrange31 min
Feb 12, 9:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu57 min
Feb 12, 9:47 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard, Calcasieu3 hr
Feb 12, 10:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
626 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 122013
SEL7  
SPC WW 122013
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-130500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 17
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
       SOUTHEAST TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF HOUSTON
TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE DISCRETE IN THE PAST
1-2 HRS ALONG SRN END OF CONVECTIVE BAND OVER E TX/FAR WRN LA. 
POTENTIAL FOR DISCRETE OR NEAR-DISCRETE SFC-BASED STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE OVER FAR SE TX/SRN LA OVER THROUGH MID
EVENING AS /1/ BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO MOISTEN AND /2/ REGION IS
GLANCED BY 50 KT MID LEVEL WSWLY SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH NW TX UPR
TROUGH.  GIVEN BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW INVOF CONVECTIVE BAND AND
INCREASING MOISTURE AVAILABILITY...A THREAT MAY DEVELOP FOR
TORNADOES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 11:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 11 more8 hr
Feb 12, 1:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Vernon62 min
Feb 12, 3:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Claiborne, De Soto and 11 more95 min
Feb 12, 10:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Matagorda86 min
Feb 12, 2:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Hardeman, Wheeler2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.