Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 16

February 12, 20079 counties in Arkansas; 17 parishes in Louisiana; 24 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Feb 12, 2007, 11:15 AM CST for 9 counties in Arkansas; 17 parishes in Louisiana; 24 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 12, 2007, 11:15 AM CST (17:15 UTC)
Expired
Feb 12, 2007, 7:00 PM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 50 counties

Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 2:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 236 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2007-02-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
626 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 12, 3:40 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 3 more95 min
Feb 12, 1:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron, Vernon62 min
Feb 12, 2:13 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 10 more8 hr
Feb 12, 10:19 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Matagorda86 min
Feb 12, 2:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Hardeman, Wheeler2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.