Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 156

April 21, 20077 counties in Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 21, 2007, 2:10 PM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2007, 2:10 PM MDT (20:10 UTC)
Expired
Apr 21, 2007, 9:19 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
95%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 3:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Prowers66 min
Apr 21, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers64 min
Apr 21, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma27 min
Apr 21, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca65 min
Apr 21, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma63 min
Apr 21, 5:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne54 min
Apr 21, 5:30 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca60 min
Apr 21, 5:44 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers61 min
Apr 21, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson, Yuma53 min
Apr 21, 6:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Stanton51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-04-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-04-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 212014
SEL6  
SPC WW 212014
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-220500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 156
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT SAT APR 21 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN COLORADO
       WESTERN KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 310 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO 20 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...WW 155...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO ALONG LEE
TROUGH/DRY LINE SEGMENTS IN ERN CO/NE NM.  STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY
BECOME SUPERCELLS AND POSE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL AS THEY
MOVE TOWARD HEATED/INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT ALONG WRN EDGE OF
STRATOCU FIELD IN WRN KS.  ARRIVAL OF STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD AND
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH POTENT NM UPR VORT WILL FAVOR EVENTUAL
DEVELOPMENT OF BROKEN LINES OF SUPERCELLS.  BUT STRENGTH OF LOW
LEVEL SHEAR AND POTENTIAL INCREASE IN SAME WITH NOCTURNAL DECOUPLING
OF LLJ MAY EXTEND TORNADO THREAT INTO MID/LATE EVENING IN ERN PARTS
OF WW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 12:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSedgwick55 min
Apr 21, 12:57 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCPhillips, Sedgwick9 hr
Apr 21, 1:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 1 more91 min
Apr 21, 4:57 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick2 hr
Apr 21, 5:10 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers and 1 more2 hr
Apr 21, 5:11 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Finney, Gove, Grant, Gray, Haskell and 11 more2 hr
Apr 20, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Boyd, Brown, Chase, Cherry, Custer and 19 more5 hr
Apr 21, 12:31 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2007Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.