Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 155

April 21, 200744 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 21, 2007, 2:30 PM CDT for 44 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 21, 2007, 2:30 PM CDT (19:30 UTC)
Expired
Apr 21, 2007, 10:35 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 44 counties

Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brown County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Davison County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Jones County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lyman County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McCook County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Miner County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Spink County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
95%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTripp82 min
Apr 21, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule, Charles Mix, Gregory41 min
Apr 21, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDGregory46 min
Apr 21, 7:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule42 min
Apr 21, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora36 min
Apr 21, 7:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle55 min
Apr 21, 7:39 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDAurora36 min
Apr 21, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCharles Mix, Gregory34 min
Apr 21, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora29 min
Apr 21, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRClark, Codington41 min
Apr 21, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDSanborn40 min
Apr 21, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule51 min
Apr 21, 7:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDDavison20 min
Apr 21, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDCharles Mix, Gregory38 min
Apr 21, 8:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora, Douglas42 min
Apr 21, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHamlin47 min
Apr 21, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBeadle, Kingsbury50 min
Apr 21, 8:25 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDAurora35 min
Apr 21, 8:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDSanborn30 min
Apr 21, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Grant41 min
Apr 21, 8:45 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDKingsbury45 min
Apr 21, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrule, Charles Mix39 min
Apr 21, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDSanborn36 min
Apr 21, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDavison, Hanson47 min
Apr 21, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDeuel, Grant42 min
Apr 21, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDAurora46 min
Apr 21, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDKingsbury, Miner40 min
Apr 21, 9:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningABRCodington, Grant, Hamlin3 hr
Apr 21, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDeuel, Hamlin44 min
Apr 21, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRTripp39 min
Apr 21, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDBrookings40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-04-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 298 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2007-04-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 72 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
298 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
743 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 211932
SEL5  
SPC WW 211932
SDZ000-220400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SAT APR 21 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF CHAMBERLAIN
SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN WW OVER THE
NEXT 2 HOURS OR SO...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY LIKELY SPREADING NE
INTO WW FROM NEB.  STRENGTHENING/DECOUPLING LLJ THIS EVENING COULD
ENHANCE LOW LEVEL STORM ROTATION/TORNADO POTENTIAL AS LARGE SCALE
ASCENT INCREASES WITH APPROACH OF NM UPR VORT.  IN THE
MEANTIME...AMPLE SHEAR/INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED TORNADOES...ONCE CAP IS BREACHED
WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG EXISTING FRONTAL SEGMENTS/OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 20, 10:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Bennett, Brown, Brule, Buffalo and 27 more2 hr
Apr 21, 1:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix, Davison and 11 more59 min
Apr 21, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeadle, Brown, Brule, Buffalo, Clark, Day and 14 more55 min
Apr 21, 6:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAurora, Beadle, Brown, Brule, Buffalo, Campbell and 32 more115 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.