Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 663

August 30, 20075 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 30, 2007, 3:07 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2007, 3:07 PM EDT (19:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2007, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Essex County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Essex County, VT, Orange County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 3:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex33 min
Aug 30, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos48 min
Aug 30, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren59 min
Aug 30, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin66 min
Aug 30, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton65 min
Aug 30, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford64 min
Aug 30, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex28 min
Aug 30, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec66 min
Aug 30, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton65 min
Aug 30, 4:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford64 min
Aug 30, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin42 min
Aug 30, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset52 min
Aug 30, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSullivan52 min
Aug 30, 5:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford50 min
Aug 30, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer54 min
Aug 30, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin50 min
Aug 30, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford35 min
Aug 30, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene56 min
Aug 30, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset36 min
Aug 30, 6:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton46 min
Aug 30, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack46 min
Aug 30, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSullivan40 min
Aug 30, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia59 min
Aug 30, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYGreene27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 548 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
548 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-162 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
751 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 11:07 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Penobscot, Piscataquis, Somerset113 min
Aug 30, 2:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOxford115 min
Aug 30, 5:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Lincoln, Oxford and 3 more60 min
Aug 30, 6:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Penobscot and 4 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.