Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 541

July 18, 200710 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2007, 11:07 PM CDT for 10 counties in Illinois; 14 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2007, 11:07 PM CDT (04:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2007, 2:58 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 53 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3404 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 69 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3404 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
988 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
7.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCook, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kane and 5 more7 hr
Jul 18, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Champaign, Coles, Cook, DeKalb and 38 more84 min
Jul 18, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Rock Island97 min
Jul 19, 1:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 26 more93 min
Jul 19, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Edwards and 30 more6 hr
Jul 19, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 17 more97 min
Jul 18, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Ida, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury7 hr
Jul 18, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll and 23 more5 hr
Jul 19, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll and 23 more94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.