Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 536

July 18, 200711 counties in Illinois; 29 counties in Indiana; 4 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2007, 7:29 PM CDT for 11 counties in Illinois; 29 counties in Indiana; 4 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2007, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2007, 2:29 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Cook County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Will County, IL, Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Benton County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Newton County, IN, Noble County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Cass County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook, Kane58 min
Jul 18, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXSaint Joseph43 min
Jul 18, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDuPage, Kane47 min
Jul 18, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook60 min
Jul 18, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb, Noble55 min
Jul 18, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWill51 min
Jul 18, 9:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Kosciusko, LaGrange, Marshall and 1 more3 hr
Jul 18, 9:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph3 hr
Jul 18, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDuPage, Kane22 min
Jul 18, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTKendall82 min
Jul 18, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Marshall, Saint Joseph51 min
Jul 18, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Will48 min
Jul 18, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTCook25 min
Jul 18, 9:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Grundy, Kendall, Will6 hr
Jul 18, 9:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTCook, DuPage, Grundy, Kane, Kendall, Will6 hr
Jul 18, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake40 min
Jul 18, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXMarshall, Starke44 min
Jul 18, 10:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXAdams, Allen, Huntington, Wabash, Wells, Whitley6 hr
Jul 18, 10:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXFulton, Kosciusko, Marshall, Pulaski, Starke6 hr
Jul 18, 10:22 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningIWXLaPorte6 hr
Jul 18, 10:26 PM CDTTornado WarningIWXKosciusko, Marshall49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3514 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3514 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
13.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, Champaign, Coles, Cook, DeKalb and 38 more84 min
Jul 18, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMercer, Rock Island97 min
Jul 18, 11:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBureau, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, McDonough, Mercer and 4 more4 hr
Jul 19, 1:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 26 more93 min
Jul 19, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Clay, Clinton, Crawford, Edwards and 30 more6 hr
Jul 19, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 17 more97 min
Jul 19, 11:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Daviess, Dearborn and 31 more60 min
Jul 19, 12:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Dearborn, Decatur, Fayette and 13 more8 hr
Jul 19, 2:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Lenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.