Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 540

July 18, 200729 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2007, 10:39 PM CDT for 29 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2007, 10:39 PM CDT (03:39 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2007, 3:43 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Adair County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Douglas County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCrawford50 min
Jul 18, 11:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXWashington45 min
Jul 19, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXHarrison, Monona42 min
Jul 19, 12:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPottawattamie, Shelby40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2155 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2155 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2120 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBuena Vista, Cherokee, Ida, Monona, Plymouth, Woodbury7 hr
Jul 18, 9:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Des Moines, Henry, Lee, Louisa, Scott84 min
Jul 18, 10:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 60 more97 min
Jul 18, 11:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jefferson and 8 more4 hr
Jul 19, 1:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll and 23 more94 min
Jul 18, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Box Butte and 45 more90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.