Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 534

July 18, 200731 counties in Illinois; 47 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2007, 5:35 PM CDT for 31 counties in Illinois; 47 counties in Iowa; 4 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2007, 5:35 PM CDT (22:35 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2007, 11:07 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 82 counties

Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wright County, IA, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Carroll County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stark County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Rock County, WI

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
95%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 5:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXBlack Hawk6 hr
Jul 18, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXStory53 min
Jul 18, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGrundy, Marshall, Tama57 min
Jul 18, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXGrundy21 min
Jul 18, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBlack Hawk43 min
Jul 18, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton58 min
Jul 18, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPoweshiek62 min
Jul 18, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXLafayette46 min
Jul 18, 6:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJo Daviess41 min
Jul 18, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNLinn63 min
Jul 18, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBuchanan44 min
Jul 18, 7:06 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNLinn39 min
Jul 18, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTWinnebago57 min
Jul 18, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNJohnson63 min
Jul 18, 7:15 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJohnson45 min
Jul 18, 7:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTBoone, Lake, McHenry6 hr
Jul 18, 7:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTBoone, Lake, McHenry, Winnebago6 hr
Jul 18, 7:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNJo Daviess6 hr
Jul 18, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Jones65 min
Jul 18, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPoweshiek16 min
Jul 18, 7:35 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJones40 min
Jul 18, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClinton53 min
Jul 18, 8:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNStephenson6 hr
Jul 18, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNScott39 min
Jul 18, 8:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNJackson6 hr
Jul 18, 8:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDVNCarroll6 hr
Jul 18, 8:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee, Ogle60 min
Jul 18, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb43 min
Jul 18, 9:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLOTDeKalb, Lee, Ogle6 hr
Jul 18, 9:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCarroll31 min
Jul 18, 9:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, LaSalle58 min
Jul 18, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLee21 min
Jul 18, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXMarshall25 min
Jul 18, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 335 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1891 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -61 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1891 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
641 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.2
Supercell composite
-1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Lee, Ogle and 3 more6 hr
Jul 17, 11:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess and 15 more96 min
Jul 18, 3:35 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Kane, Lee and 5 more85 min
Jul 18, 4:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, Douglas and 10 more54 min
Jul 18, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Champaign, Cook, DeKalb and 32 more91 min
Jul 18, 6:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Cook, Douglas, DuPage, Edgar, Ford and 11 more97 min
Jul 18, 6:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, DeKalb, Henderson, Henry and 18 more85 min
Jul 18, 12:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Buena Vista and 37 more2 hr
Jul 18, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlack Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun and 33 more4 hr
Jul 18, 12:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarron, Burnett, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire and 24 more118 min
Jul 18, 1:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Calumet, Dodge, Door, Fond du Lac, Green Lake and 18 more7 hr
Jul 18, 3:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire, Jackson and 6 more63 min
Jul 18, 3:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Buffalo, Chippewa, Clark, Dunn, Eau Claire and 10 more5 hr
Jul 18, 5:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Calumet, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Manitowoc and 11 more119 min
Jul 18, 6:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Jackson, Juneau, La Crosse, Monroe, Trempealeau and 1 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.