Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331

June 2, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 2, 2007, 1:50 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2007, 1:50 PM EDT (17:50 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Orange County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 1:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWashington46 min
Jun 2, 2:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Greene, Ulster57 min
Jun 2, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVSt. Lawrence66 min
Jun 2, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex36 min
Jun 2, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer55 min
Jun 2, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden40 min
Jun 2, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHillsborough47 min
Jun 2, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVSt. Lawrence58 min
Jun 2, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga33 min
Jun 2, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham65 min
Jun 2, 4:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin65 min
Jun 2, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden28 min
Jun 2, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington54 min
Jun 2, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHillsborough33 min
Jun 2, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVWashington57 min
Jun 2, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVRutland56 min
Jun 2, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXPlymouth25 min
Jun 2, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHillsborough30 min
Jun 2, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga49 min
Jun 2, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham67 min
Jun 2, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrange52 min
Jun 2, 6:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington58 min
Jun 2, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex64 min
Jun 2, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Greene62 min
Jun 2, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXPlymouth8 min
Jun 2, 6:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXEssex35 min
Jun 2, 6:54 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXEssex21 min
Jun 2, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton62 min
Jun 2, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXEssex31 min
Jun 2, 7:18 PM EDTTornado WarningBOXEssex12 min
Jun 2, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVWashington40 min
Jun 2, 7:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXEssex36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 247 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 47 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
247 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1202 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 021753
SEL1  
SPC WW 021753
CTZ000-MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-030000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN CONNECTICUT
       MASSACHUSETTS
       SOUTHERN MAINE
       SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
       EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
       NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND
       SOUTHERN VERMONT
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF SARANAC LAKE NEW YORK TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF
PORTSMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 330...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
THOUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG AND S OF A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NRN
NEW ENGLAND.  MODERATE INSTABILITY /SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG/
AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KT WILL SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.  IN ADDITION...CONVECTION FORMING IN
ONTARIO MAY EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO UPSTATE NY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING.  FARTHER S...VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAKER ACROSS
INTERIOR SE NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT A FEW OF THE STRONGER
STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS AND SOME HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 2, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin61 min
Jun 2, 6:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerkshire, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 3 more63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.