Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 2, 2007, 1:50 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 2, 2007, 1:50 PM EDT (17:50 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 2, 2007, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 48 counties
Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Orange County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT
The radar
The Burlington radar (KCXX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Washington | 46 min |
| Jun 2, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Greene, Ulster | 57 min |
| Jun 2, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | St. Lawrence | 66 min |
| Jun 2, 4:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Clinton, Essex | 36 min |
| Jun 2, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Rensselaer | 55 min |
| Jun 2, 4:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Chittenden | 40 min |
| Jun 2, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Hillsborough | 47 min |
| Jun 2, 4:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | St. Lawrence | 58 min |
| Jun 2, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga | 33 min |
| Jun 2, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Rockingham | 65 min |
| Jun 2, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Franklin | 65 min |
| Jun 2, 4:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Chittenden | 28 min |
| Jun 2, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 54 min |
| Jun 2, 5:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Hillsborough | 33 min |
| Jun 2, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Washington | 57 min |
| Jun 2, 5:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Rutland | 56 min |
| Jun 2, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Plymouth | 25 min |
| Jun 2, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Hillsborough | 30 min |
| Jun 2, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga | 49 min |
| Jun 2, 5:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Rockingham | 67 min |
| Jun 2, 5:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Orange | 52 min |
| Jun 2, 6:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Warren, Washington | 58 min |
| Jun 2, 6:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Essex | 64 min |
| Jun 2, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Greene | 62 min |
| Jun 2, 6:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Plymouth | 8 min |
| Jun 2, 6:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Essex | 35 min |
| Jun 2, 6:54 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BOX | Essex | 21 min |
| Jun 2, 7:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GYX | Grafton | 62 min |
| Jun 2, 7:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Essex | 31 min |
| Jun 2, 7:18 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | BOX | Essex | 12 min |
| Jun 2, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BTV | Washington | 40 min |
| Jun 2, 7:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOX | Essex | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 247 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -82 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1202 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 47 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 80 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 021753
SEL1
SPC WW 021753
CTZ000-MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-030000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 331
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
150 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT
MASSACHUSETTS
SOUTHERN MAINE
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
EASTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND
SOUTHERN VERMONT
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF SARANAC LAKE NEW YORK TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF
PORTSMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 330...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
THOUGH THE AFTERNOON ALONG AND S OF A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NRN
NEW ENGLAND. MODERATE INSTABILITY /SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG/
AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KT WILL SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH WILL LOCALLY ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...CONVECTION FORMING IN
ONTARIO MAY EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO UPSTATE NY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. FARTHER S...VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAKER ACROSS
INTERIOR SE NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT A FEW OF THE STRONGER
STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS AND SOME HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 1:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin | 61 min |
| Jun 2, 6:42 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berkshire, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 3 more | 63 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.