Flash Flood Warning 216, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 080317
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1013 PM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

MOC161-080700-
/X.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0216.000000T0000Z-070908T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PHELPS MO-
1013 PM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR
EASTERN PHELPS COUNTY...

AT 948 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT SOME 
FLOODING WAS ONGOING IN THE CITY OF ST. JAMES. AN UNSPECIFIED NUMBER 
OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE 
COUNTY WERE FLOODED. 

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...BUT ADDITIONAL 
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE WARNING AREA IS NOT LIKELY. 

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO 
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO 
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN 
WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 3809 9153 3773 9151 3775 9178 3805 9174

$$
DSA

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 080653
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
152 AM CDT SAT SEP 8 2007

MOC161-080702-
/X.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0216.000000T0000Z-070908T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PHELPS MO-
152 AM CDT SAT SEP 8 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 200 AM CDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
PHELPS COUNTY...

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED AT 200 AM TO WARN OF THE 
CONTINUE RUNOFF EXPECTED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS AND CREEKS IN 
THE WARNED AREA WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE. WHILE THE FLASH FLOOD 
THREAT HAS ENDED FOR THE TIME BEING...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL DURING THE 
OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL PROLONG THE WATER RUNOFF PROCESS. IF FLOODING 
HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT 
AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3809 9153 3773 9151 3775 9178 3805 9174

$$

GAGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
630 PM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

.DISCUSSION...

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM JUST EAST OF SEDALIA TO CHANUTE
TO SOUTH OF WICHITA CONTINUES IT SLOW MOVEMENT SOUTHWARD THIS
AFTERNOON. WE SAW JUST ENOUGH CLEARING TO DESTABILIZE OUR VERY
MOIST AIRMASS AND GET ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS GOING ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY.

MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL THE HEAVY
AND PROLONGED RAINFALL OVER THE FORECAST AREA. AXIS OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE FRONT STALLS ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. FOR TONIGHT...HAVE FAVORED OUTPUT OF THE
NAM12 WHICH HAS BEEN HANDLING ONGOING PRECIP VERY WELL THUS FAR.
WITH THIS IN MIND WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THE PRECIP THROUGH THE
EVENING CONFINED TO AREAS NEAR THE FRONT AS IT SAGS SOUTHWARD TO
THE I-44 CORRIDOR. ALREADY SEEING TRAINING STORMS ALONG THE FRONT
OVER OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES AS ORIENTATION OF FRONT LINES UP
PARALLEL TO 700 MB FLOW. INTO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO STALL SOMEWHERE BETWEEN INTERSTATE 44 AND THE ARKANSAS
BORDER. AS TROPICAL MOISTURE OVERRUNS THE BOUNDARY...EXPECT TO SEE
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES RIDE
OVER THE FRONT. ALSO COULD SEE EVEN MORE MOISTURE ADDED TO THE MIX
WITH REMNANTS OF HENRIETTE. THE LATEST PRECIP FORECAST ACCUMULATIONS
GENERATED OFF THE NAM SHOW AN AXIS OF WIDESPREAD 5-7 INCHES BY
SUNDAY EVENING OVER DENT/SHANNON/TEXAS/LACLEDE COUNTIES. STILL
HARD TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHERE THESE ACCUMULATIONS WILL SET
UP...HOWEVER IT LOOKS PRETTY LIKELY THAT SOME LOCATIONS WILL GET
THESE AMOUNTS...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS WELL OVER 7 INCHES.

FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...WILL CONTINUE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH TUESDAY AS A SECONDARY FRONT AND
UPPER TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA. COOLER AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. ANOTHER TROPICAL SYSTEM EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SOMETIME AROUND MONDAY OR
TUESDAY MAY COMPLICATE FORECAST A BIT.

TERRY
&&

.AVIATION...

00Z TAFS...AVIATION FORECAST WILL REMAIN RATHER COMPLEX THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AS CEILINGS FLUCTUATE BETWEEN MVFR AND VFR THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT TO SEE A GRADUAL
BUILDING DOWN OF CLOUD DECK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE LOWER 70S AND WINDS SHIFT TO LIGHT NORTH.
PERSISTENT OVERRUNNING OF MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD KEEP
CEILINGS IN IFR TO MVFR RANGE WITH PERIODS OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY.

TERRY
&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ073-097-101.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1255 PM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-081200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1255 PM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

...HEAVY RAIN WITH POTENTIAL FLOODING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS. THE PRIMARY THREAT
FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. A
FEW STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF NICKELS THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL AND MEANDER OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI DURING
THE WEEKEND. AS TROPICAL MOISTURE OVERRIDES THE FRONT...SEVERAL
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.  THIS WILL LIKELY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI...THROUGH
SUNDAY. SOME AREAS COULD SEE UP TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A
FOOT BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

LOCATIONS ALONG THE ELK...SPRING...AND JAMES RIVERS AND SHOAL CREEK
WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH MID EVENING. STORM
 SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF FLOODING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY