Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Raleigh, NC

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 151741
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
140 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCC057-151800-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-070415T1800Z/
DAVIDSON NC-
140 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY...

AT 136 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WELCOME...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF LEXINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  THOMASVILLE BY 150 PM EDT

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES VERY QUICKLY. IF A TORNADO IS 
SPOTTED...OR IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE 
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR 
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3578 8036 3583 8039 3589 8039 3590 8036
      3596 8037 3599 8033 3598 8022 3602 8021
      3600 8005 3590 8005 3576 8033

$$

VINCENT

000 
WWUS52 KRAH 151756
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
156 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCC057-151806-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-070415T1800Z/
DAVIDSON NC-
156 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 200 PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER A 
THREAT...THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3578 8036 3583 8039 3589 8039 3590 8036
      3596 8037 3599 8033 3598 8022 3602 8021
      3600 8005 3590 8005 3576 8033

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
116 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...

ALL TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS UPDATED FOR TORNADO WATCH 149.
HAVE ALSO RAISED TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON. -GIH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 847 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007/

SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/...

ALL TEXT AND GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS UPDATED FOR TORNADO WATCH 147...
WHICH COVERS AREAS ROUGHLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. SO FAR THE MOST
POTENT STORMS HAVE HELD JUST SOUTH OF OUR CWA... BUT DISCRETE
CELLS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND EXHIBIT STRONG ROTATION OVER
SOUTH CAROLINA. INSTABILITY REMAINS MEAGER WITH MUCAPE OVER OUR
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS STRUGGLING TOWARD 400 J/KG... AND EVEN THE
OBSERVED 12Z MHX SOUNDING HAS JUST 200 J/KG LIFTING THE SURFACE
PARCEL... BUT THE WIND FIELD IS TREMENDOUS WITH 60-70 KTS OF 0-6
KM SHEAR AND 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY OF 300-600 M2/S2. THIS
SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA... WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70... WILL SEE THE STRONGEST RISK FOR A TORNADO
IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

SHORT TERM POPS... TEMPERATURES/DEWPOINTS... AND WINDS HAVE
ALREADY BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT CURRENT CONDITIONS AND TRENDS.
-GIH

PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 303 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
PRECIP EVENT WILL UNDERWAY ACROSS CENTRAL NC EARLY THIS MORNING AS
SFC LOW BEGINS TO DEEPEN OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS. MAIN WARM FRONT
EXTENDS FROM NEAR WAKEFIELD VA TO NEAR GREENVILLE SC. REGIONAL
RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS FURTHER ENHANCEMENT OF PRECIP SHIELD TO OUR
SOUTH AND WEST AS THE AREA COMES UNDER GREATER DIFLUENCE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER JET. COLUMBIA RADAR ALSO SHOWS A MESOLOW
(WHICH HAS BEEN TRACKED ALL THE WAY FROM THE ALABAMA COAST) MOVING
RAPIDLY NORTHEAST. THIS IS FURTHER ENHANCING THE PRECIP OVER THE
REGION. NEEDLESS TO SAY...RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH AT MID MORNING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST AS
SFC LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. WILL LET THE
FLOOD WATCH RUN UNTIL ITS EXPIRATION AT 6 AM. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL
LIKELY AVERAGE AROUND ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 2
INCHES.

REGARDING SVR WX THREAT...LIMITED INSTABILITY HAS HAMPERED THE
THREAT ACROSS CENTRAL NC IN SPITE OF HIGH SHEAR AND STRONG LLJ.
HIGHER DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE
NORTH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THE SFC LOW STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES INTO NC. HAVE NOTED SOME INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS OVER
COASTAL SC. BEST SVR THREAT LOOKS TO REMAIN ALONG COASTAL SC AND
EXTREME EASTERN NC WHERE BEST INSTABILITY WILL BE LOCATED. STORMS
WILL LIKELY HAVE A HARD TIME MOVING INTO OUR CWA AS ONGOING RAIN
IS FURTHER STABILIZING THE BOUNDARY LAYER. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION HOWEVER CONSIDERING THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF
THE SYSTEM.

WE WILL LIKELY SEE A LULL IN PRECIP LATE THIS MORNING AS MAIN AREA
OF CONVECTION MOVES OFFSHORE. FOCUS THEN TURNS TO THE MAIN
LONGWAVE TROUGH. MODELS INDICATE A STRONG SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD
CORE OF THE STORM AT UPPER LEVELS COMBINED WITH HEATING AT THE SFC
WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
SOME THUNDERSTORMS. SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ANY THUNDERSTORM
AS FREEZING LEVELS AND WET BULB ZEROS DROP SIGNIFICANTLY THIS
AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL COME TO AN END BY LATE THIS EVENING
AS THE TROUGH AXIS PROGRESSES EAST OF THE REGION.

THE OTHER ISSUE FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE INCREASING WNW
WINDS. WHILE THERE WILL BE SOMEWHAT OF A LULL IN WINDS THIS MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON AS SFC TROUGH REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS THE
AREA...WINDS WILL PICK UP QUICKLY AFTER 21Z...ESPECIALLY IN THE
SOUTH AND WEST AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTS AND COLD AIR ADVECTION
KICKS IN. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH ARE
EXPECTED BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
STAY BREEZY ALL NIGHT BUT GUSTS SHOULD NOT BE AS HIGH WITH
DIMINISHED NIGHTTIME MIXING. HOWEVER...IF NOCTURNAL INVERSION DOES
NOT SETUP...GUSTS COULD BE HIGHER. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL ALSO
LEAD TO CHILLY OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.

A COOL DAY IN STORE FOR MONDAY WITH DEEPLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH
OVERHEAD. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON DUE TO
THE CONTINUED STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DEEP MIXING. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW MIXING OCCURRING TO NEAR 750 MB WHERE 50 KTS OF
WIND WILL BE PRESENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
40 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. SOME GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NW PIEDMONT. A WIND ADVISORY MAY
BECOME NECESSARY.

QUIET WEATHER WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR MON NIGHT AND TUE. WINDS
WILL BE BREEZY TUESDAY AFTERNOON BUT MUCH LESS THAN MONDAY.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE FAIRLY CONSISTENT FROM 24 HOURS AGO.
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM PASSES TO OUR SOUTH WED
NIGHT AS IT BEGINS TO SHEAR APART IN MID/UPPER LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW.
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN NORTHERN STREAM DIVES SEWD INTO CENTRAL NC ON
THU. DECENT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH SOME INSOLATION MAY
BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS/LOW TOP T-STORMS THU
AFTERNOON. QUESTION REMAINS HOW MUCH MOISTURE SYSTEM WILL HAVE TO
WORK WITH IN DEEP W-NW FLOW. FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POP
BUT LATER FORECAST MAY NEED TO INCREASE POP IF GUIDANCE REMAINS
CONSISTENT.

TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL DUE TO PRESENCE OF UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. THIS FEATURE PROGGED TO LIFT N-NE FRI INTO SAT. THUS
SHOULD SEE TEMPS BEGIN TO RECOVER TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS BY SAT.

AVIATION /06Z-06Z/...
A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL RESULT IN VEERING WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL
NC TODAY. MOST LOCALES WILL SEE A STEADY SLY WIND THIS MORNING
VEERING TO THE SW AROUND MID DAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO LIFT TO THE
N-NE. THIS LOW PROGGED TO STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON PLUS A SURFACE
FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION. THUS...SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON TO THE W-NW AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 20
KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 30KTS PROBABLE. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN 15KT
OVERNIGHT BUT JUST ABOVE SURFACE...WIND SPEEDS AROUND 45KT
EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN GUSTS BETWEEN 25-30KTS NEAR THE SURFACE
IF LOW LEVEL INVERSION DOES NOT SET-UP. SINCE COUNTING ON A WEAK
INVERSION...MENTIONED LLWS LAST FEW HOURS OF TAF PERIOD.

CEILINGS VARY BETWEEN MVFR TO IFR EARLY THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD
BECOME PREDOMINANTLY VFR BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR WORKS INTO
THE LOW LEVELS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDER TO EXIT
AREA BY 15-17Z. POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION BETWEEN 19-01Z AS
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM SWINGS ACROSS REGION. DUE TO COLDER TEMPS
ALOFT...THESE CONVECTIVE CELLS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL.
CLOUDS SHOULD DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AS DRIER AIR WORKS ITS WAY
THROUGH THE ENTIRE COLUMN.

LOOKING AHEAD TO MONDAY...LARGE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A DEEP LOW
OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND A HIGH OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL
CAUSE WINDY CONDITIONS OVER CENTRAL NC. EXPECT SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS 20-30KTS WITH GUSTS 40-45KTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
112 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ078-085-086-088-089-160945-
WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
112 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...TORNADO WATCH 147 IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH

ALSO... BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
TODAY. A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL CREATE WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE
FURTHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IT WILL BE WINDY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS AND
A FEW SHALLOW ROOTED TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY
FOR MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SPOTTERS ARE
URGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083-084-160945-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-ANSON-RICHMOND-
112 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...TORNADO WATCH 149 IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH

DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

ALSO... BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
TODAY. A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WILL CREATE WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE
FURTHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

IT WILL BE WINDY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
RANGE BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH
EXPECTED. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE COULD DOWN LARGE TREE LIMBS AND
A FEW SHALLOW ROOTED TREES. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY
FOR MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SPOTTERS ARE
URGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMMEDIATELY TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH.

GIH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
939 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ085-086-151445-
HOKE-SCOTLAND-
939 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS HOKE AND SCOTLAND COUNTIES
THROUGH 1045 AM EDT...

AT 939 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GIBSON...OR ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BENNETTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR GIBSON AROUND 950 AM EDT...
LAURINBURG AROUND 955 AM EDT...WAGRAM AROUND 1005 AM EDT...BOWMORE
AROUND 1010 AM EDT...SILVER CITY AROUND 1015 AM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM. SOME DOWNED TREE LIMBS WILL BE POSSIBLE. LIGHT OBJECTS
SUCH AS TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND AWNINGS
COULD BE TOSSED AROUND.

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
940 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ026>028-042>043-078-085-086-088-089-151440-
CUMBERLAND-EDGECOMBE-FRANKLIN-HOKE-JOHNSTON-NASH-SAMPSON-SCOTLAND-
WAYNE-WILSON-
940 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM THIS AFTERNOON...

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. STORMS LOCATED OVER JOHNSTON COUNTY IN
THE SMITHFIELD AREA WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST...REACHING WILSON...
NASHVILLE AND ROCKY MOUNT BY 1030 AM THIS MORNING.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE
THROUGH. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IF THUNDER IS HEARD. CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES TO DEVELOP QUICKLY TODAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1032 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ074>076-084>086-151530-
HOKE-LEE-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
1032 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS
RICHMOND...LEE...MOORE...MONTGOMERY...HOKE AND SCOTLAND COUNTIES
THROUGH 1130 AM EDT...

THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE MOVING VERY RAPIDLY...AROUND 65
MPH...NORTHEAST AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRONGER...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY
TORNADOES.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...ELLERBE...RAEFORD...
SOUTHERN PINES....CARTHAGE...ROBBINS AND SANFORD.

DONT WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. INSTEAD...MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES
OR THE FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1118 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ077-088-151615-
CUMBERLAND-HARNETT-
1118 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS HARNETT AND CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1116 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
RAPIDLY NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN HARNETT AND NORTHWEST CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES. THESE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 70 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE... FORT
BRAGG...LILLINGTON...ANGIER...AND...COATS.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES TO DEVELOP AND THEY CAN DEVELOP VERY RAPIDLY. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

13

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1148 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ041-042-151615-
JOHNSTON-WAKE-
1148 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...HEAVY SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS WAKE
AND JOHNSTON COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EDT...

AT 1148 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS OVER COATS CROSSROADS...OR ABOUT 11
MILES NORTHWEST OF SMITHFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...CLAYTON...
FLOWERS...LINWOOD...AND...EMIT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES TO DEVELOP AND THEY CAN DEVELOP VERY RAPIDLY. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
111 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NCZ038-151745-
DAVIDSON-
111 PM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS DAVIDSON COUNTY THROUGH 145
PM EDT...

AT 111 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 12 MILES
WEST OF LEXINGTON...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOCKSVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR WELCOME AROUND 125 PM EDT...
THOMASVILLE AROUND 140 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

VINCENT