Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Warnings in 2007
Tornado Warning 30, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Oct 18, 2007, 6:47 PM CDT for Edwards County, Wayne County, Illinois. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 18, 2007, 6:47 PM CDT (23:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2007, 7:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 28 min
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Edwards County, IL, Wayne County, IL
The radar
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 1:31 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 44 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -272 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1498 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 84 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 282 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 260 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WFUS53 KPAH 182346
TORPAH
ILC047-191-190015-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0030.071018T2347Z-071019T0015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
647 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS
EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
* UNTIL 715 PM CDT.
* AT 645 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
FAIRFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JEFFERSONVILLE...GOLDEN GATE...MOUNT ERIE...ALBION...BROWNS...BONE
GAP AND WEST SALEM.
NOW IS THE TIME TO IMPLEMENT YOUR TORNADO PLAN OF ACTION. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS IN A BASEMENT...OR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUILDING. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL
MEDIA FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3837 8798 3826 8842 3841 8852 3858 8809
3858 8808 3858 8799
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 240DEG 51KT 3837 8839
$$1 follow-up statement
000
WWUS53 KPAH 190009
SVSPAH
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
709 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
ILC047-191-190019-
/O.EXP.KPAH.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-071019T0015Z/
EDWARDS IL-WAYNE IL-
709 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...AND EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS EXPIRES AT 715 PM
CDT...
THE STORM HAS MOVED OUT OF NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTY AT 705 PM CDT.
LAT...LON 3837 8798 3826 8842 3841 8852 3858 8809
3858 8808 3858 8799
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 236DEG 52KT 3855 8805
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 18, 3:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 3:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 315 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS PERIOD CONTINUES TO BE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RADAR IMAGERY FINALLY SHOWING SOME DEVELOPMENT JUST WEST OF CARTER COUNTY MISSOURI...ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED ECHOES NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN WEST KENTUCKY AND A STRAY APPARENTLY ELEVATED SHOWER OVER THE PENNYRILE. TAMDAR SOUNDINGS FROM KPAH AROUND NOON INDICATED A SIZABLE CAP...WHICH IS LIKELY CAPPING THE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER WEST KENTUCKY. FEEL THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SLOWLY DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AS THE UPDRAFTS STRUGGLE AGAINST THE IMMENSE DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS THEY MOVE FURTHER EAST THEY WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND SUPERCELLULAR...AS THEY ENCOUNTER BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY. STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS INDICATE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SPLITTING STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ORGANIZING STAGE. SO LONG AS THE STORMS CAN STAY ISOLATED...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORMS FORM INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS THEY PROGRESS INTO BETTER MOISTURE OVER WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA THIS EVENING...INTENSE BOW ECHOES WOULD BE THE DOMINANT SEVERE WEATHER MODE. THE BEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY LOCATED OVER WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WILL RESULT IN THIS AREA HAVING THE GREATEST THREAT FOR A HIGH END SEVERE EVENT IN THE FORM OF TORNADOES OR BOW ECHOES. AS FOR THE GRIDS...GIVEN ONLY SCATTERED STORMS INITIALLY...WILL KEEP POPS IN THE LIKELY CATEGORY...CENTERED OVER THE PURCHASE AREA AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS BEFORE 00Z...WITH CHANCE POPS FURTHER WEST NEAR THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. WILL THEN FOCUS LIKELIES EASTERN HALF AFTER 00Z WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER WESTERN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI COUNTIES. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS EAST OVERNIGHT...JUST IN CASE A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS LINGER OVER THE PENNYRILE. AS FOR THE WIND ADVISORY...WILL KEEP IT GOING THROUGH 6 PM...EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE NOT QUITE REACHED CRITERIA. THE 30+KT GUSTS SHOULD SETTLE DOWN SOME WITH SUNSET...BUT WILL LIKELY STILL SEE SOME DECENT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WELL INTO THE EVENING...WITH OR WITHOUT CONVECTION. FOR FRIDAY AND BEYOND...BASICALLY JUST FOLLOWED THE 12Z GFS AND ITS MAV TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE. AFTER A COOLISH DAY FRIDAY...THE WEEKEND WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE 12Z GFS SUPPORTS THE POPS OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...SO LEFT THAT ALONE. .LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MODELS ARE IN SLIGHTLY BETTER AGREEMENT REGARDING THE SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE ECMWF IS STILL FAR FROM THE 00Z GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLES. FORECAST WILL BE WEIGHTED MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THE GFS/GFS ENSEMBLES...IN LINE WITH HPC GUIDANCE. THE GFS PUTS MUCH MORE EMPHASIS ON THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE 500 MB JET...DIGGING A FULL LATITUDE TROUGH THROUGH THE CENTRAL STATES. THIS TROUGH THEN SHEARS OUT GRADUALLY DURING MID WEEK. AS A RESULT...HIGHEST PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. LOWER PRECIP CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE WEAKENING 500 MB TROUGH PERSISTS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONFIDENCE DECREASES AFTER MONDAY SINCE MODEL VARIABILITY BECOMES MUCH GREATER. TEMPS WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON MONDAY. && .AVIATION... TIMING OF CONVECTION IS THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN. HIGHEST PROBABILITIES ARE IN EVV/OWB TAF AREAS...WHERE MOISTURE IS RELATIVELY DEEP. THE DEEPER MOISTURE IS EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH MORE IMPRESSIVE CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT SOUTH AND EAST OF PAH. INSTABILITY WILL WANE QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WHEN DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO INVADE FROM THE WEST. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SHOULD BE MAINLY EAST OF THE TAF SITES BY 03Z...FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS. WRAPAROUND LOW CLOUDINESS OVER IOWA AND NW MISSOURI MAY OVERSPREAD THE REGION WELL AFTER 06Z. CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MVFR RANGE AT WORST. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && SHORT TERM......DRS LONG TERM.......MY AVIATION........MY
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 18, 12:11 PM CDT, 6 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1211 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-191715- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 1211 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS DURING THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND SPREAD SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND SHOULD EXIT THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE STORMS WHICH DEVELOP WILL QUICKLY BECOME SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN RISK. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM TODAY. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL SPAWN THE THUNDERSTORMS...IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS EVEN OUTSIDE THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE RECENT DROUGHT HAS WEAKENED MANY TREES IN THE REGION...LEAVING THEM MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO DAMAGE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION TODAY AND TONIGHT. PS
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 18, 6:29 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
629 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0617 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 SW EDDYVILLE 36.97N 88.21W
10/18/2007 LYON KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
REPORTED ALONG INTERSTATE 24 NEAR MILE MARKER 32.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Oct 18, 6:30 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
630 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0625 PM HAIL E INA 38.15N 88.90W
10/18/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Oct 18, 6:34 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
634 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N CAYCE 36.56N 89.04W
10/18/2007 FULTON KY EMERGENCY MNGR
HIGHWAY 239 ROAD BLOCKED FROM DOWNED TREES.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Oct 18, 6:35 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
635 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0605 PM HAIL 2 N WEST CITY 38.02N 88.95W
10/18/2007 M1.75 INCH FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Oct 18, 6:37 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
637 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0629 PM HAIL 4 SW OWENSBORO 37.72N 87.17W
10/18/2007 M0.75 INCH DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SMITTYLocal storm report, Oct 18, 6:40 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
640 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0603 PM HAIL SESSER 38.09N 89.05W
10/18/2007 M1.25 INCH FRANKLIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
SMITTYThe office that day
Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Alexander, Jackson, Pulaski, Union | 37 min |
| Oct 18, 3:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Franklin, Johnson, Williamson | 45 min |
| Oct 18, 3:16 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pulaski | 44 min |
| Oct 18, 3:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Hamilton, Saline | 31 min |
| Oct 18, 3:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wayne | 47 min |
| Oct 18, 3:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Edwards, Wabash, White | 56 min |
| Oct 18, 4:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Wabash | 36 min |
| Oct 18, 10:03 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | PAH | Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 18, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Jackson, Perry | 45 min |
| Oct 18, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PAH | Massac, Pope | 51 min |
| Oct 18, 5:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Franklin, Jefferson, Perry | 36 min |
| Oct 18, 6:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Gallatin | 45 min |
| Oct 18, 6:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hardin | 57 min |
| Oct 18, 6:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | PAH | Hamilton, Jefferson, Wayne | 35 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2007Every tornado warning in 2007Tornadoes in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.