Wind Advisory 2, NWS Paducah, KY

Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Gibson County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.DISCUSSION...MAIN CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL
EARLY TODAY...AND THEN AGAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

WILL NEED TO BE BRIEF TODAY DUE TO ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER. LINE OF
VERY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE
MS RIVER AND THROUGH WRN KY AND SW IN DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. MAIN ISSUE HAS BEEN WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...BUT AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
ALOFT.

ONCE THIS LINE OF CONVECTION PASSES...SHOULD SEE DRY SLOT/BRIEF
SUBSIDENCE PRODUCE SOME SUNSHINE LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPS WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 80S...AND THE AIRMASS
WILL DESTABILIZE RAPIDLY AS A SURFACE FRONT WORKS INTO SE MO AROUND
MID AFTERNOON. WITH NEXT H50 SHORT WAVE WORKING EAST AT THE SAME
TIME...EXPECT STORMS TO FIRE AROUND MID AFTERNOON  JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT IN SE MO. SOME SEVERE STORMS APPEAR LIKELY AS THE STORMS MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HIGHLIGHTS MOST AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
MS RIVER WITH MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...WITH SLIGHT RISK WEST OF THE MS RVR MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WITH THE VERY STRONG WIND PROFILES AND SHEAR...EXPECT A VERY GOOD
CHC OF DAMAGING WINDS...AND A RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. THINK THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED STORMS WILL BE EAST OF THE
REGION BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

DID NOT MAKE MUCH CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AFTER TONIGHT. STILL LOOKS
LIKE THERE COULD BE SOME WRAP AROUND STRATUS CLOUDS WITH THE UPPER
LOW PASSAGE OVER THE MUCH OF THE REGION...THEN HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD
BRING ANOTHER SUNNY AND MILD WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
PLENTY OF ENERGY IN THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOTIVATE A LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS TO MOVE ENEWD THROUGH THE FOUR STATE REGION
BY 12Z. THE SPEED OF THE STORMS WAS 50 TO 60 MPH...BRINGING THESE
WIND SPEEDS TO THE SFC JUST AHEAD OF THE STORMS. IN THE WAKE OF THE
STORMS...RAPID DRYING WILL OCCUR IN THE ATMOSPHERE FROM ABOUT 3 KFT
AND UP FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WINDS AT
THE SFC WILL BE GUSTING ABOVE 25 KT ACROSS THE AREA. BY AROUND LATE
AFTN...MORE POSSIBLY SVR TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO ERUPT EAST OF THE MS
RIVER JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE RAPIDLY EWD THROUGHOUT THE
EVENING.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

MEFFERT/DB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
449 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
449 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
AREAS WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING
OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE AREA BY MID MORNING.
DAMAGING WINDS POSE THE MAIN RISK WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...
ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON...RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY
OCCUR ALONG A SURFACE FRONT MOVING EAST INTO IN SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. SUPERCELLS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE ACTIVITY
MOVES EAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE QUAD
STATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER
IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
410 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S MCLEANSBORO         38.02N 88.53W
10/18/2007                   HAMILTON           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 142S.

&&

JG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
414 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0314 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N EDDYVILLE           37.56N 88.59W
10/18/2007                   POPE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOCKING SOUTH BOUND LANE OF IL RT 145 4 MI NORTH OF
            EDDYVILLE, IL

&&

JG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
457 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT CARMEL            38.42N 87.77W
10/18/2007                   WABASH             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED TREE BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF 12TH STREET AND
            WALNUT.

&&

SMITTY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
517 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

INZ085>087-KYZ018-181115-
HENDERSON KY-POSEY IN-VANDERBURGH IN-WARRICK IN-
517 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...STRONG STORMS IMPACTING EVANSVILLE AND HENDERSON...

THROUGH 615 AM...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 50
MILES PER HOUR ACROSS HENDERSON...POSEY...VANDERBURGH...AND WARRICK
COUNTIES.  WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MILES PER HOUR...SMALL HAIL...AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THESE STORMS.

JG/RP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
846 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BUCKNER             38.01N 89.02W
10/18/2007                   FRANKLIN           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            42 BY 48 FOOT POLE BARN DESTROYED.

&&

MIKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
849 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NEW MADRID              36.59N 89.55W
10/17/2007                   NEW MADRID         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT. TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN IN COMMUNITY ASSOCIATED
            WITH BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

0124 AM     TSTM WND GST     DONIPHAN                36.62N 90.82W
10/18/2007  M56.00 MPH       RIPLEY             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0126 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG DONIPHAN                36.62N 90.82W
10/18/2007                   RIPLEY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD MINOR DAMAGE WITH LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TREES
            AND POWER LINES DOWN. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOME. EM TEAM
            CONDUCTING SURVEY AT THIS TIME. RADAR INDICATED STORM
            MOVED THROUGH COMMUNITY AT 126 AM.

0145 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N POPLAR BLUFF        36.81N 90.41W
10/18/2007                   BUTLER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED POWER LINES NORTH OF POPLAR BLUFF. ESTIMATED WINDS
            IN POPLAR BLUFF 65-70 MPH.

0222 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE MARBLE HILL        37.26N 89.93W
10/18/2007                   BOLLINGER          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE LEOPOLD AREA. NUMEROUS POWER
            OUTAGES REPORTED.

0230 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  37.10N 89.56W
10/18/2007                   SCOTT              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

0235 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DEXTER                  36.79N 89.96W
10/18/2007                   STODDARD           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF DAMAGE TO BUILDING ALONG EAST STODDARD STREET. NO
            INJURIES REPORTED AT THIS TIME. POWER LINES DOWN JUST
            EAST OF HIGHWAY 25.

0240 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N MOUNDS              37.14N 89.20W
10/18/2007                   PULASKI            IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 51 NORTH OF MOUNDS.

0240 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MILLERSVILLE            37.42N 89.80W
10/18/2007                   CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BUILDING AND VEHICLE DAMAGE REPORTED IN COMMUNITY. EM
            TEAM RESPONDING AT THIS TIME. MUCH OF NORTHEAST CAPE
            GIRARDEAU COUNTY WITHOUT POWER.

0255 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ANNA                    37.46N 89.24W
10/18/2007                   UNION              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES THROUGHOUT THE
            COUNTY.

0300 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CAPE GIRARDEAU          37.31N 89.55W
10/18/2007                   CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TWO TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF CAPE GIRARDEAU

0302 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 NE CAPE GIRARDEAU     37.32N 89.54W
10/18/2007  E60.00 MPH       CAPE GIRARDEAU     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED 1 MI NORTHEAST OF CAPE
            GIRARDEAU

0314 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N EDDYVILLE           37.56N 88.59W
10/18/2007                   POPE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE BLOCKING SOUTH BOUND LANE OF IL RT 145 4 MI NORTH OF
            EDDYVILLE, IL

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     JOHNSTON CITY           37.82N 88.93W
10/18/2007                   WILLIAMSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TWO TREES DOWN IN JOHNSTON CITY, IL

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N BUCKNER             38.01N 89.02W
10/18/2007                   FRANKLIN           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            42 BY 48 FOOT POLE BARN DESTROYED.

0324 AM     TSTM WND GST     VALIER                  38.02N 89.04W
10/18/2007  E60.00 MPH       FRANKLIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST IN VALIER, IL

0327 AM     TSTM WND GST     MARION                  37.73N 88.94W
10/18/2007  E60.00 MPH       WILLIAMSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED BY STORM CHASER...LIMBS DOWN
            AND POWER OUT IN THE TOWN OF MARION, IL

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  38.01N 88.92W
10/18/2007                   FRANKLIN           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES COUNTY WIDE.

0332 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST FRANKFORT          37.90N 88.93W
10/18/2007                   FRANKLIN           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON TOP OF HOUSE IN WEST FRANKFORT, IL

0337 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 N MARION              37.82N 88.94W
10/18/2007                   WILLIAMSON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DOWNED TREES REPORTED IN JOHNTSON CITY. WINDS MEASURED AT
            62 MPH.

0340 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S MCLEANSBORO         38.02N 88.53W
10/18/2007                   HAMILTON           IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 142S.

0345 AM     TSTM WND GST     CAIRO                   37.00N 89.18W
10/18/2007  E60.00 MPH       ALEXANDER          IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0445 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT CARMEL            38.42N 87.77W
10/18/2007                   WABASH             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            DOWNED TREE BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF 12TH STREET AND
            WALNUT.

&&

MIKEY