Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 163, NWS Wichita, KS

October 17, 2007Kingman County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 17, 2007, 4:01 PM CDT for Kingman County, Kansas. It was in force for 39 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 17, 2007, 4:01 PM CDT (21:01 UTC)
Expired: Oct 17, 2007, 4:40 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Wichita, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Kingman County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 17, 2:25 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 500 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1044 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 276 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 262 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 17, 3:05 PM CDT, 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 3:05 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
305 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL DEAL WITH AFTERNOON/EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS AND STRENGTH OF SURFACE WINDS FOR THURSDAY.

TONIGHT
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MARCH EAST
ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A FEW EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
THE MAIN CONCERN HAS NOW SHIFTED TO THE DRYLINE WHERE ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY...AS FULL SUNSHINE HAS
RECHARGED THE ATMOSPHERE IN THIS AREA. AMPLE SHEAR/INSTABILITY
JUST AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE WILL ALLOW STORMS TO REACH SEVERE
LIMITS. THE STRONG/SEVERE WEATHER ACTIVITY FROM THE DRYLINE WILL
RACE EASTWARD AND AFFECT MAINLY CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY COULD WEAKEN ONCE IT REACHES EASTERN KANSAS
AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE WORKED OVER REGION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN RISK...HOWEVER A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT GIVEN MODEST LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND 0-3KM CAPE VALUES.

THU-SAT
COLDER AIR ADVECTION REGIME WILL RACE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL CLOUDINESS AIDING IN THE COOLING
EFFECTS. RESIDUAL MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED VERTICAL MOTION
NEAR 700MB TROUGH AXIS PIVOTING THROUGH LOOKS TO SPARK OFF SOME RAIN
SHOWER ACTIVITY WHICH WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD ACROSS KANSAS. THE SETUP
FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS...HOWEVER FAVORED DEEP MIXING WILL BE PREDICATED ON
CLOUDINESS/PRECIP. THERE IS ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS AT THIS JUNCTURE...AND WILL
LET NEXT SHIFT RE-EVALUATE FOR ANY POSSIBLE CHANGES. OTHERWISE...A
NICE WARMING TREND WILL BE IN STORE ACROSS KANSAS FOR FRI/SAT. SOUTH
WINDS WILL BECOME RATHER STOUT AGAIN FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS
SURFACE TROUGH AXIS DEEPENS AHEAD OF NEXT APPROACHING WAVE.

EXTENDED: SUN-WED
TIMING OF NEXT COLD FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN BUT MOST LIKELY TIME
FRAME WOULD BE SOMETIME ON SUNDAY AT THIS JUNCTURE. PRECIP CHANCES
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY LOOK REASONABLE WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN
THE VICINITY...HOWEVER THE PRECIP COULD BE REMOVED FOR MONDAY IF
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SPEEDS UP SIMILAR TO THE LATEST GFS SOLUTION.
OTHERWISE...WE SHOULD SEE COOLER BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS COOLER AIR FILTERS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

JAKUB

.AVIATION...
THREAT OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FOR SLN/ICT/CNU....WITH DRYLINE
ENDING THUNDERSTORM THREAT EARLY AT HUT/RSL AFTER 6PM. GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH DRYSLOT
OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER STRATOCUMULUS SHOULD MOVE BACK INTO NORTHERN
SECTIONS JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK AT RSL/SLN AND INTO HUT/ICT AFTER
DAYBREAK. SOME RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW MORNING GIVEN
DYNAMICS. -HOWERTON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    53  65  45  72 /  40  30  10   0
HUTCHINSON      52  62  44  73 /  30  40  10   0
NEWTON          53  62  45  72 /  50  40  10   0
ELDORADO        55  64  46  71 /  50  40  10   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   55  67  46  73 /  30  20  10   0
RUSSELL         49  62  42  74 /  30  40  10   0
GREAT BEND      50  63  42  74 /  20  40  10   0
SALINA          52  60  44  73 /  50  40  10   0
MCPHERSON       52  61  44  73 /  40  40  10   0
COFFEYVILLE     57  70  48  71 /  70  20  10   0
CHANUTE         57  67  47  69 /  80  20  10   0
IOLA            57  66  47  69 /  80  20  10   0
PARSONS-KPPF    57  69  48  70 /  70  20  10   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047-
048-050-051-067-082.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 3:50 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
350 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-182200-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
350 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP NEAR A DRYLINE AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD RAPIDLY INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY A STRONG TORNADO. THE GREATEST THREAT AREA FOR
TORNADOES WOULD BE FOR LOCATIONS...MAINLY WEST OF A ELLSWORTH TO
HUTCHINSON...TO WELLINGTON LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH
MAY AFFECT CENTRAL KANSAS THURSDAY. PLEASE SEE WIND ADVISORY FOR
ADDITONAL DETAILS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

JMC/CJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 17, 1:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
142 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0141 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NNE ST. PAUL          37.55N 95.16W
10/17/2007  E55 MPH          NEOSHO             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ELDER

Local storm report, Oct 17, 1:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
143 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N STARK               37.68N 95.14W
10/17/2007  E60 MPH          NEOSHO             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ELDER

Local storm report, Oct 17, 1:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
148 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHAUTAUQUA              37.02N 96.18W
10/17/2007  E0 MPH           CHAUTAUQUA         KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES UPROOTED...DAMAGE TO A BARN ROOF AND A CAR PORT
            BLOWN DOWN.

&&

ELDER

Local storm report, Oct 17, 1:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
151 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S NEODESHA            37.39N 95.68W
10/17/2007  U0 MPH           WILSON             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN

&&

ELDER

Local storm report, Oct 17, 1:59 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
159 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S NEODESHA            37.39N 95.68W
10/17/2007  U0.00 MPH        WILSON             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN

&&

ELDER

Local storm report, Oct 17, 3:30 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
330 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0324 PM     HEAVY RAIN       SEDAN                   37.13N 96.18W
10/17/2007  M4.05 INCH       CHAUTAUQUA         KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED RAINFALL OF 4.05 INCHES SINCE THIS MORNING.

&&

JAS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 17, 12:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Elk, Montgomery	43 min
Oct 17, 12:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Labette, Montgomery, Neosho, Wilson	42 min
Oct 17, 1:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Allen, Labette, Neosho, Wilson	38 min
Oct 17, 3:12 PM CDT	Wind Advisory	ICT	Barton, Ellsworth, Kingman, Lincoln, McPherson, Reno and 2 more	26 hr
Oct 17, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harper, Kingman	36 min
Oct 17, 4:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harper, Sumner	56 min
Oct 17, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Kingman, Sedgwick, Sumner	57 min
Oct 17, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Cowley, Sumner	62 min
Oct 17, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Harvey, Sedgwick	55 min
Oct 17, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Chautauqua, Montgomery	62 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.