Flash Flood Warning 99, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 032016
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
315 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXC467-032230-
VAN ZANDT TX-
315 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR VAN
ZANDT COUNTY...

AT 310 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CANTON TO 8 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MINEOLA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH PREVIOUS RAINFALL 
WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS 
WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3237 9607 3265 9607 3279 9585 3271 9560
      3247 9554

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 032100
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
359 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXC467-032230-
VAN ZANDT TX-
359 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT FOR VAN
ZANDT COUNTY...

AT 352 PM CDT...HEAVY RAIN HAD ENDED ACROSS THE COUNTY...BUT 
RESIDUAL RUNOFF WAS LIKELY AFFECTING SOME LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND 
SOME SMALL STREAMS WERE LIKELY OUT OF THEIR BANKS. EXERCISE CAUTION 
IF YOU SEE WATER OVER A ROAD.

CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND THE WARNING WILL 
LIKELY BE CANCELLED AT 430 PM IF NO NEW PROBLEMS ARE NOTED. 

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3237 9607 3265 9607 3279 9585 3271 9560
      3247 9554

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 032125
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
425 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXC467-032135-
VAN ZANDT TX-
425 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR VAN ZANDT COUNTY...

CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE IMPROVED. A VERY FEW AREAS MAY STILL 
HAVE SOME WATER OVER THE ROADS...SO CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

LAT...LON 3237 9607 3265 9607 3279 9585 3271 9560
      3247 9554

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1046 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

.UPDATE...CURRENT FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND ONLY MADE SOME
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POP GRIDS FOR ONGOING ACTIVITY. WATER VAPOR
SHOWS UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING...WITH ONE
ADDITIONAL AREA OF ENHANCED VORTICITY YET TO CROSS THE AREA.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT SUNSHINE ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES
AND ATMOSPHERE IS UNSTABLE. THINK BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA...MAINLY EAST OF
I35...BUT WILL LEAVE IN 20/30 POPS FOR THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA
UNTIL UPPER LOW CROSSES THE REGION. SCATTERED CONVECTION ONGOING
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA...SOME HAS BEEN MARGINALLY SEVERE.
WILL LEAVE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH INTACT UNTIL EXPIRATION AT 4 PM.
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH TODAYS STORMS.

DUNN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 650 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2007/

TEMPORARILY CLEARING OF THE MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK WILL GIVE WAY TO
SOME MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES THIS MORNING ACROSS ALL TAF
SITES. WACO MAY EVEN FALL BELOW 1000 FT FOR A SHORT TIME. CEILINGS
SHOULD LIFT TO AROUND 5000 BY MIDDAY AND REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
EVENING. MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL MOST LIKELY RETURN TO
ALL TAF SITES BEFORE SUNRISE FRIDAY.

A SOUTH WIND WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES BETWEEN 7 AND 11 KNOTS.

LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH PASSING SHORT WAVE WILL YIELD SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.  IT APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS
AT THE TAF SITES WILL FROM EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...STORMS
SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED SO WILL NOT INCLUDE A PREVAILING GROUP IN
THIS TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  77  67  88  70  88 /  30  20   0   0   0
WACO, TX              79  67  89  70  89 /  50  10   0   0   0
PARIS, TX             74  64  85  67  87 /  70  20   0   0   0
DENTON, TX            77  65  88  70  87 /  20  20   0   0   0
MCKINNEY, TX          76  64  87  69  88 /  40  20   0   0   0
DALLAS, TX            77  67  88  71  88 /  40  20   0   0   0
TERRELL, TX           76  67  87  69  88 /  60  20   0   0   0
CORSICANA, TX         76  68  87  70  88 /  70  20   0   0   0
TEMPLE, TX            80  69  89  70  89 /  50  10   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ135-146>148-158>162-174-175.

&&

92/91/79

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
740 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
740 AM CDT WED MAY 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM...ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
CORSICANA...WACO...TO KILLEEN LINE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
TODAY.  THE WIND THREAT TODAY WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS IT WAS ON
WEDNESDAY.  HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH HAIL
UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TODAY...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY
AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS SUNDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WHEN ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1119 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXZ145-146-031645-
NAVARRO TX-HILL TX-
1119 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN HILL COUNTY
  WESTERN NAVARRO COUNTY

AT 1119 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST...TO NEAR
BLOOMING GROVE...TO RISE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STORMS INCLUDE BARRY...BLOOMING
GROVE...CORSICANA...DAWSON AND HUBBARD.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL... AND PEA
TO MARBLE-SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS
WITHIN THIS LINE.

LAT...LON 3186 9702 3178 9693 3208 9632 3226 9660

05/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1208 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXZ121-122-135-145-146-031815-
VAN ZANDT TX-KAUFMAN TX-HENDERSON TX-NAVARRO TX-HILL TX-
1208 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN HILL COUNTY
  SOUTHEASTERN KAUFMAN COUNTY
  NAVARRO COUNTY
  NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY
  SOUTHWESTERN VAN ZANDT COUNTY

AT 1208 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF
WEST...TO 10 MILES WEST OF CORSICANA...TO NEAR CEDAR CREEK LAKE AND
GUN BARREL CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BARRY...BLOOMING GROVE...
CORSICANA...DAWSON...ENCHANTED OAKS...GRAYS PRAIRIE...GUN BARREL
CITY...KEMP...MABANK...SEVEN POINTS...TOOL AND PURTIS CREEK STATE
PARK.

PEA TO MARBLE-SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

IF ANY OF THIS STORM ACTIVITY INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3186 9699 3173 9692 3238 9590 3270 9614

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
100 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXZ148-031830-
ANDERSON TX-
100 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  ANDERSON COUNTY

AT 100 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PALESTINE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ELKHART AND PALESTINE.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXCESS
OF ONE INCH...PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

LAT...LON 3172 9592 3157 9580 3162 9528 3206 9566

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
131 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FRISCO                  33.14N  96.81W
05/02/2007                   COLLIN             TX   PUBLIC

            FOLLOW UP FROM MAY 2ND STORMS...NEIGHBORHOOD STREETS
            FLOODED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
133 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GARLAND                 32.91N  96.63W
05/02/2007                   DALLAS             TX   PUBLIC

            FOLLOW UP FROM MAY 2ND STORMS...LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN 1
            MILE NORTH OF DOWNTOWN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
133 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

TXZ148-031900-
ANDERSON TX-
133 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  ANDERSON COUNTY

AT 133 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BOTH 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PALESTINE
AND 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF PALESTINE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE ELKHART...FRANKSTON AND
PALESTINE.

VERY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS
TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH EITHER ONE OF THESE STORMS.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS
SUCH AS DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS
FLOODED ROADS AS THEY MAY BE WASHED OUT.

LAT...LON 3200 9605 3171 9584 3156 9561 3159 9525
      3185 9544 3207 9548

05/