Flash Flood Warning 291, NWS Fort Worth, TX

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031319
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
817 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXC231-379-031530-
HUNT TX-RAINS TX-
817 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT FOR
RAINS AND HUNT COUNTIES...

AT 817 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM NEAR CELESTE...TO WEST OF 
GREENVILLE...TO LONE OAK. ADDITIONAL STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE 
BETWEEN EMORY AND POINT. MOVEMENT WAS SLOWLY WEST.

THE HUNT COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED WIDESPREAD STREET FLOODING 
IN GREENVILLE...AND FLOODING ON HIGHWAY 69 A FEW MILES SOUTHEAST OF 
GREENVILLE. THE RAINS COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING OF 
COUNTY ROADS AND ON FARM ROAD 47 NEAR LAKE TAWAKONI.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3286 9627 3286 9598 3280 9586 3273 9562
      3297 9567 3299 9587 3338 9587 3335 9629

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031414
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
913 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXC231-379-031530-
HUNT TX-RAINS TX-
913 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT FOR
RAINS AND HUNT COUNTIES...

AT 913 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN BETWEEN GREENVILLE AND LONE OAK. 
MODERATE RAIN COVERED MUCH OF HUNT AND RAINS COUNTIES. MOVEMENT WAS 
SLOWLY NORTH.

FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF HUNT AND RAINS 
COUNTIES. USE CAUTION IF YOU ARE TRAVELING THIS MORNING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3286 9627 3286 9598 3280 9586 3273 9562
      3297 9567 3299 9587 3338 9587 3335 9629

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031516
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXC231-379-031530-
HUNT TX-RAINS TX-
1016 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM CDT FOR
RAINS AND HUNT COUNTIES...

AT 1015 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN NEAR CELESTE...AND WEST OF 
QUINLAN. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 10 MPH.

RAINFALL OF UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR CONTINUES WITH THESE STORMS. 
RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF FLOODING. IF 
THE STORMS PERSIST...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3286 9627 3286 9598 3280 9586 3273 9562
      3297 9567 3299 9587 3338 9587 3335 9629

$$

000 
WGUS74 KFWD 031536
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1034 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXC379-031600-
RAINS TX-
1034 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR RAINS COUNTY...

HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY...SO THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LINGERING PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE 
THROUGH LATE MORNING. IF YOU ARE TRAVELING IN RAINS COUNTY...STAY 
CLEAR OF AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3286 9627 3286 9598 3280 9586 3273 9562
      3297 9567 3299 9587 3338 9587 3335 9629

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
611 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAF CYCLE/
SHORT TERM FORECAST FOCUS REVOLVES AROUND VERY LOW CEILINGS ACROSS
THE AREA. IFR CIGS /500 TO 1000FT/ CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE METROPLEX
TAF SITES THROUGH 14Z. EVEN ACT HAS SHOWN A LOWERING TREND IN
CLOUD DECKS...AND NEARBY SITES INCLUDING GATESVILLE...TEMPLE...AND
HILLSBORO ARE REPORTING MUCH LOWER CLOUD COVER THAN ACT.

OTHERWISE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST. TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TAF SITES HAVE NOT SEEN MUCH IN THE
WAY OF RAINFALL AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS...SO
WILL LEAVE OUT MENTION OF PRECIP AFTER SUNDOWN IN THIS TAF
PACKAGE. WILL ALSO INTRODUCE MVFR CIGS AFTER 08Z...WHICH MAY NEED
TO BE LOWERED INTO IFR CAT...AS EXTREMELY SATURATED GROUND AND
LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT.

SCHULTZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007/

CLIMATE...
THROUGH MONDAY JULY 2ND 2007...DALLAS FORT WORTH AIRPORT HAS HAD
EIGHT CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH MEASURABLE RAINFALL. THE RECORD FOR THE
MOST CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF MEASURABLE RAINFALL FOR THE OFFICIAL DALLAS
FORT WORTH SITE IS 10 DAYS. THIS HAS HAPPENED TWICE...APRIL
10-19...1908 AND FEBRUARY 13-22...1932.

THE RAINFALL FOR MONDAY JULY 2ND 2007 AT WACO IS LISTED AS MISSING
IN THE WACO CLIMATE REPORT...FTWCLIACT. WE ATTEMPT TO GET DATA
FROM THE BACKUP LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN SEND A CORRECTED CLIMATE
REPORT.   #58

DISCUSSION...
414 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007
SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW THAT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS CENTERED WEST
OF BROWNWOOD AS OF 08Z. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWEST
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND WITH THE HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. GIVEN THE SATURATED GROUND...WE WILL KEEP THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
INDEPENDENCE DAY. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO SINK
SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER THURSDAY BEFORE BECOMING STATIONARY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS FRONT WILL THEN LIFT
BACK TO THE NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND. HAVE KEPT CHANCE POPS FOR MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO SATURDAY...AND THEN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE
AFTERWARDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THEN START TO CLIMB BACK CLOSER TO
NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND AS RAIN CHANCES START TO DECREASE. #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  86  73  86  73  88 /  80  60  60  50  50
WACO, TX              87  74  85  72  90 /  80  80  70  60  50
PARIS, TX             84  72  83  71  87 /  80  70  60  40  60
DENTON, TX            85  72  86  70  89 /  80  50  60  40  50
MCKINNEY, TX          85  71  86  70  89 /  80  60  60  40  50
DALLAS, TX            86  73  86  73  88 /  80  70  60  50  50
TERRELL, TX           85  72  85  72  87 /  80  70  60  50  60
CORSICANA, TX         86  73  85  71  88 /  80  80  70  60  60
TEMPLE, TX            87  73  85  71  88 /  80  90  70  60  50

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

SCHULTZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
358 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-040900-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
358 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY...PRODUCING VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE STRONGEST
STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
DAILY THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...THE GREATEST CHANCES WILL BE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED.

SCHULTZ