Flash Flood Warning 305, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 060815
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
308 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007

TXC021-055-061045-
BASTROP TX-CALDWELL TX-
308 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT FOR
CALDWELL AND BASTROP COUNTIES...

AT 306 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO DETECT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES AS 
THESE STORMS MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA.  THE HEAVIEST RAINS AND 
FLASH FLOODING WERE INDICATED MAINLY BETWEEN LOCKHART...ROCKNE... 
ROSANKY...AND LULING.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WYLDWOOD...
SMITHVILLE...CIRCLE D-KC ESTATES...CEDAR CREEK...CAMP SWIFT AND
BASTROP

IT IS HARD TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING AT NIGHT. IF FLOOD
WATERS RISE ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

DO NOT DRIVE WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES...INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2985 9785 2967 9761 3006 9705 3034 9730

$$

000 
WGUS74 KEWX 061022
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
515 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007

TXC021-055-061045-
BASTROP TX-CALDWELL TX-
515 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 AM CDT FOR
CALDWELL AND BASTROP COUNTIES...

AT 510 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO DETECT 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH AND PRODUCING 
VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER CALDWELL AND BASTROP COUNTIES.  ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.   

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
SMITHVILLE...CIRCLE D-KC ESTATES...CEDAR CREEK...CAMP SWIFT AND 
BASTROP

IT IS HARD TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING AT NIGHT. IF FLOOD
WATERS RISE ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT STAY IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
AREAS...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR
LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FLOOD INFORMATION.

DO NOT DRIVE WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY MOST VEHICLES...INCLUDING SUVS AND PICKUPS. TURN
AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 2985 9785 2967 9761 3006 9705 3034 9730

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1239 AM CDT FRI JUL 6 2007

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LOW BETWEEN AUS AND TPL WILL SLOWLY MOVE NE OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA WILL CONTINUE...BECOMING MORE
NUMEROUS AFTER 08Z. CONFIDENCE LOW THAT TAF SITES WILL BE DIRECTLY
IMPACTED AND WILL ONLY INDICATED VCSH/VCTS AND CB. VFR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL, EXCEPT AREAS OF MVFR CIGS WITH LOCAL IFR CIGS/MVFR VSBYS
BETWEEN 08Z AND 16Z AS WELL AS IN SCT SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 844 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007/

UPDATE...
THIS EVENING THE PERSISTENT MID/UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED
OVER EAST CENTRAL TEXAS DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS
DEPICTED A SFC LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF ATASCOSA COUNTY WITH AN ATTENDANT
SFC TROF EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS CAMERON. 00Z SOUNDINGS STILL
HAVE PWS CLOSE TO 2 INCHES. WILL CONTINUE FFA...STILL SOME CONCERN
FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE SFC TROF AXIS. NO SIG CHANGES TO
CURRENT FCST.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 615 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007/

UPDATE...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OUR WESTERN COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED. TEXT AND
GRID PRODUCTS UPDATED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007/

DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER BASTROP COUNTY MOVING NORTH
INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THAT PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BUCHANAN DAM TO
JOHNSON CITY TO SAN ANTONIO TO JUST SOUTH OF JOURDANTON. WEST OF
THIS LINE..THE WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM.
A MOIST TROPICAL GULF INFLOW INTO THE UPPER LOW TONIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE COASTAL PLAINS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. SOME OF
THESE WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.
WILL DISCOUNT THE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IN THE GFS MODEL BUT
CONTINUE WITH LESSER CHANCES FOR RAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH LOW CHANCES MAINLY OVER EASTERN
SECTIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME MORE SEASONAL THIS WEEKEND
AS THE DEEP TROPICAL ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DRY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              89  73  93  73  90 /  60  30  20  30  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  89  71  91  71  89 /  60  30  20  30  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           93  75  91  75  97 /  40  30  30  30  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       89  73  90  74  91 /  50  30  20  30  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
ATASCOSA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...
DE WITT...FAYETTE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...LAVACA...
LEE...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

18/01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
658 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007

TXZ172-173-190>194-205>209-220>225-061100-
BURNET-WILLIAMSON-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-BEXAR-COMAL-
GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-
DE WITT-LAVACA-
658 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY MORNING. THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST OF
CENTRAL TEXAS. MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY.

THERE ARE SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.

TXZ171-183>189-202>204-217>219-228-061100-
LLANO-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-KENDALL-
KINNEY-UVALDE-MEDINA-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-FRIO-DIMMIT-
658 PM CDT THU JUL 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL
INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO GENERATE WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST OF
CENTRAL TEXAS. MAINLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.