Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 061624
FFAEAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1124 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

.SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...3 TO 5 INCHES IN MANY AREAS...HAS CAUSED
RAPID RISES IN STREAMS AND RIVERS AND FLOWING WATER ON AREA
ROADWAYS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CREATE
THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

KSZ060-MOZ008-017-025-033-040-045-046-053-054-070030-
/O.EXA.KEAX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070507T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINN KS-SCHUYLER-ADAIR-MACON-RANDOLPH-HOWARD-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-
HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...LANCASTER...DOWNING...
KIRKSVILLE...MACON...LA PLATA...MOBERLY...FAYETTE...
NEW FRANKLIN...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
1124 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL KANSAS 
  AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL 
  KANSAS...LINN KS. IN MISSOURI...ADAIR...BATES...COOPER...
  HENRY...HOWARD...MACON...PETTIS...RANDOLPH AND SCHUYLER.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
  THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI DURING THE MORNING
  HOURS SUNDAY...HAVE PRODUCED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AND
  THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST. ADDITIONAL
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...AND
  THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL OF ONE OR THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. WITH THE ALREADY
  SATURATED GROUND...THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER
  CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE. IN
  ADDITION...EXCESS RAINFALL WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR RIVER
  FLOODING.


A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. IF
YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS
REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA
RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS
OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELED. THIS FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDING THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY.

$$

KSZ025-057-102>105-MOZ001>007-011>016-020>024-028>032-037>039-043-
044-070030-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070507T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-HOLT-
ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-
LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-JACKSON-
LAFAYETTE-SALINE-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...TROY...LEAVENWORTH...
KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...
MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...
PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...
CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...
ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...
CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...
LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...
KEYTESVILLE...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...
CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...
WARRENSBURG
1124 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS...
  LEAVENWORTH...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...ANDREW...
  ATCHISON MO...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...
  CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...
  GRUNDY...HARRISON...HOLT...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...
  LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PLATTE...PUTNAM...
  RAY...SALINE...SULLIVAN AND WORTH.

* THROUGH MONDAY MORNING

* PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. MANY
  LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY REPORTED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
  ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY THIS
  AFTERNOON...AND THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL
  RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE. WITH THE ALREADY
  SATURATED GROUND...THE POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER
  CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL EXPAND...LEADING TO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
  SITUATION. IN ADDITION...EXCESS RAINFALL WILL ALSO INCREASE THE
  POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING.

* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
  RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. IF
  YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS
  REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS.
  KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR
  IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST
MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELED. THIS FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXTENDING THROUGH 7 AM CDT MONDAY.

$$


SF

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 062206
FFAEAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
506 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

.SIGNIFICANT FLOODING EVENT ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA. MORNING
CONVECTION ALREADY HAS PRODUCED A LARGE SWATH OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI...WITH ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL COMMON FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ACROSS WEST-
CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. NUMEROUS SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE
IN FLOOD...AND WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING.

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-070615-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070508T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
506 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS...
  LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...
  ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...
  CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER...
  DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY...
  HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO...
  LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE...
  PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND 
  WORTH.

* THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

* SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN-BEARING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
  ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST MISSOURI
  AND EXTREME NORTHEAST KANSAS ALREADY HAVE RECEIVED RAINFALL OF 3 TO
  5 INCHES...WITH ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN COMMON FROM EAST CENTRAL
  KANSAS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. ADDITIONAL RAIN
  AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY TONIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT
  ...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE BASED
  ON THE LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE. THE GROUND IS SATURATED THUS FLASH
  FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE...LEADING TO
  AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. IN ADDITION...EXCESS RAINFALL
  WILL ALSO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING WITH
  HISTORIC FLOOD CRESTS EXPECTED ON SEVERAL RIVERS ACROSS NORTHWEST MISSOURI.

* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR 
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH 
  FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR 
  PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS 
  ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF 
  FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. 



$$

24

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 071750
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1250 PM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-071900-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-070508T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
1250 PM CDT MON MAY 7 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. RAINFALL HAS MOSTLY ENDED ACROSS THE REGION AND THE
RISK FOR ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING HAS SUBSIDED. ALTHOUGH NO
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...EXTENSIVE WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING REMAINS ONGOING. PERSONS
LIVING ALONG OR NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR RIVER
STAGES CLOSELY...AS WELL AS FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS ISSUED FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

$$

BOOKBINDER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
640 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
BUSY MORNING SO WILL KEEP IT SHORT.  WILL GO WITH A FLOOD WATCH FOR
NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS AS EXPECT REPEATED ROUNDS OF
STORMS IN THE AREA AS OVERALL UPPER PATTERN ONLY UNDERGOES A SLOW
CHANGE THROUGH TONIGHT. THUS EXPECTING LOW LEVEL JET TO CONTINUE TO
FEED ACROSS THIS AREA WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN PLACE. AT THIS
POINT...WILL JUST COVER THE AREA THAT IS SEEING THE HEAVY RAIN
ALREADY THIS MORNING...AS GROUND WILL BE QUITE SATURATED FROM THIS
RAIN.

ALSO AM CONCERNED ABOUT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT SOME QUESTION OF EXACTLY WHERE THIS
AS LEFT OVER BOUNDARIES FROM THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION WILL HAVE AN
IMPACT. WILL KEEP HIGHEST POPS IN MY NORTHWEST AREAS...AND
BROADBRUSH CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE TO COVER THE POSSIBILITIES OF WARM
FRONT DEVELOPMENT FURTHER EAST AND SOUTH.

WITH RIDGE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY HELD IN PLACE AS A
DEEPENING LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST ATLANTIC COAST...TROUGH
BRINGING THE FORECAST AREA ALL THE WET WEATHER WILL MAKE LITTLE
PROGRESS EVEN ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...SO WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES
TO THE POPS WE HAVE GOING IN THE FORECAST.

PC
&&

.AVIATION...

CONTINUING TO WATCH LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM PUSH THROUGH THE TAF
SITES THIS MORNING.  GUST FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH KSTJ AND
KMCI...AND WILL LIKELY REACH KMKC IN THE NEXT HOUR.  BEHIND THIS
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...WILL LIKELY SEE A 1-2 HOUR PERIOD OF NORTHERLY
WINDS BEFORE WINDS SWITCH BACK TO THE SOUTH WEST LATER THIS
MORNING.  CIGS WILL LIKELY STAY VFR...DROPPING TO MVFR CONDITIONS AS
THUNDERSTORMS ROLL THROUGH.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON...SHOULD SEE ANOTHER DAY MUCH LIKE
SATURDAY...WITH MORE STORMS FIRING IN KANSAS...BUT ALSO THE
POTENTIAL OF STORMS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
AS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES ARE REACHED WITH A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERING IN THE REGION.  BEST PERIOD OF REDEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE
FROM 20Z-01Z. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY RAGE
EASTWARD OUT OF KANSAS AND INTO THE TERMINAL SITES AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DUX

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR MOZ001-MOZ002-MOZ003-MOZ004-
     MOZ011-MOZ012-MOZ013-MOZ020.

KS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY FOR KSZ025-KSZ102.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
606 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-071115-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
606 AM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THIS MORNING...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND
POSSIBLY HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...WILL BE
ONGOING ACROSS AREAS FROM NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...INTO EAST CENTRAL
KANSAS. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS. THESE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY MIDDAY.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON A WARM FRONT WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
THIRD OF MISSOURI...FROM AROUND PRINCETON TO MOBERLY MISSOURI. ALONG
AND TO THE WEST OF THIS FRONT IN MISSOURI THE AIR WILL BE QUITE MOIST
AND UNSTABLE. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF EVOLVING INTO
SUPERCELLS THAT CAN PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN EASTERN
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS IN THE AFTERNOON...THAT MAY EVOLVE
INTO LINE SEGMENTS TONIGHT THAT COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES AS THEY MOVE INTO MISSOURI.

ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH
THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM THE RAIN THIS MORNING ACROSS
NORTHEAST KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI...ADDITIONAL FLOODING
PROBLEMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY THERE...AND A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
POSTED.  HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON HOW THE STORMS DEVELOP TODAY IN
OTHER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY...FLOODING MAY ALSO BECOME
A CONCERN IN AREAS FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...STORMS FROM OVERNIGHT SHOULD BE DIMINISHING ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI BY LATE MORNING. WITH LITTLE CAP
IN PLACE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY THAT SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MONDAY EVENING. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE MAIN THREAT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE.
MORE OF THE SAME WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON TUESDAY AND MAY EVEN CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM CAUSING ALL THE STORMY WEATHER MAY
STILL BE STALLED IN THE REGION.

WITH ALL THIS WET WEATHER...FLOODING PROBLEMS WILL LIKELY ESCALATE
THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IN THE LOWER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY...ON MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY.

PC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
619 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     SKIDMORE                40.29N 95.08W
05/06/2007                   NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREES DOWN...TIME ESTD

0315 AM     HAIL             SKIDMORE                40.29N 95.08W
05/06/2007  E0.75 INCH       NODAWAY            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TIME ESTD

&&

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
620 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE FORTESCUE         40.04N 95.27W
05/06/2007                   HOLT               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER HUBCAP DEEP ON HWY 111, ONE HALF MILE SOUTH OF HWY
            159

&&

DDEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
710 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 AM     HAIL             7 NNW GALT              40.22N 93.44W
05/06/2007  E1.00 INCH       GRUNDY             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL

&&

DDEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
855 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W TRENTON             40.08N 93.66W
05/06/2007                   GRUNDY             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.5-2 INCHES OF RAIN IN LAST HOUR. ROAD LEADING TO
            CROWDER STATE PARK FLOODED

&&

DDEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
859 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 AM     HAIL             1 W BLUE SPRINGS        39.02N 94.30W
05/06/2007  E0.75 INCH       JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
900 AM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HAIL             3 E TRENTON             40.08N 93.55W
05/06/2007  E0.88 INCH       GRUNDY             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DDEROCHE