Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2007, 12:26 AM EDT for Erie County, Pennsylvania; Ashtabula County, Ohio. It was in force for 64 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 19, 2007, 12:26 AM EDT (04:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 19, 2007, 1:30 AM EDT
- In force
- 64 min
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Ashtabula County, OH, Erie County, PA
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 12:45 AM EDT | TSTM WND DMG | Conneaut, OH | ONE TREE DOWN AND A FEW LARGE LIMBS. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 19 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 10:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 412 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1031 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 38 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS51 KCLE 190426
SVRCLE
OHC007-PAC049-190530-
/O.NEW.KCLE.SV.W.0169.070719T0426Z-070719T0530Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1226 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ASHTABULA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO
ERIE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA
* UNTIL 130 AM EDT
* AT 1223 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
NORTH OF NORTH KINGSVILLE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ASHTABULA...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CONNEAUT...JEFFERSON AND ALBION
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN OHIO.
LAT...LON 4187 8029 4185 8030 4185 8052 4165 8053
4152 8069 4190 8082 4192 8078 4192 8078
4194 8062 4196 8060 4197 8055 4200 8050
4200 8047
$$2 follow-up statements
000
WWUS51 KCLE 190456
SVSCLE
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1256 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
OHC007-PAC049-190530-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-070719T0530Z/
ASHTABULA OH-ERIE PA-
1256 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT
FOR EASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OHIO...AND SOUTHWESTERN
ERIE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...
AT 1255 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR CONNEAUT...OR ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF ASHTABULA...
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GIRARD
AND ALBION
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN OHIO.
LAT...LON 4185 8012 4185 8030 4185 8052 4165 8053
4152 8069 4190 8082 4192 8078 4192 8078
4194 8062 4196 8060 4197 8055 4200 8050
4206 8028
$$000
WWUS51 KCLE 190528
SVSCLE
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
128 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
OHC007-PAC049-190538-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-070719T0530Z/
ASHTABULA OH-ERIE PA-
128 AM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN ASHTABULA COUNTY IN
NORTHEAST OHIO...AND SOUTHWESTERN ERIE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA EXPIRES AT 130 AM EDT...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 AM EDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN OHIO.
LAT...LON 4185 8012 4185 8030 4185 8052 4165 8053
4152 8069 4190 8082 4192 8078 4192 8078
4194 8062 4196 8060 4197 8055 4200 8050
4206 8028
$$
KIELTYKAWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 11:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 11:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1119 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO LOWER
MICHIGAN...WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY. CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE THE GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS FOR THE WHOLE AREA...WILL HAVE TO SEE
HOW SEVERE IT GETS. ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH BASED ON UPSTREAM RADAR
AND SATELLITE. GROUND IS DRY BUT 1 HOUR FLOOD GUIDANCE IS 2 INCHES
AND RAINFALL IS 2 TO 4 INCHES.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
EXPECT REMNANTS OF THE MCS TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. LOW LEVEL JET AND SHEAR INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON
AS COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN BEGINS TO MOVE INTO
THE AREA. EXPECT WIDESOPREAD THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. SPC HAS THE ENTIRE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUDERSTORMS...BUT DEBRIS FROM MORNING STORMS MAY ACT TO INSULATE
AREA. EXPECT LAST OF STORMS TO PUSH SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA BY
MIDNIGHT LOCAL.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND. UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH DOES SWING ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKES FRIDAY AFTERNOON
WHICH MAY KICK OFF A SHOWER OF TWO OVER EASTERN PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SFC HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT TO THE EAST LATE IN THE
PERIOD ALLOWING A WARMUP BY MIDWEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THERE WERE A FEW TSTM OVER THE AREA WITH OTHER SCATTERED TSTMS
OVER CNTRL LOWER MI AND SOUTHERN ONT MOVING SE. WILL CARRY
THUNDERTORMS NEXT FEW HOURS MOST TAF SITES. DONT BELIEVE TSTMS TO
N WILL DEVELOP IN LARGE SCALE MCS AND LIKELY DIMINISH ARND
MIDNIGHT WITH ERI HAVING BEST CHANCE OF TSTMS. LARGE COMPLEX TO W MAY
SPREAD INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THOUGH CURRENT MOVEMENT MAY
TAKE IN JUST TO THE SW OF THE AREA. HOWEVER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD WITH FRONT APPROACHING
TOMORROW MORNING AND WAVE MOVING ALONG IT. SHOWERS/TSTMS TAPERING
OFF WITH FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATE IN TAF FORECAST PERIOD. BEST
CHANCE TO SEE IFR CONDITIONS IN SHOWERS/TSTMS TOMORROW AFTERNOON
WITH THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SPECIALLY IF THERE IS SOME SUNSHINE
TO ADD TO THE INSTABILITY.
BEYOND 00Z FRIDAY...COLD FRONT WILL EXIT SOUTHEASTERN AREAS
SHORTLY AFTER 00Z. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE INTO OH/PA ON FRIDAY WITH FAVORABLE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
MONDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
WAVES EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ALONG THE FRONT OVER NEXT SEVERAL
PERIODS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO BE VARIABLE AND LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THURSDAY. FLOW ACROSS THE LAKE WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY AND INCREASE BY FRIDAY AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS EAST ACROSS
THE AREA.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL
WITH ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY SO THIS WILL BE A THREAT FOR
MARINE INTERESTS.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER
BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR OHZ003-006>008-
017>019-027>031-036>038-047.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...KIELTYKA
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...DJB
AVIATION...RANDEL
MARINE...KIELTYKAHazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 11:16 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1116 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007 LEZ143>146-164-OHZ009>014-020>023-032-033-089-PAZ001>003-200330- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO-THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-ERIE OH-LORAIN- CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL- STARK-MAHONING-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- CRAWFORD PA- 1116 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY. ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT WILL BE ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. OHZ003-006>008-017>019-027>031-036>038-047-200330- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX- 1116 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY... ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY. ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT WILL BE ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. LEZ142-147>149-162-163-165>169-200330- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OHIO- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO-CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON- THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OHIO BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- CONNEAUT OHIO TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- 1116 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY. ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT WILL BE ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 18, 9:07 PM EDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
907 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 PM HAIL ROCK CREEK 41.66N 80.85W
07/18/2007 E0.75 INCH ASHTABULA OH LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
RANDELLocal storm report, Jul 18, 11:52 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1152 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0955 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N WATERVILLE 41.57N 83.73W
07/18/2007 LUCAS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT
ONE TREE DOWN AND ONE LARGE LIMB.
1025 PM HAIL 3 N JEFFERSON 41.78N 80.77W
07/18/2007 E0.88 INCH ASHTABULA OH LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
KIELTYKAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 10:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Crawford | 44 min |
| Jul 18, 8:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashtabula | 59 min |
| Jul 18, 9:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Lucas | 58 min |
| Jul 18, 9:55 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 95 min | |
| Jul 18, 10:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Ashtabula | 63 min |
| Jul 18, 11:10 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 2 hr | |
| Jul 18, 11:12 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | CLE | Ashland, Crawford, Hancock, Holmes, Huron, Knox and 10 more | 6 hr |
| Jul 18, 11:42 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 2 hr | |
| Jul 19, 12:11 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Ashtabula | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 1:04 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Holmes | 56 min |
| Jul 19, 1:15 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Holmes | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 2:54 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Morrow | 51 min |
| Jul 19, 3:08 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CLE | Holmes | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:13 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CLE | Ashland, Knox, Marion, Morrow, Richland | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:35 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CLE | Knox | 6 hr |
| Jul 19, 6:05 AM EDT | Marine Weather Statement | CLE | 115 min | |
| Jul 19, 2:26 PM EDT | Marine Weather Statement | CLE | 2 hr | |
| Jul 19, 4:55 PM EDT | Marine Weather Statement | CLE | 65 min | |
| Jul 19, 5:29 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 2 hr | |
| Jul 19, 6:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Cuyahoga | 38 min |
| Jul 19, 7:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Portage, Summit | 41 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.