Gale Warning 99, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 101114
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-110315-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 978 MB LOW 125 MILES SOUTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL
MOVE TO 200 MILES WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND BY 3 PM MONDAY
WEAKENING TO 980 MB. BY 3 PM TUESDAY THE LOW WILL MOVE TO THE
BERING STRAIT WEAKENING TO 990 MB. MODERATE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER THE ARCTIC OCEAN.

$$

PKZ225-110315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10
FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-110315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-110315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-110315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-110315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
214 AM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

RF/PKA DEC 07

000
FZAK51 PAFG 102244
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-111545-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 981 MB LOW 200 NM WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND WILL MOVE OVER
THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA AS A 994 MB LOW BY 3AM WED AND THEN WEAKEN. 
A WEATHER FRONT FROM THE LOW TO THE YUKON DELTA WILL MOVE TO THE
TO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA TO PRUDHOE BAY BY 3PM TUE.

$$

PKZ225-111545-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...E WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
12 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-111545-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-111545-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-111545-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-111545-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
144 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...E WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

DEC 07

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 PM AST SUN DEC 9 2007

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...BROAD TROUGH PERSISTING OVER BERING SEA WITH RIDGE OVER
EASTERN PACIFIC AND EASTERN ALASKA. LOW SOUTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND WILL DRIFT NORTH TO BERING STRAIT 00Z WED AND TO BARROW 00Z
THU. TROUGH FROM LOW MOVING NORTH OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL
INTERIOR TUE PM AND WED MORNING.

SURFACE...1000 MB LOW 400 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARROW SLOWLY
FILLING. 983 MB LOW 90 MILES EAST OF THE PRIBILOFS MOVING TO 60
MILES SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL 00Z TUE AT 985 MB THEN WEAKENING TO 990
MB 12Z TUE AND DRIFTING NORTHEAST. ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT FROM
MEKOYRUK TO BETHEL AT 00Z MON OCCLUDING AND MOVING TO GAMBELL TO
NOME TO GALENA 12Z MON...THIS OCCLUSION THEN MOVING TO GAMBELL TO
KOTZEBUE TO TANANA 00Z TUE AND TO POINT HOPE TO BARTER ISLAND 12Z
TUE THEN DISSIPATING. LOW OVER NORTH PACIFIC MOVING TO KENAI
PENINSULA 00Z TUE...A SMALL SECONDARY LOW FORMING NEAR MCGRATH 00Z
TUE THEN MOVING TO CENTRAL SEWARD PENINSULA 12Z TUE AT 990 MB
WHILE MAIN LOW WEAKENS AND DRIFTS EAST ACROSS NORTHERN GULF OF
ALASKA.

MODELS...WRF MAY BE TOO DEEP ON UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING NORTH OVER
BERING SEA...OTHERWISE IN SHORT TERM MODELS AGREE FAIRLY WELL ON
SURFACE LOW MOVING NORTH OVER BERING SEA TO SOUTHWEST OF SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND...THEN DRIFTING NORTHEAST.

NORTH SLOPE...AREAS OF FLURRIES TONIGHT FROM WEAK CIRCULATION
AROUND OLD LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF BARROW...MAINLY ZONES 201-203
AND 205. INCREASING CLOUDS AND EAST WINDS MONDAY WITH APPROACH OF
OCCLUSION...CHANCE OF SNOW FOR MONDAY NIGHT WESTERN HALF

WESTERN ALASKA...OTHER THAN ZONE 210 HAVE UPGRADED ALL WATCHES TO
WARNINGS...BLIZ FOR 211 214 213 TONIGHT ONLY...HEAVY SNOW 212 215
216 TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MAINLY NULATO HILLS. WILL CONTINUE HIGH
SURF FOR ZONE 213 SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND FOR JUST TONIGHT. EXPECT
ZONE 210 POTENTIAL IS WEAK FOR EITHER HEAVY SNOW OR BLOWING
SNOW BUT WILL SEE HOW THINGS DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ZONES. MODELS
HAVE DROPPED THEIR QPF SOME IN THESE LATEST RUNS AND ONLY COLD BAY
SOUNDING AT 12Z HAD A PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE OF 0.63...KING
SALMON HAD LESS THAN 0.50 INCHES. SO HAVE DECIDED A BLIZZARD FOR A
PERIOD OF TIME AT ZONE 211 MAY BE MORE LIKELY THAN HEAVY SNOW. WINDS
DROPPING TOWARD MORNING SO HIGH SURF AND BLIZ WARNINGS ARE EXPECTED
TO END. SNOW SPREADING NORTH TO KOTZEBUE BY MON AM..THEN CONTINUING
NORTH MONDAY. FOR INLAND AREAS MOST OF THE SNOW...MAYBE ALL OF
IT...WILL OCCUR WEST OF 157W LONGITUDE.

CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR...INCREASING SOUTH WINDS THROUGH ALASKA
RANGE PASSES MON PM THEN DIMINISHING TUE BEHIND UPPER TROUGH
MOVING NORTH. AS TROUGH MOVES OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR TUE
NIGHT AND WED AM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW TO ZONES 218-223 AND
225.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ213.

HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR AKZ212-AKZ215-AKZ216.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ211-AKZ213-AKZ214.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ210.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ225-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

JL DEC 07