Gale Warning 86, NWS Fairbanks, AK

000
FZAK51 PAFG 302304
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-011300-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1050 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SAT THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTHWEST OVER RUSSIA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ225-011300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-011300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-011300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-011300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-011300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
204 PM AST FRI NOV 30 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JL/DA NOV 07

000
FZAK51 PAFG 011245
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-020315-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MON. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE WEST.

$$

PKZ225-020315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO
4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-020315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-020315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-020315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO
3 FT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS CALM. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS CALM.  

$$

PKZ245-020315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
345 AM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

DEC 07

000
FZAK51 PAFG 012337
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-021300-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
1044 MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL DRIFT
EAST THROUGH MON. 980 MB LOW WELL WEST OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE
NORTH THROUGH MONDAY AND WEAKEN. 

$$

PKZ225-021300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-021300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-021300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-021300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-021300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
237 PM AST SAT DEC 1 2007

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 35 KT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

DA/RT DEC 07

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
223 PM AST THU NOV 29 2007

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT...STRONG RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WITH LOW OVER THE
SOUTHWEST BERING SEA...PROVIDING FAST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER WESTERN
ALASKA WITH SEVERAL SHORT WAVES MOVING NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY.
THEN THE RIDGE WILL EXPAND WEST OVER WESTERN ALASKA WHILE
DEVELOPING A HIGH CENTER JUST NORTH OF BARROW...AND THE FLOW ON
THE EAST SIDE OF THE HIGH AS IT DRIFTS NORTH WILL BRING COLDER AIR
INTO THE INTERIOR FROM NORTHERN CANADA.

SURFACE...963 MB LOW OVER SOUTHWEST BERING WITH A STRONG FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVING NORTH OVER WESTERN ALASKA AND SERIES OF WAVES
MOVING NORTH OVER THIS AREA THROUGH FRI PM...AN ESPECIALLY STRONG
WAVE WILL BECOME A 969 MB LOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FRI AM
AND THEN CURVE NORTHWEST TO SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND FRI EVENING AND
CONTINUE NORTHWEST INTO RUSSIA, THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING THE
STRONGEST WINDS TO THE COASTAL ZONES FRI AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A 1045 MB HIGH OVER COPPER RIVER BASIN AND 1040 MB HIGH OVER
YUKON FLATS PERSISTING.

MODELS...GFS AND WRF ARE SIMILAR THROUGH SAT. IN THE MEDIUM TERM
ECMWF IS QUICKER TO BRING COLDER AIR INTO EASTERN INTERIOR THOUGH
IT IS ALSO QUICKER TO BRING SOME WARMING TO THE AREA DAY 6 AND 7.

NORTH SLOPE...EAST WINDS INCREASING TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH
FRI NIGHT THEN DIMINISHING SAT. SOME AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ONCE
WINDS GET STRONG ENOUGH BUT ADVISORY CONDITIONS NOT EXPECTED. ONLY
OTHER WEATHER EXPECTED IS SOME HIGHER CLOUDS FROM THE WEST COAST
FRONTAL SYSTEMS AND ITS WAVES. EXPECT AREAS OF STRATUS TO PERSIST
ALONG IMMEDIATE COAST.

WESTERN ALASKA...WILL CONTINUE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ZONES
211-214...AND EXTEND WARNING INTO FRI NIGHT FOR ZONES 211 213
214. WILL CONTINUE WINTER STORM WATCH ZONE 216 DUE TO THE SETUP
FOR FREEZING RAIN NEAR THE NULATO HILLS DUE TO COLD AIR
DAMMING...BUT...LATEST MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON PRECIP MOVING
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THIS ZONE. SO SUCCEEDING SHIFTS MAY
END UP CANCELING IT IF MODELS ARE DEPICTING THINGS WELL. VERY WARM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS WITH SOME PRECIP
WORKING NORTH OVER ZONES 213 214 EASTERN 215 AND 211...BUT THE
RIDGE ALOFT WILL BE BLOCKING A LOT OF THE PRECIP OUT OF ALL BUT
WESTERN ZONE 210 AND 212.

CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR...CLOUDS OVER ZONE 224 DRYING UP THIS
EVENING. GAP FLOW THROUGH ALASKA RANGE PASSES EXPECTED FOR SOME
TIME...AND AS HIGH OVER EASTERN INTERIOR SHIFTS A BIT TOWARD
CANADA...EXPECT TANANA VALLEY JET TO DEVELOP. OTHERWISE QUIET AND
CERTAINLY DRY FOR NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ216.
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ235-PKZ240.
STORM WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

JL NOV 07