Storm Warning 212, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 281713 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

CORRECTED HEADLINE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 986 MB LOW 170 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE EAST TO 160 NM SOUTHWEST OF
YAKUTAT AT 993 MB BY SAT AFTERNOON AND STALL AGAIN. A 987 MB LOW 170
NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE 350 NM SOUTH OF 
MIDDLETON ISLAND BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO 280 NM
SOUTHWEST OF JUNEAU BY SAT AFTERNOON AT 992 MB THEN MOVE EAST AND
DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. 


$$

PKZ120-290300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-290300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-290300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-290300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-290300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-290300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-290300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-290300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-290300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST THU DEC 27 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN OKAY AGREEMENT. GFS PREFERRED DUE TO
GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY.

A 973 MB LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN INTERIOR AND DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
BRISTOL BAY. IT WILL PASS OVER KODIAK ISLAND TODAY THEN BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY ALONG THE GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. PLENTY OF SNOW AND RAIN
ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF FRONT. GALE AND STORM FORCE NORTHWESTERLIES
ALONG THE REAR FLANK OF THE LOW. VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE MILE OR
LESS AT TIMES IN SNOW AND BLOW SNOW THIS MORNING ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS
AND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL REMAIN TIGHT THROUGH
THIS EVENING THEN GRADUALLY SLACKEN WHEN A 978 MB TRIPLE POINT LOW
DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO
978 MB APPROX 60 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY THU EVENING THEN WEAKEN
TO 986 MB 60 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT FRI NIGHT. GALE FORCE
NORTHEASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL HOLD THROUGH THIS
EVENING THEN RAPIDLY DIMINISH BY FRIDAY MORNING.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WHOLE OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA ONCE AGAIN
TONIGHT AS THE TRIPLE POINT PASSES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.
HOWEVER SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO KODIAK
ISLAND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND PORTIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA.

A 983 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 975
MB THU NIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO 985 MB FRI NIGHT. BROAD WEST TO NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF ACROSS THE WHOLE OF THE BERING TODAY AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT SCATTERED CAA SNOW SHOWERS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND 181
MARINE...STORM 150 155 160 165 179
         GALE  120 130 132 138 140 170 171
         SPRAY 160 165 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ASB DEC 07