Gale Warning 962, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 061245 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

CORRECTION TO ZONE 120

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEATHER FRONT MOVES EAST AND INTO THE WESTERN GULF
TODAY. A 1012 MB LOW FORMS ON THE FRONT OVER THE KENNEDY ENTRANCE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES NEAR SEWARD FRI MORNING. ANOTHER
WEATHER FRONT MOVES EAST INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRI EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND INCREASING 40 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. 
..EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND....SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 9
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS
MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. ELSEWHERE...VARIABLE WINDS 15
KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
3 FT AND SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E TO SE WIND TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING E TO NE 35 KT THIS MORNING THEN SW 20 KT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E TO NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13  FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 070054
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW 60 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
SEWARD THU NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OF
THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THU NIGHT. SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE AREA FRI AND SAT.

$$

PKZ120-071500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

.TONIGHT...NORTH OF CAINES HEAD SE WIND 15 KT GUSTING TO 25 KT.
CAINES HEAD SOUTHWARD SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT NORTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 8 FT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS EXCEPT SE WIND 20
KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SEAS 2 FT EXCEPT SEAS 7 FT SOUTH OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-071500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT GUSTING TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN INCREASING TO E 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-071500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING TO E 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-071500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU DEC 6 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT OR LESS INCREASING E 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST WED DEC 5 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND ARE CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN TOWARD THE GFS MODEL.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOPER SHOWS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND A WEATHER FRONT APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF
THE STATE. AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD THROUGH TODAY AND WILL DIMINISH THE SHOWERS AROUND PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE GULF TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
INTO EASTERN ALASKA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN
CANADA FRIDAY. THE FRONT OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY AFTERNOON THEN WILL WEAKEN ALONG
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST FRIDAY. RAIN WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK
ISLAND TONIGHT AND INTO THE SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA THURSDAY
MORNING. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE REST OF THE KENAI PENINSULA, SUSITNA
VALLEY AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THEN WILL
BECOME SHOWERS EARLY FRIDAY. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
TURNAGAIN ARM TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.

THERE WILL BE A SHORT BREAK IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS AS A WEAK SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT.

ON FRIDAY...A NEW WEATHER FRONT WILL WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AND WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY, KENAI PENINSULA AND
THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM IS SUPPORTED BY A STRONG
300 MB JET COMING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AND COULD DROP A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAIN ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
THE WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING THEN WILL DISSIPATE
ALONG THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGE LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW ALONG THE COAST WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR AS SNOW
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST BEHIND THE
FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE ALASKAN PENINSULA
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN
AND STRONG WINDS WILL INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA
FRIDAY. RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR FRIDAY NIGHT.

BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIANS...
A SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVING ACROSS THE BERING
CREATE RAPIDLY CHANGING WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. THE
FIRST OF THESE LOWS OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH
THROUGH THE CENTRAL BERING INTO THE CHUKCHI BY FRIDAY MORNING. AREA
OF GALE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 500 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTER WILL BE
MOSTLY FOUND ON THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDE OF THE LOW TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.

A COUPLE OF NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FORMING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
THURSDAY WILL MERGE INTO A SINGLE CENTER LATE FRIDAY OVER THE
SOUTHERN BERING AND WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND WESTERN CANADA
SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST. A SHORT WAVE OVER BRISTOL BAY
WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO WESTERN
CANADA SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL BUILD INTO MAINLAND ALASKA AND THE GULF SUNDAY AND WILL MOVE
INTO CANADA MONDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120, 1225, 130, 132, 138, 140, 141, 160, 170, 179,
              180, 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM DEC 07