Gale Warning 936, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 270029
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST WED DEC 26 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-271500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 965 MB LOW NEAR 55N 167W WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR 59N 159W THU
AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND AND THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA THU MORNING THEN MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
FRI MORNING.
$$

PKZ351-271500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST WED DEC 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-271500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST WED DEC 26 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 TO 30 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 TO 30 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 271129
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST THU DEC 27 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-280300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 973 MB LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN INTERIOR AND DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL PASS OVER KODIAK ISLAND TODAY AND
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE GULF COAST FRIDAY. A 978 MB LOW
WILL DEVELOP NEAR 59N 152W THU EVENING THEN WEAKEN TO 986 MB NEAR 
58N 140W FRI NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ351-280300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST THU DEC 27 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-280300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST THU DEC 27 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 280032
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST THU DEC 27 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-281500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 977 MB LOW NEAR 58N 154N WILL MOVE TO NEAR 57N 146W AND WEAKEN TO
989 MB FRI AFTERNOON THEN WILL MOVE TO NEAR 59N 141W WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN PRESSURE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ351-281500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST THU DEC 27 2007

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-281500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST THU DEC 27 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 TO 29 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 281143
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-290300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...A 986 MB LOW AT 58N 148
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE EAST TO
58N 143W AT 993 MB BY SAT AFTERNOON AND STALL AGAIN. A 987 MB LOW AT
54N 156W THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 54N 147W BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS
LOW WILL MOVE TO 54N 137W BY SAT AFTERNOON AT 992 MB THEN MOVE EAST
AND DISSIPATE SAT NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ351-290300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-290300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 290026
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-291500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 990 MB LOW NEAR 59N 149W WILL MOVE TO NEAR 60N 145W AND WEAKEN TO
998 MB SAT NIGHT THEN WILL DISSIPATE SUNDAY. A 1005 MB LOW DEVELOPING
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SAT MORNING WILL MOVE EAST TO NEAR 51N
155W AND STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB WITH THE ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN GULF SUN AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ351-291500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO
16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-291500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST FRI DEC 28 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 291240
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-300300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...A 991 MB LOW AT 57N 148W
WILL DRIFT EAST TO 59N 140W AT 1012 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON THEN
DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT. ON SUN AFTERNOON A 989 MB LOW WILL BE NEAR 51N
160W. THIS LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO 969 MB AT 49N 149W BY LATE SUN
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ351-300300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W TO NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT WEST OF 147W. VARIABLE WINDS 20 KT
ELSEWHERE. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-300300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W TO NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 300031
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-301500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 993 MB LOW NEAR 58N 148W WILL MOVE TO NEAR 59N 140W AND WEAKEN TO
1013 MB SUN AFTERNOON THEN WILL DISSIPATE SUN EVENING. A 992 MB LOW
SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO NEAR 50N 159W SUN EVENING
THEN DISSIPATE SUN NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. A LARGE 960 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO
NEAR 50N 147W MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ351-301500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-301500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST SAT DEC 29 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
TO 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 301230
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-310300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...A 1002 MB LOW AT 59N 144W
WILL DISSIPATE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW AT 52N 164W WILL
MOVE TO 52N 160W THIS AFTERNOON AND MERGE WITH A STORM FORCE 975 MB
NEAR 48N 148W LATE TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN DEEPEN TO 962 MB AT
51N 145W BY LATE MON NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ351-310300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-310300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING NE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 32 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 310020
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-311500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 988 MB LOW NEAR 52N 161W WILL WEAKEN AS A DEVELOPING LOW MOVES TO
50N 148W AT 958 MB MON AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 52N 153W
AT 965 MB TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ351-311500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-311500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST SUN DEC 30 2007

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 50 TO 60 KT. SEAS 25 TO 33 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST TUE DEC 25 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THEN THE SOLUTIONS BEGIN TO DIVERSE WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW MOVING
INTO BRISTOL BAY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THOUGH ALL THE MODELS MOVE THE LOW
IN TO THE GULF THURSDAY NIGHT, THE NAM MODEL KEEPS THE CENTER A
LITTLE FURTHER WEST OVER KODIAK ISLAND WHILE THE GFS, UKMET AND ECMWF
HAS IT OVER THE WESTERN OR CENTRAL GULF. THOUGH IT IS HARD TO SAY
WHICH HAS THE BETTER SOLUTION, I LIKE THE GFS BECAUSE IT HAS BETTER
CONSISTENCY THAN THE OTHER MODELS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS THE LOW IN THE CENTRAL GULF MOVE EAST. A
WEAKER LOW HAS FORMER NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AND IS KEEPING AN AREA OF
SHOWERS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE COOK
INLET AND KENAI PENINSULA IS COLLIDING WITH THE WARMER FROM PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AND IS CREATING AN AREA OF SNOW ALONG THE RAILBELT.

A SMALL LOW OVER THE OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE SOME SNOW
ONTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST BY LATE AFTERNOON.

THE LARGE LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AND WILL MOVE STRONG WINDS INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THIS
AFTERNOON.

A SHORT WAVE UPPER TROUGH OVER OVER KODIAK CONTINUES TO MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD COOK INLET. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER WESTERN CANADA IS
STILL HOLDING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE THROUGH THE COOK INLET
AND SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT THEN WEAK OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR
WEDNESDAY MORNING. A UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THEN CONTINUE NORTH AND EAST INTO WESTERN
CANADA AND NORTHERN ALASKA THURSDAY.

SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE GULF...
THE PUSH OF COLD AIR INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KENAI PENINSULA WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE AREA UNTIL THE UPPER
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT. CLEARER AND COLDER WEATHER WILL MOVE
DEVELOP WEDNESDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE. MORE CLOUD WILL MORE UP FROM
THE SOUTH AS A WEATHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY.
SNOW, RAIN AND SOME STRONG WINDS WILL MOVE INTO KODIAK ISLAND LATE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND WILL SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST EARLY THURSDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA, BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
A RIDGE OVER THE INTERIOR SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE INTO THE TANANA VALLEY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BERING WILL SWING THE REMAINS OF ITS
COLD FRONT TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST BEFORE BOTH DISSIPATES LATE
TONIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT.

A STRONG LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
THROUGH DUTCH HARBOR WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO MOVE ALONG THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO BRISTOL BAY THU MORNING THEN
WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND THU AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING WITH SPREAD INTO THE AK PEN AND BRISTOL BAY
WEDNESDAY.

THE BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THE AK PEN IS LOOKING DOUBTFUL AT THIS TIME
BECAUSE THE MODELS ARE INDICATING A LOT OF WARMER AIR WILL MOVE INTO
WITH THE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND THE SNOW BEGINNING THIS EVENING
WILL RAPIDLY CHANGE TO RAIN TONIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW NEAR KODIAK THURSDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THURSDAY
NIGHT THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THERE THROUGH SATURDAY. MOST OF THE STRONGER
WINDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COAST. ANOTHER LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA THU NIGHT THEN DRIFT TO NEAR
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND SAT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
MARINE...GALE 120, 129, 130, 132, 150, 155, 160, 165, 170, 172, 175,
179.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM DEC 07