Gale Warning 410, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 070747 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1145 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

UPDATED ZONE 125

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 966 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MOVES INLAND NEAR
KAMISHAK BAY TONIGHT. A 965 MB LOW 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
MOVES TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 967 MB SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ120-071400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-071400-
RESURRECTION BAY
1010 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING BECOMING S
35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-071400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1145 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-071400-
PASSAGE CANAL
1010 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  

$$

PKZ130-071400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1010 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT BECOMING 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-071400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT IN ICE
FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-071400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 071112
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 964 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE OVER KODIAK ISLAND 
AT 971 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-080200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-080200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 40 KT EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR THE GULF. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR THE GULF. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-080200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-080200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-080200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT SAT APR 7 2007

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM ADT FRI APR 6 2007

.DISCUSSION...NOT MAJOR CHANGES IN MODEL SOLUTIONS THROUGH MON.
GFS/ECMWF MODELS SHOW SIGNIFICANT SLOW DOWN OF NEXT STORM MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC TUE NIGHT/THU. CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY LOW THIS
TIME-FRAME WILL KEEP CHANGES TO A MINIMUM.

.SYNOPSIS...
.EAST...960S LOW CENTER MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
THIS EVENING IS BEST HANDLED BY THE GFS/UKMET. CURRENT TRACK SHOULD
TAKE CENTER THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS EVENING AND TO SW ALASKA
SAT MORNING. STRONG WINDS IN ADVANCE OF CENTER/FRONT WILL BRING STORM
FORCE WINDS TO MARINE 120 BY EVENING WITH GALES IN SURROUNDING
COASTAL MARINES. STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE
STRONG CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHERN CENTRAL THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN WEAKEN
SAT AS PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES SOME SAT AFTERNOON. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION MAINLY IN FORM OF RAIN LOWER ELEVATIONS IN SOUTH
CENTRAL WITH FREEZING LEVELS ABOVE 2000 FT. PRECIPITATION MAXIMUM
LIKELY EAST EXPOSURES THIS EVENING SWITCHING TO NORTHERN GULF
COAST/SOUTH EXPOSURES TONIGHT. NEXT DEVELOPING LOW CENTER MOVING
RAPIDLY UNDER NORTH PACIFIC JET LIKELY TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF WIND
AND RAIN TO THE GULF AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA SAT NIGHT/SUN. THIS
CENTER MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND IN THE 960S SUN AFTERNOON.

.WEST...STORM CENTER MOVING ACROSS THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS EVENING
WILL MOVE INTO SW ALASKA EARLY SAT THEN OFFSHORE EAST OF SAINT PAUL
SAT NIGHT. MORNING SOUNDING OVER SW ALASKA SHOWED FREEZING LEVELS
ABOVE 2000 FT WITH MAX OF 4300 AT PAMC. EXPECT WARM ADVECTION WITH
CENTER SAT SO WOULD LEAN TOWARD MAINLY RAIN IN LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH
A MIX UP IN THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. MODELS DO SHOW SOME COLD AIR
ENTRAINMENT OVER THE WESTERN DELTA...SO COULD SEE SNOW OR MIX THERE.
STRONG PRESSURE RISES ON BACKSIDE OF CENTER SAT WILL PRODUCE STRONG
GAP WINDS ALONG THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES. SOME DRYING OVER THE SW
MAINLAND SAT NIGHT WITH ONSET OF GENERAL OFFSHORE FLOW. EXPECT SOME
MOISTURE OVER BRISTOL BAY WITH NEXT CENTER SUN...BUT DOWNSLOPE SHOULD
KEEP THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY ON THE DRY SIDE.

WEAKENING LOW NEAR THE AK PEN HOLDS RAIN OR MIX OVER THE REGION
THROUGH SAT WITH NOT VERY STRONG WINDS. ALEUTIANS GENERALLY CLOUDY
WITH AREAS OF SNOW (MIX IN EAST)...STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE WEST

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNINGS ZONE 101 AND 125.
MARINE...STORM..120. GALES..121 125 130 132 138 AND 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC APR 07