Gale Warning 237, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 252009 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

UPDATED ZONE 120

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER 
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH MON NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1100 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS 
AND PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MONDAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW WIND 15 KT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 260005
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
THROUGH TUE. 

$$

PKZ120-261500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-261500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-261500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-261500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-261500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-261500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-261500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING...FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-261500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-261500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SUN FEB 25 2007

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST SAT FEB 24 2007

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP ARCTIC UPPER LOW CENTERED JUST NORTHEAST OF ALASKA CONTINUES
TO PLUNGE COLD AIR INTO THE AREA. BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE BERING SEA
WITH AN UNDERCUTTING LOW. POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JETS COMBINE JUST
EAST OF THAT LOW AND DRIVES INTO OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
STRONG WINDS THROUGH PREFERRED GAPS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING AS AN UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER KODIAK ISLAND MOVES SOUTHWARD
INTO THE GULF. WINDS SHOULD EAST UP DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS AN
UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEAST SIBERIA MOVES INTO THE STATE.
EXPECTING SOME SNOW NORTH AND WEST OF THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGES
SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...AND DRY SOUTH CENTRAL.

THE BERING BLOCK WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND ALLOW
THE UNDERCUTTING LOW TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH...BRINGING WINDS AND
PRECIPITATION INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE POLAR LOW PUSHES ONLY
SLIGHTLY EAST...THEN MOVES SOUTHWEST AND REINFORCES POLAR AIR ONCE
AGAIN AROUND MID WEEK AS THE BLOCK SETS UP AGAIN OVER THE BERING
SEA. THE BASIC PATTERN OF HIGH OVER THE BERING AND LOW OVER THE
YUKON IS AGREED UPON BY THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS...BUT THE EXACT
LOCATION IS STILL UP FOR GRABS. THE GFS IS TENDING TOWARD THE HIGH
BEING A LITTLE FURTHER EAST...ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WHICH
WOULD BRING MODERATING TEMPERATURES BEGINNING NEXT WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 131 135.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 121 129 130 132 150 155 172 175 176.
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 120 121 125 129 130 132 138 140 141 150 155
                      160 165.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG FEB 07