Gale Warning 200, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 130129
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 977 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF ST PAUL WILL MOVE TO 150 NM NORTH OF
SHEMYA TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE NEAR KISKA AT 987 MB WED
AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF ADAK TUE WILL MOVE TO 175
NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 975 MB WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.WED THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST MON FEB 12 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST SUN FEB 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IN THE EAST IS BEGINNING TO
CHANGE. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA IS DISSIPATING. THIS RIDGE HAS BEEN TRAPPING
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG UNDER IT AND WITH THIS WEAKENING OF THIS RIDGE THE
FOG IS BEGINNING TO GO AWAY. STILL A LARGE AMOUNT OF STRATUS IN THE
GULF AND IN THE VALLEYS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THESE CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE AS WELL OVER THE NEXT DAY. A LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA TUESDAY. PAST
MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN UNSURE AS TO THE PLACEMENT AND STRENGTH OF THIS
LOW BUT IT NOW SEEMS LIKE IT WILL BE IN THE CENTRAL GULF IN THE UPPER
980 MBS. THIS LOW WILL MOSTLY EFFECT THE GULF COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING
KODIAK ISLAND. MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL ONLY SEE SOME CLOUDS
FROM THIS SYSTEM AS IT EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES
INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY MID WEEK.

IN THE WEST THE LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AND THEN
OUT OF THE ARE BY MID WEEK. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE NEAR THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK BUT SHOULD MAINLY JUST EFFECT THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN AND MOVE
SOUTHWARD. THIS PATTERN WILL ALLOW SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OVER
MAINLAND SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP SOME MOISTURE IN THE AREA BUT THERE
SHOULD NOT BE ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 132 150 160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FEB 07