Gale Warning 107, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 201256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK INTENSIFIES TO 966 MB SAT
AFTERNOON 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK. THIS LOW THEN WEAKENS TO 979 MB
AS IT MOVES INLAND SUN MORNING OVER MONTAGUE ISLAND. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GULF SUN.
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT THEN DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.

.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST FRI JAN 19 2007

.DISCUSSION...TWO WEAK LOWS REMAIN THE FOCUS OF THE WEATHER AROUND
SOUTHERN ALASKA TODAY.
THE EASTERN LOW IS IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND BRINGING MODERATE SNOW
TO THE VALDEZ AREA AND OTHER AREAS AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THIS
LOW IS CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AND WILL MOVE INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN
OVERNIGHT AND DISSIPATE. AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW PERSISTS IN NORTHERN
COOK INLET AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
THE NEXT LOW IN THE EAST WILL ARRIVE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND HEAD TO YAKUTAT SUNDAY. THIS TRACK WILL MINIMIZE THE
IMPACT OF THIS LOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA. BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE WATERS AREA AND THE NORTH GULF COAST.
THIS LOW IS ALREADY EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR 45N 160W THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS LOW HAS BEEN DIFFICULT FOR THE MODELS TO RESOLVE THE
LAST FEW DAYS BUT THE MODELS SEEM TO ALL BE CONVERGING ON THE
SOLUTION THAT BRINGS THIS LOW INTO YAKUTAT.

IN THE WEST THE LOW NEAR BRISTOL BAY IS VERY SLOWLY WEAKENING AND
DRIFTING EAST. SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PERSIST
NEAR IT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THIS LOW IS
INCREASING AND PUSHING WINDS IN THE PRIBILOFS TO OVER 40 MPH. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA IS ALSO IS ACCENTUATED BY
A RIDGE IN THE WEST AND CENTRAL BERING SEA THAT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 179. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 07