Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Watches in 2006
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this flash flood watch at Jul 27, 2006, 2:50 PM MST. It took effect at Jul 27, 2006, 8:00 PM MST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 27, 2006, 2:50 PM MST (21:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 27, 2006, 8:00 PM MST
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2006, 9:01 AM MST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
- Flood severity
- None
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS65 KTWC 272150 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 250 PM MST THU JUL 27 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MST THIS EVENING THROUGH 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING... .A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM IN ARIZONA. AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES THESE STORMS WILL INTENSIFY AND WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH SOUTH OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE LOWER DESERTS. AZZ019-029>035-281030- /O.NEW.KTWC.FF.A.0002.060728T0300Z-060729T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 250 PM MST THU JUL 27 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM MST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AT 8 PM MST... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * FROM 8 PM MST THIS EVENING THROUGH 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING * DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. LAST NIGHT MANY AREAS WERE ESPECIALLY HARD HIT WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WELL IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH IN MANY PLACES...AND SEVERAL LOCATIONS REPORTING AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. WITH THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND FROM THE RAINS DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE SITUATION. TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE...AS THE UPPER LOW OVER COLORADO DROPS SOUTH IT WILL MERGE WITH A TROUGH THAT IS CURRENTLY OVER WEST TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA DURING THAT TIME FRAME WITH THE BEST RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO OCCUR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
11 follow-up statements
000 WGUS65 KTWC 281047 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 347 AM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING... AZZ019-029>035-282200- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060729T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 347 AM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING PIMA...SOUTHEAST PINAL...SANTA CRUZ...COCHISE....GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES * THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SOUTH SOUTHWEST TODAY INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 282150 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 250 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY EVENING... AZZ019-029>035-291030- /O.EXT.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060730T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 250 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AT 8 PM MST... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA... SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY WEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 290348 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 848 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY EVENING... AZZ019-029>035-291000- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060730T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 848 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AT 8 PM MST... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA... SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY WEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM... THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. * EARLIER TODAY FLASH FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN PINAL AND COCHISE COUNTIES. THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTS OF MOTORISTS DRIVING INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS WHO HAVE BEEN RESCUED DUE TO SWIFTLY MOVING WATER. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$ EVANS WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
000 WGUS65 KTWC 291047 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 347 AM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY EVENING... AZZ019-029>035-292200- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060730T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 347 AM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA... SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM... THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. * ON FRIDAY FLASH FLOODING HAD BEEN REPORTED IN PINAL AND COCHISE COUNTIES. THERE HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTS OF MOTORISTS DRIVING INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS WHO HAVE BEEN RESCUED DUE TO SWIFTLY MOVING WATER. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 292100 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 200 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD AND FLOOD WATCHES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING... AZZ029-300500- /O.CAN.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060730T0400Z/ /O.NEW.KTWC.FA.A.0001.060729T2100Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- 200 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A FLOOD WATCH... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND REPLACED BY A FLOOD WATCH. DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE GREATER TUCSON METRO AREA SATURDAY MORNING...THE SANTA CRUZ RIVER HAS A SIGNIFICANT FLOW HEADING UP INTO PINAL COUNTY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY. * THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING * SANTA CRUZ RIVER IS FORECAST TO EXCEED BANKFULL STAGE BUT FALL SHORT OF FLOOD STAGE AT TRICO ROAD. A PEAK FLOW OF CLOSE TO 16000 CFS IS FORECAST TO PASS THE TRICO ROAD STREAM GAGE BETWEEN 500 AND 700 PM MST THIS EVENING. THIS FLOW WILL WORK ITS WAY INTO PINAL COUNTY IN THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. * AFTER ENTERING PINAL COUNTY...THE SANTA CRUZ RIVER IS DIVERTED WITH PART FLOWING NORTHWEST TOWARDS CHUICHU AND PART TOWARDS ELOY. DUE TO THE SANTA CRUZ RIVER HAVING A TENDENCY TO CHANGE ITS COURSE FROM TIME TO TIME AND DUE TO THE LACK OF STREAM GAGES DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PIMA-PINAL COUNTY LINE...INTERESTS IN CHUICHU AND ELOY WILL NEED TO MONITOR CONDITIONS CLOSELY. * FLOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REACH ELOY AS EARLY AS TOMORROW MORNING AND REACH CHUICHU TOMORROW EVENING. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLOOD THREAT. $$ AZZ019-030>035-300500- /O.EXT.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY- WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 200 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...PIMA...COCHISE...GRAHAM...GREENLEE...SANTA CRUZ. * THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH TODAY INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 300151 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 651 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING... AZZ029-301100- /O.CAN.KTWC.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- 651 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE TRIBUTARIES OF THE SAN PEDRO RIVER HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT INFLOWS ALONG THE SAN PEDRO AND GILA RIVERS...THE RIVERS ONLY ROSE TO AROUND 6000 CUBIC FEET PER SECOND AT THESE LOCATIONS. THEY HAVE BOTH CRESTED AND ARE RECEDING AT THIS TIME. RIVER FLOODING ALONG THE SAN PEDRO AND THE GILA RIVERS IN PINAL COUNTY IS NOT EXPECTED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...INCLUDING SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY. * THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH THIS EVENING INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$ AZZ019-030>035-301100- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY- WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 651 PM MST SAT JUL 29 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...TOHONO OODHAM NATION...WESTERN PIMA COUNTY...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY (GRAHAM COUNTY). * THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH THIS EVENING INTO EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$ EVANS
000 WGUS65 KTWC 301020 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 320 AM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 8 PM MST SUNDAY EVENING... AZZ019-029>035-302200- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 320 AM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA... SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * THROUGH THIS EVENING * A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR ALBUQUERQUE NEW MEXICO WILL STAY QUASI-STATIONARY TODAY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND VERY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 302046 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 146 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING... AZZ031-302200- /O.CAN.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T0300Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WESTERN PIMA COUNTY- 146 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR FAR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL HAVE NOT MANAGED TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE AREA TONIGHT...THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING WILL BE MINIMAL. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR WESTERN PIMA COUNTY. $$ AZZ019-029-030-032>035-310500- /O.EXT.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 146 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...SOUTHEAST PINAL...TOHONO OODHAM NATION...EASTERN PIMA...COCHISE...GREENLEE...SANTA CRUZ...AND GRAHAM. * THROUGH 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAD RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND RUNNING WATER IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND RIVERS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA REMAINED VERY MOIST. ANY RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS AIR MASS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 310428 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 928 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING... AZZ019-029-030-032>035-311200- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 928 PM MST SUN JUL 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...SOUTHEAST PINAL...TOHONO OODHAM NATION...COCHISE... GREENLEE...SANTA CRUZ...EASTERN PIMA AND GRAHAM. * UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY MORNING * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAD RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND RUNNING WATER IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND RIVERS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA REMAINED VERY MOIST. ANY RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS AIR MASS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$ EVANS WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
000 WGUS65 KTWC 311039 FFATWC FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 339 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH 900 AM MST MONDAY MORNING... AZZ019-029-030-032>035-311600- /O.CON.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 339 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA... SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY AND TOHONO OODHAM NATION IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. * UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS HAD RESULTED IN SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS AND RUNNING WATER IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES AND RIVERS. THE AIR MASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARIZONA REMAINED VERY MOIST. ANY RAIN SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THIS AIR MASS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. * THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL DIMINISH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. TURN AROUND AND TAKE ANOTHER ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLASH FLOOD THREAT. $$
000 WGUS65 KTWC 311601 FFATWC URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 901 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH NOON TUESDAY... .HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND THE PAST FEW DAYS HAD RESULTED IN FLOOD FLOWS IN SOME OF THE LARGER WASHES AND RIVERS IN EASTERN PIMA AND SOUTHWEST COCHISE COUNTIES TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL LIKELY CAUSE STREAMS AND RIVERS TO CONTINUING FLOWING AT HIGH LEVELS. AZZ029-030-033>035-011115- /O.CAN.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KTWC.FA.A.0002.060731T1601Z-060801T1900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY- TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY- 901 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WATCH. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...COCHISE COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY...TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY AND GRAHAM COUNTY. * THROUGH NOON TUESDAY * WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAD RESULTED IN SIGNIFICANT FLOWS IN CREEKS...WASHES...AND MAINSTEM RIVERS THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHICH WILL KEEP FLOWS RUNNING AT HIGH LEVELS. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR UPDATES ON THIS FLOOD THREAT. $$ AZZ019-032-311715- /O.CAN.KTWC.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-060731T1600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION- 901 AM MST MON JUL 31 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE TOHONO OODHAM NATION AND GREENLEE COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 27, 2:40 PM MST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 2:40 PM MST, 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
240 PM MST THU JUL 27 2006
.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL ROTATE AROUND THE
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHEAST...RESULTING IN PERIODS OF
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL FURTHER INCREASE THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE WEEKEND.
&&
.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG SHORTWAVE DIVING
SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHERN COLORADO...NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND NORTHWEST
ARIZONA. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SATELLITE...RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DETECTION SHOWS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
A GOOD PORTION OF NEW MEXICO AND DEVELOPING OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM.
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH AND THE
ACTIVITY ON THE RIM WILL BLOSSOM. EXPECTING A STORM COMPLEX TO
DEVELOP DURING THE LATE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT SIMILAR TO THE PAST
COUPLE OF EVENINGS AND HEAD TO THE SOUTH TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN DESERTS WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS IN MY
FORECAST AREA. AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY IT WILL MERGE WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER WEST
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO AND MOVE WEST INTO ARIZONA ON FRIDAY.
THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF HEAVY RAINS OVER THE AREA. THE
SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH SOUTHERN ARIZONA OVERNIGHT DUMPED
CONSIDERABLE RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH OCCURRED IN MANY LOCATIONS WITH SEVERAL AREAS RECEIVING
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. THEREFORE WITH THE ALREADY
SATURATED GROUND FROM RECENT RAINS AND WITH THE IMPULSE EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FROM 8 PM MST THIS EVENING UNTIL 8 PM MST FRIDAY EVENING
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.
BY SATURDAY THE INVERTED TROUGH WILL HAVE DRIFTED TO A LOCATION THAT
WILL GENERALLY EXTEND FROM THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL STILL BE IN PLACE FOR
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE ON
SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY THE TROUGH WILL DRIFT A BIT FARTHER NORTHWEST...
BUT WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY BY THAT TIME. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE A
BIT LESS ON SUNDAY...BUT STILL IN THE SCATTERED CATEGORY. STARTING
ON MONDAY A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST COAST
AND DRIER WESTERLY FLOW COULD MAKE ITS WAY INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND PERHAPS EVEN INTO WESTERN ARIZONA. IF SO...THEN RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE DOWN TO THE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CATEGORY AND THIS IS WHAT
I HAVE GOING IN THE FORECAST FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
HIGH TEMPS WILL BE AROUND 90 TO THE LOWER 90S THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WHICH IS SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THEREAFTER HIGHS WILL CLIMB
SLOWLY EACH DAY TO NEAR 100 BY LATE IN THE WEEK WHICH WILL BE BACK
TO NEAR NORMAL. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S WHICH
IS AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
&&
.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS ADEQUATELY COVER ALL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
AT KTUS.
&&
.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH AZZ019-029>035
(NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY...SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY...UPPER GILA
RIVER VALLEY (GRAHAM COUNTY)...WESTERN PIMA COUNTY...TOHONO
OODHAM NATION...EASTERN PIMA COUNTY...SANTA CRUZ COUNTY AND
COCHISE COUNTY) FROM 8 PM MST THIS EVENING UNTIL 8 PM MST
FRIDAY EVENING.
&&
MOLLERE
WEATHER.GOV/TUCSONIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 27, 11:19 AM MST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1119 AM MST THU JUL 27 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1045 PM FLASH FLOOD CLIFTON 33.02N 109.29W
07/26/2006 GREENLEE AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL
WARD CANYON AND LIMESTONE CANYON IN CLIFTON HAD SEVERAL
FEET OF WATER FLOW THROUGH THEM BETWEEN 1045 AND 1100 PM
MST. LIMESTONE CANYON INCLUDED AN AREA OF SIGNIFICANT
ROAD DAMAGE.
&&
SCHAFFNERThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 5:23 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Cochise | 67 min |
| Jul 27, 1:09 AM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Cochise | 36 min |
| Jul 27, 1:41 AM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Pima, Pinal | 64 min |
| Jul 27, 2:42 AM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Cochise, Santa Cruz | 2 hr |
| Jul 27, 3:25 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima, Santa Cruz | 50 min |
| Jul 27, 4:16 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Greenlee | 29 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Arizona, 2006Every flash flood watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.