Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 10, 2006Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 10, 2006, 8:45 PM CST for Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 10, 2006, 8:45 PM CST (02:45 UTC)
Expired: Mar 10, 2006, 9:17 PM CST
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wagoner County, OK

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 10, 8:19 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	18 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3654 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WUUS54 KTSA 110245
SVRTSA
OKC145-110330-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0043.060311T0245Z-060311T0330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
845 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 930 PM CST

* AT 844 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
  TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF STONEBLUFF...
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...STONEBLUFF...
  COWETA AND PORTER.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3586 9586 3579 9557 3605 9527 3612 9560

$$

2 follow-up statements

000
WWUS54 KTSA 110302
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
903 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

OKC145-110330-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0043.000000T0000Z-060311T0330Z/
WAGONER OK-
903 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 930 PM CST FOR
WAGONER COUNTY...

AT 901 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
TO 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF COWETA...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS
OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3598 9577 3588 9553 3605 9527 3612 9560

$$

000
WWUS54 KTSA 110317
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
917 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

OKC145-110327-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0043.000000T0000Z-060311T0330Z/
WAGONER OK-
917 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WAGONER COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND 
WEAKENED...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM.

LAT...LON 3598 9577 3588 9553 3605 9527 3612 9560

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 10, 7:35 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 7:35 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
735 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

.UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED TO INCLUDE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN MOST ZONES.
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE TRIGGERED NEAR THE RED RIVER JUST WEST OF THE
FORECAST AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF MOISTURE ADVECTION. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LAST FOR A FEW HOURS UNTIL THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES
AND INHIBITION INCREASES. NO OTHER CHANGES FOR NOW.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...NONE.
&&

FORECASTER ID= 15

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 12:45 PM CST, 8 hours before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1245 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1245 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA TODAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED...SPREADINDEX=62.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWETS ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...SOUTHWEST OF A PAWNEE TO
                                SALLISAW LINE.

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WERE CLIMBING INTO THE 70S TODAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
DROPPING TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. THIS COMBINED WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO
20 MILES AN HOUR WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS HAS RESULTED IN A VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING WHEN TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO FALL AND HUMIDITIES
BEGIN TO INCREASE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THE VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER INTO SATURDAY.  DRY VEGETATION AND RELATIVELY DRY
WEATHER WILL SEE THESE CONDITIONS PREVAIL OFF AND ON THROUGH THE
WEEK.

MOISTURE WILL BE RETURN NORTH INTO PARTS OF THE AREA SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.  A DRYLINE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA BOTH DAYS WITH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE EAST
OF THE DRYLINE.  DEW POINTS AS HIGH AS THE 60S AND CAPES POSSIBLY
AS HIGH AS 2000 J/KG COMBINED WITH STRONG SHEAR WILL RESULT IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW OF THE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 8:31 PM CST, 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
831 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

OKZ066-071-110315-
MCINTOSH OK-OKMULGEE OK-
831 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OKMULGEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MCINTOSH

AT 831 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTH OF OKMULGEE TO 5 MILES WEST OF
DEWAR TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF HANNA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OKMULGEE...
DEWAR...HOFFMAN...GRAYSON...SCHULTER...MORRIS...ERAM...PRESTON...
HANNA...RAIFORD...VIVIAN...STIDHAM...PIERCE AND HITCHITA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE HALF INCH HAIL.

SHOULD THE STORMS STRENGTHEN MORE A WARNING FOR LARGE HAIL WILL BE
ISSUSED.

Special weather statement, Mar 10, 8:37 PM CST, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
837 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

OKZ060-067-070-110315-
MUSKOGEE OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
837 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 915 PM CST
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     TULSA AND WAGONER

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE

AT 837 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF JAMESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...LIBERTY...TULSA...
LEONARD...BIXBY...JENKS...GLENPOOL...BROKEN ARROW...CHOSKA...
PORTER...STONEBLUFF...REDBIRD...COWETA...ONETA...JAM ESVILLE AND
HASKELL.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 10, 8:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	30 min
Mar 10, 9:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes, Rogers	30 min
Mar 10, 9:54 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pittsburg	66 min
Mar 10, 10:22 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	53 min
Mar 10, 10:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Latimer, Pittsburg	55 min
Mar 10, 11:00 PM CST	Tornado Warning	TSA	Latimer	45 min
Mar 10, 11:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell	55 min
Mar 10, 11:14 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	46 min
Mar 10, 11:17 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	73 min
Mar 10, 11:47 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	58 min
Mar 10, 11:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	30 min
Mar 11, 12:29 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	46 min
Mar 11, 1:33 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	42 min
Mar 11, 12:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Okmulgee	51 min
Mar 11, 12:57 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	14 min
Mar 11, 1:02 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee	58 min
Mar 11, 2:16 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee	44 min
Mar 11, 2:32 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair	41 min
Mar 11, 4:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	30 min
Mar 11, 4:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	55 min
Mar 11, 4:45 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	45 min
Mar 11, 4:46 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	44 min
Mar 11, 5:11 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.