Tornado Warning 5, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

000 
WWUS52 KTBW 121355
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
954 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLC027-081-121415-
/O.CON.KTBW.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060612T1415Z/
MANATEE-DESOTO-
954 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING CONTINUES FOR NORTHWESTERN DESOTO AND
SOUTHEASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM EDT...

AT 954 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
TORNADO 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARCADIA...OR NEAR THE COUNTY LINE JUST 
WEST OF PINE LEVEL...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

&&

LAT...LON 2721 8205 2723 8200 2733 8199 2733 8211

$$

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
345 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WED)...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CONTINUES TO BE
RATHER DISORGANIZED...BUT LATEST SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING DATA DO
INDICATE A CLUSTER OF STORMS DEVELOPING ON THE NORTH AND EAST SIDE OF
THE CENTER.  ALBERTO IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AND
TONIGHT MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TUESDAY.  IT
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THE MAIN EFFECTS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME STORM SURGE.  LATEST FORECAST FROM HURRICANE
CENTER DOES INDICATE SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST
ALONG WITH BROADER WIND FIELD WHICH WOULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...PRIMARILY IN GUSTS TO THE COAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTH
DURING MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH DIMINISHING POPS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS
DAYTIME HEATING COMBINES WITH THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE.  HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND TUESDAY...MAINLY IN
THE 80S...AND THEN CLIMB BACK TO ABOUT NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.  LOWS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S.

.LONG TERM (WED NGT-SUN)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE
EASTERN U.S. THROUGH FRIDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF AND
SOUTH CENTRAL STATES.  THESE FEATURES SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE HIGH CENTER BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE
PERIOD.  ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL STAY AROUND TO ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL STAY NEAR TO
JUST ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
ALONG THE COAST TO THE MID 90S INLAND AND LOWS AROUND 70 NORTH TO
THE MID 70S COASTAL.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY ALBERTO
MOVES NORTHEAST.  CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE TUESDAY AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH WINDS AND SEAS
SUBSIDING BELOW FLAG CRITERIA.

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY AS ALBERTO
DRAWS NEARER TO THE AREA.  SKIES SHOULD BE OVERCAST ALL DAY AT
AROUND 2500 FEET WITH WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY.
STRONGER STORMS COULD SEE WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS WITH VISIBILITIES
BELOW 1 MILE IN THE TORRENTIAL RAINS.  CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE
TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS ALBERTO NEARS THE FLORIDA COAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  83  76  87  76 /  90  80  60  50
FMY  83  74  88  74 /  90  80  70  50
GIF  83  73  88  73 /  90  80  60  50
SRQ  82  75  86  75 /  90  80  60  50
BKV  83  72  88  72 /  90  80  50  40
SPG  83  76  86  76 /  90  80  60  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DESOTO-
     HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-
     PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SUMTER.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-SARASOTA.

     TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HERNANDO-
     HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-SARASOTA.

GULF WATERS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER
     OUT TO 60 NM INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WX...PRC
LONG TERM/AVIATION...JLC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
645 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-121500-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
645 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE
GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...BRIEF
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY PROVE TOO MUCH FOR AREA DRAINAGE SYSTEMS
TO HANDLE RESULTING IN FLOODING IN URBAN...RURAL AREAS AND NEARBY
SMALL STREAMS.

BRIEF THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TODAY AS THE RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO MOVE THROUGH. COASTAL AREAS
COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE THIS
EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 BY TUESDAY MORNING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO.

TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EXIT THE MAINLAND UNITED STATES
JUST NORTH OF JACKSONVILLE TUESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ACROSS THE
NATURE COAST ALONG WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING
FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. THE STORM SURGE TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 5 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE ALONG THE LEVY...CITRUS AND HERNANDO
COAST... AND POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET IN THE UPPER PORTIONS OF TAMPA
BAY.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MORE TYPICAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

PRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
718 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ051-052-055-056-060-121200-
MANATEE-HARDEE-POLK-SARASOTA-HILLSBOROUGH-
718 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

AN AREA OF STRONG SHOWERS AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH
AT 20 MPH...WILL AFFECT MANATEE...SARASOTA...SOUTHERN
HILLSBOROUGH...SOUTHER POLK...AND HARDEE COUNTIES...UNTIL 800 AM
EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

RD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
832 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ055-121245-
MANATEE-
832 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN MANATEE COUNTY...

AT 832 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS...22 MILES EAST
OF PALMETTO...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

FUNNEL CLOUDS MAY AFFECT...
  MYAKKA CITY.
  DUETTE.

FUNNEL CLOUDS CAN BECOME BRIEF...SMALL...BUT DANGEROUS TORNADOES.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THOUGH A TORNADO HAS NOT BEEN REPORTED...THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE MORE FUNNEL CLOUDS...AND A TORNADO. STAY TUNED FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 2741 8229 2729 8211 2764 8212 2763 8230

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
835 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     TORNADO          3 NE WAUCHULA           27.58N 81.78W
06/12/2006                   HARDEE             FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            COUNTY ROAD CREW OBSERVED THE TORNADO NEAR HIGHWAY 62.

0809 AM     TORNADO          1 E BARTOW              27.90N 81.83W
06/12/2006                   POLK               FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO OBSERVED 1 MILE EAST OF THE BARTOW AIRPORT.

&&

COLSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
937 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ051-052-055-056-060-061-121415-
MANATEE-DE SOTO-HARDEE-POLK-SARASOTA-HILLSBOROUGH-
937 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN MANATEE...WESTERN DESOTO...
WESTERN HARDEE...WESTERN POLK...EASTERN SARASOTA AND EASTERN
HILLSBOROUGH COUNTIES...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH OVER
WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA...GENERALLY EAST OF I-75 THIS MORNING. THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF FUNNEL CLOUDS.

FUNNEL CLOUDS CAN BECOME BRIEF...SMALL...BUT DANGEROUS TORNADOES.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 2704 8224 2704 8195 2816 8185 2814 8229
      2741 8235

09