Tornado Warning 10, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

000 
WWUS52 KTBW 121933
SVSTBW

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
330 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLC027-049-121940-
/O.EXP.KTBW.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-060612T1930Z/
DESOTO-HARDEE-
330 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL HARDEE AND CENTRAL DESOTO COUNTIES
EXPIRED AT 330 PM EDT...

AT 330 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THE 
TORNADOES HAVE DISSIPATED...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE.

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS WITH 
POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUDS WERE STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE 
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OF LILLY. THE THUNDERSTORMS 
WERE MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT. STAY TUNED TO 
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 2711 8191 2711 8171 2756 8167 2760 8202

$$

57

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
301 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FROM THE NATURE COAST TO THE SUNCOAST
AS TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...

.SHORT TERM (TON-WED)...ALBERTO IS THE STORY THRU THE PERIOD.
SLIGHTLY FASTER STORM MOVEMENT TO BRING ALBERTO ASHORE AS EARLY
AS TUE MORNING. NHC FORECAST CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN STORM
BEFORE LANDFALL. STORM BECOMING MORE ASYMMETRICAL THIS AFTERNOON
AS DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO W PORTIONS OF STORM AND UPPER LEVEL
SHEAR CONTINUES TO PUSH CONVECTION E OF SFC CENTER. UPPER
TROFS/SHORTWAVES WRAPPING OVER THE OHIO RV VALLEY AS WELL.

HURRICANE WARNING FOR COASTAL AREAS FROM LONGBOAT TO SUWANEE
RIVER.

REFER TO HLS FOR LOCAL IMPACTS AND NHC FORECASTS AND DISCUSSIONS
FOR MORE SPECIFICS ON THE STORM.

DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO GET PULLED UP FROM THE CARIB
OVER THE REGION. BENEFICIAL HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES FROM ALBERTO.
HAVE HIGH POPS THRU THE EVENT ALL AREAS. ATTM SOME RAINFALL TOTALS
HAVE BEEN IN THE 2-4 INCH RANGE AREA WIDE. ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS WELL. WITH SW FLOW MAY GET SOME
TRAINING CELLS INOT TUE FOR ADDITIONAL EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS...FLOOD
WATCH CONTINUES INTO TUE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO
WASH ASHORE AREA BEACHES AND COASTLINES FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION.

TORNADOES CONTINUE TO BE THREAT FROM ALBERTO WITH SHEARING
CONVECTIVE BANDS MOVING OVER THE AREA. TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES
UNTIL 5 PM...ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED THRU THE EVENT.

THICK CLOUD COVER THE KEEP MAX TEMPS BELOW CLIMO WHILE MIN TEMPS
HOLD ABOVE AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM (WED NGT-SUN)...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO REMAIN OVER THE
EASTERN US THROUGH FRI AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE GULF AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL STATES. THESE FEATURES SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH THE HIGH CENTER BUILDING OVER THE SE US. AT THE
SFC...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER THE STATE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL STAY AROUND TO ALLOW FOR ISOLD TO WDLY SCT
TSTMS EACH DAY. TEMPS WILL STAY NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH HIGHS AROUND 90 NEAR THE COAST TO THE MID 90S
INLAND AND LOWS AROUND 70 NORTH TO THE MID 70S COASTAL.

&&

.MARINE...TS ALBERTO PRODUCING 10-14 FT SEAS OVER THE E GULF WITH
TS FORCE WINDS WELL OFFSHORE. SWELL TRAINS CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO
COASTAL WATERS ALONG AREA BEACHES BUT OFFSHORE WINDS KNOCKING
HEIGHT DOWN A BIT. WITH STORMS NE FORWARD MOTION...WINDS TO
BECOME MORE SW ALLOWING SEAS TO PUSH ASHORE. HURRICANE WARNINGS
AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCHES UP FOR THE ENTIRE COAST AND
WATERS. HIGH/ROUGH WINDS AND SEAS TO CONTINUE THRU THE EVENT.

WITH GULF STIRRED UP WINDS AND SEAS SLOW TO SUBSIDE MIDWEEK.

ONCE STORM FINALLY MOVES OUT OF THE REGION HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD
OVER THE GULF LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE DAY AS ALBERTO
DRAWS NEARER TO THE AREA. SKIES SHOULD BE OVC ALL DAY AT AROUND
2500FT WITH WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. STRONGER
STORMS COULD SEE WIND GUSTS UP TO 30KTS WITH VISBYS BELOW 1SM IN THE
TORRENTIAL RAINS. CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THIS
EVENING AS ALBERTO NEARS THE FL COAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH DISPERSIONS WITH STRONG WINDS AT ALL LEVELS
BUT PLENTY OF LL MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  87  76  88 /  80  60  50  50
FMY  74  88  74  90 /  80  70  50  50
GIF  73  88  73  91 /  80  60  50  50
SRQ  75  86  75  87 /  80  60  50  50
BKV  72  88  72  90 /  80  50  40  40
SPG  76  86  76  88 /  80  60  50  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE
     SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-
     MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER.

     HURRICANE WARNING FOR CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEVY-MANATEE-
     PASCO-PINELLAS.

     INLAND HURRICANE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-LEVY.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-
     HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-
     SARASOTA.

     INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SUMTER.

     TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CHARLOTTE-DE SOTO-LEE.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SARASOTA.

GULF WATERS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
     BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

     HURRICANE WARNING FOR ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
     ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TAMPA BAY
     WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-TARPON
     SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...RD
LONG TERM....RR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
645 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-121500-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
645 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERIODS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE
GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...BRIEF
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY PROVE TOO MUCH FOR AREA DRAINAGE SYSTEMS
TO HANDLE RESULTING IN FLOODING IN URBAN...RURAL AREAS AND NEARBY
SMALL STREAMS.

BRIEF THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TODAY AS THE RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO MOVE THROUGH. COASTAL AREAS
COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE THIS
EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 BY TUESDAY MORNING.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO.

TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EXIT THE MAINLAND UNITED STATES
JUST NORTH OF JACKSONVILLE TUESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ACROSS THE
NATURE COAST ALONG WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING
FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. THE STORM SURGE TO THE
RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 5 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE ALONG THE LEVY...CITRUS AND HERNANDO
COAST... AND POSSIBLY 3 TO 5 FEET IN THE UPPER PORTIONS OF TAMPA
BAY.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MORE TYPICAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

PRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1056 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ052-056-057-121545-
HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-POLK-
1056 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HIGHLANDS...NORTHERN
HARDEE AND SOUTHERN POLK COUNTIES...

THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT AVON PARK...
FROSTPROOF...LAKE WALES AND WAHNETA...UNTIL 1145 AM EDT. GUSTY WINDS
UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL
OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

JCM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1141 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ052-121630-
POLK-
1141 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL AND EASTERN POLK
COUNTY...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT LAKE
WALES...WAHNETA...WINTER HAVEN AND CYPRESS GARDENS...UNTIL 1230 PM
EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL
OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

JCM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1152 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ055-060-121630-
MANATEE-SARASOTA-
1152 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN SARASOTA AND CENTRAL
MANATEE COUNTIES...

THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT MYAKKA RIVER
STATE PARK AND PARRISH...UNTIL 1230 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE
LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE.  OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH
DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL
CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.

JCM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1241 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ055-060>062-065-121730-
MANATEE-CHARLOTTE-LEE-DE SOTO-SARASOTA-
1241 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...SQUALLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LEE...
CHARLOTTE...MANATEE...SARASOTA...AND DESOTO COUNTIES...

SQUALLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AND
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT WHISKEY CREEK...VENICE GARDENS...
VENICE...VAMO...FORT MYERS...BONITA SPRINGS...AND SARASOTA...UNTIL
130 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS.

IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL
OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

JCM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
121 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ050-121800-
PINELLAS-
121 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

...BANDS OF SQUALLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
PINELLAS COUNTTY...

BANDS OF SQUALLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH
AT 35 MPH...WILL AFFECT SEMINOLE...PINELLAS PARK...LARGO AND INDIAN
ROCKS BEACH...UNTIL 200 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. FUNNEL
CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE FAST MOVING SQUALLS.

IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL
OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

JCM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
221 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

FLZ052-057-121900-
HIGHLANDS-POLK-
221 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH...WILL AFFECT AREAS NEAR LAKE
PLACID AND LORIDA INITIALLY...THEN MOVE TO NEAR SEBRING...AVON
PARK... AND FROSTPROOF...UNTIL 300 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH
AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR. HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.